i still think fed has the upperhand out here in the desert. But not by 2-1 favorite. almost like an auto play on rafa when you can get that great of an odds and its not even against DJ
My buddies like Fed. Hopefully its a good match regardless of who wins.
BTW, nice bounce back from the tough start to the season. Pretty tough to watch Andreescu butcher match point at 5-3. Surprised she recovered, especially with cramps coming on.
ive seen nadal and fed play at IW twice. 1st time it was a 6 hour rain delay in the semis after inser took out DJ in the first match of the day. the 2nd was when fed absolutely destroyed rafa in 1 way traffic type a match. I wasn't out here here for semi's this year but your right, big time bummer for the fans. tickets were going for good money too. haha
3/23
Albot/Federer U20 -105
Cecchinato -136 over Dzumhur (1.5 Units)
Tiafoe -115 over Kecmanovic
Ferrer +321 over A. Zverev
Maria +145 over Giorgi (WTA) (3/22)
3/26
Basilashvili +105 over Alliassime
Federer/Medevev U22 +103
H82lose, have you ever read the JQAS paper on Tennis match prediction models? I'm not sure how data-fueled your picks are, but I'm interested to know if you see any value in the paper. I've found good stuff in JQAS in the past. Stephanie Ann Kovalchik is the author.
Paddy. Thanks. No I havent read this. I will check it out. I implement a lot of point statistics, situational match ups, similar opponents played based on my own rating bucket I put them in. Ex pusher vs counter striker etc. and off course current form and surface
Speaking of Barty, what do you make of her chances to win the French. I played her at 50/1 a few weeks ago. She's still at 40/1 and I was thinking of adding a bit more. Serena and Simona are the obvious favorites but they're both fighting mental issues and the French has been notorious for bombs winning on the ladies side in recent years. I also played Bencic at 66/1 but those odds are long gone.
should probably wait a little for some of these lines to settle in the future. Bencic was being bet like she already won. Crazy line movement only for Martic to win comfortably in strait sets. Love the win but would love loved +225 odds even better.
Add:
Same thing on this one. Crazy line movement against Azarenka. Bring some value to her. dont see any injury info so gonna take a stab at it
Comments
Agree, I was guessing 130 - 140 range. Fed has looked mighty good but I'll side with Nadal on slower courts.
5dimes is hanging +200 right now
BTW, nice bounce back from the tough start to the season. Pretty tough to watch Andreescu butcher match point at 5-3. Surprised she recovered, especially with cramps coming on.
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no action on rafa
IW: 16-15 +3.47 units
YTD: 25-33 -3.55 units
2 team parlay
(Gunneswaran -292/Bolt -158 ) +119
Rodina +180 over Stosur
Kuzmova +110 over Gavrilova
Cornet -150 over Lapko
Sakkari -138 over Danilovic
Mens
Tipsarevic +125 over Klahn
Hurkacz -105 over Berrettini\
M Zverev +128 over Kuhn
Eubanks -102 over Dzumhur
Gulbis +155 over Kecmanovic
Jarry +134 over Chardy
Ymer +150 over Mayer
Pending:
Cornet -150 over Lapko (WTA) to finish
Kuzmova +110 over Gavrilova (WTA)
Eubanks -102 over Dzumhur
Gulbis +155 over Kecmanovic
Albot/Federer U20 -105
Cecchinato -136 over Dzumhur (1.5 Units)
Tiafoe -115 over Kecmanovic
Ferrer +321 over A. Zverev
Maria +145 over Giorgi (WTA) (3/22)
Miami: 9-7 +5.22 units
3/25
Tiafoe +106 over Ferrer
Basilashvili +105 over Alliassime
Federer/Medevev U22 +103
H82lose, have you ever read the JQAS paper on Tennis match prediction models? I'm not sure how data-fueled your picks are, but I'm interested to know if you see any value in the paper. I've found good stuff in JQAS in the past. Stephanie Ann Kovalchik is the author.
https://www.degruyter.com/view/j/jqas.2016.12.issue-3/jqas-2015-0059/jqas-2015-0059.xml
YTD: 37-41 +4.01 units
probably done for this tourney
3/29
Isner -165 over Aliassime
Miami: 13-8 +8.56 units
YTD: 38-41 +5.01 units
Rogers +125 over Rodina (WTA)
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4/2
Kr. Pliskova +125 over Kozlova (WTA)
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4/1
Townsend -185 over Sharma (WTA)
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4/2 Buzarnescu -131 over French (WTA)
Vickery +4.5 -115 over Riske (WTA)
Pending:
4/2
Kr. Pliskova +125 over Kozlova (WTA)
4/2 Buzarnescu -131 over French (WTA)
Vickery +4.5 -115 over Riske (WTA)
Adding:
Dart +160 over Jakupovic
Martic +115 over Anisimova
Speaking of Barty, what do you make of her chances to win the French. I played her at 50/1 a few weeks ago. She's still at 40/1 and I was thinking of adding a bit more. Serena and Simona are the obvious favorites but they're both fighting mental issues and the French has been notorious for bombs winning on the ladies side in recent years. I also played Bencic at 66/1 but those odds are long gone.
4/3
Zidanesk +144 over Tomljanovic (WTA)
Puig +108 over Kenin (WTA)
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4/3 Goerges -188 over Townsend (WTA)
Rybarikova +116 over Voegele (WTA)
Navarro +6.5 -125 over Siegemund (WTA)
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sprinkling a little on the ML too +900 (not included with record)
Pending:
Zidanesk +144 over Tomljanovic (WTA)
Puig +108 over Kenin (WTA)
4/3 Goerges -188 over Townsend (WTA)
Rybarikova +116 over Voegele (WTA)
Add:
4/3
Mertens -143 over Kanepi (WTA)
Stephens -159 over Tomljanovic
Puig +156 over Sabalenka
Martic -174 over Pegula
Rybarikova -115 over Vickery (WTA)
Pending:
4/5
Rybarikova -115 over Vickery (WTA)
4/5 Add:
Martic +160 over Bencic (WTA)
Wozniacki -189 over Sakkari (WTA)
Add:
Same thing on this one. Crazy line movement against Azarenka. Bring some value to her. dont see any injury info so gonna take a stab at it
4/5
Azarenka +105 over Pavlyuchenkova (WTA)