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  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    Record
    10-2
    CLV 4.96%
  • gobucks2gobucks2 Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    danshan knows the ladies!
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    its more like way less effecient market and way easier to cap, I think if some of the big dogs focused on capping these games my results would changer faster than I reply to a post!
  • bluejakebluejake Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    gobucks2 wrote: »
    danshan knows the ladies!

    I agree, Thank You for sharing with the board.
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    5-27
    Sparks U161
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    Record
    11-3
    CLV 5.05%
  • jets96jets96 Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    Great job
  • brickhandsbrickhands Member
    edited May 2018
    danshan wrote: »
    Record
    11-3
    CLV 5.05%

    Nice work...
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    5/29
    Liberty -2
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    5/29
    Mystics U167
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    5/29
    Lynx -6
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    this LIberty situation is a perfect example of the topic of multiple injuries. I had this line way higher and even with these injuries it does not get down to -2, that is why I bet it. I think the cumulative effect is overrated. I think the talent diff between 1st team to 2nd tier can be huge but 2nd tier to 3rd not so much. so a bunch of 2nd tier injuries the biggest thing is gel not talent level necessarily, IMHO, please chime in if you have some better insight, would love the help!
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    5-30
    Washington U164
  • crazyivan24crazyivan24 Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    Nice call on WAS under!
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    can anyone see page 4 or is it just me?
  • crazyivan24crazyivan24 Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    I can now. Any plays?
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    yes its working!, No nothing I still have not figured out how to do the stupid conversion from stars to aces in my model, so my model still sees them as 2 teams and I cant get any good numbers for Aces games yet
  • sunningdalesunningdale Member
    edited May 2018
    Don’t u have under wash tonight or was that last night?
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    yes today and yesterday although today is gonna be a loser I am afraid unless something drastic.
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    13-5
    CLV 5.79%
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    6-1
    Mercury U159.5
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    5-31
    Storm U168.5
  • jets96jets96 Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    what s your line on the warriors ? curious , mine adjusted for love is gsw -10.51and i normally dont adjust for injuries which you know.

    kicking ass brother
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    Warriors w/o Love -10.5 211.5 Love is worth 3 on my sheet
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    I would normally be betting the Cavs but I just cant do it, I cant, I want to but my heart wont let me!

    I will probably take the Under if its 214.5 or higher
  • jets96jets96 Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    i adjusted exactly what you did , 3 pts for love. Dont know if cleve can jump start again on the west coast , that being said , the line is the great equalizer and anyone who takes the cavs certainly has value , not touching it but then again if i could tease total with team id look at it closer.
    With you on the under as well , oh thats +ev i think right ???
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    why the Cavs, I hate the cavs it ruins the whole fun game of modeling. They are always crap against the spread.

    <tbody>
    [TH="align: center"]ATS:[/TH]
    39-58-3 (-3.06, 40.2%) this year and its not their fault people just bet the crap out of them when they dont deserve it +EV wise LOL

    </tbody>
  • jets96jets96 Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    just looking at the total
    i have subsets of 58% un
    53 percent under
    61 percent under

    and then adding the shit everyone knows ...cle 52 percent under on the road and gsw 53 percent under at home
    both blow out below .500 teams and go over and both team under at 60% when playing teams above .500...have them broken down even more ,way more....with much higher percentages ....so its fair to say with all that said ....bet the fucking over
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    LOL that looks exactly how I think it will go, last time I bet over what did they score like 145 points in an NBA game LOL
  • jets96jets96 Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    ok good luck ,keep digging
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