Betting Talk

danshan thread

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  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    BOL Lines seem way off for openers on CFL but I will wait for Pinny or BM for I post any bets

    - - - Updated - - -

    if you want to hit some BOL $250 Openers here is what I am doing there

    Calgary -10
    Ottawa +9.5
    Saskatchewan -2
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    for Pinnacle
    Calgary -11
    Ottawa +9.5
    Saskatchewan -2
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    7-17
    Storm +5
    Dream +7
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    how could anyone think Minn is 3 pts better than Seattle? I got this game at -2, I cant believe its still sitting at 6 and might go higher. is it possible people are thinking no way all 3 dogs cover today and thats pushing it higher?
  • StJoes0610StJoes0610 Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    Nice call with Seattle. Really glad you’re back and appreciate you sharing your picks.
  • LancerLancer Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    Thx dude!
  • rookrook Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    Awesome danshan! There’s just something so sweet about winning two bets in a row! Thanks again!
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    thanks folks! I am a little concerned with my Seattle power rating, seems I have been off on the line the last couple games with Seattle. I might have to pull out the toolbox on Power Rankings
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    CFL bets looking good now lets see some favorite wins
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    <style type="text/css"><!--td {border: 1px solid #ccc;}br {mso-data-placement:same-cell;}--></style>
    <tbody>
    7/19
    Wash
    Mystics
    -7.5


    7/19
    Indi
    Fever
    158.5


    7/19
    Atla
    Dream
    151


    7/19
    Conn
    Sun
    -10


    7/19
    Las
    Aces
    -2


    7/19
    Seat
    Storm
    154

    </tbody>

    - - - Updated - - -

    Jets Lines
    7/19 lines

    was 3.54
    con 7.44
    lv 1.93
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    hope these wnba lines start moving, right now there are not bets!
  • R40R40 Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    danshan wrote: »
    hope these wnba lines start moving, right now there are not bets!

    Have you ever thought about how you will know when you lose your edge?
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    R40 wrote: »
    Have you ever thought about how you will know when you lose your edge?

    1st indicator I use is my model being super close to the actual closing line, that indicates me the model is getting very accurate to efficient.
    2nd indicator is CLV on the bet to close line
    3rd indicator is car wont start and gas gauge says zero!

    the thing to me is that WNBA is seeming like they are getting a ton sharper faster, they dont open with crazy weak lines anymore, which makes it hard to find any bets. its rare with 3 or 4 games on schedule I cant find 1 bet!
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    7/19
    Aces U157
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    Why do you ask R40 you been reading my twitter wars lately and my saying 4 million tweets a day that clv is a gauge!
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    you can get the Cardinals here at -100 at fairlay and that 24 which is about 250 bucks keeps popping up everytime you take them, I took it a couple times and its still popping up, its a good deal.

    https://fairlay.com/market/st-louis-cardinals-a-wainwright-cincinnati-reds-t-mahle/?referral=a599f4d5-c046-47db-a630-0fc0bcf2211f
  • John1689John1689 Junior Member
    edited July 2019
    danshan wrote: »
    you can get the Cardinals here at -100 at fairlay and that 24 which is about 250 bucks keeps popping up everytime you take them, I took it a couple times and its still popping up, its a good deal.

    https://fairlay.com/market/st-louis-cardinals-a-wainwright-cincinnati-reds-t-mahle/?referral=a599f4d5-c046-47db-a630-0fc0bcf2211f

    That site is so hard to use.
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    John1689 wrote: »
    That site is so hard to use.

    yes very difficult to use I agree but you can use search that helps too but when you get deals like that its really worth it.
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    ouch was I wrong about that CFL game tonight, I bought it at +10 and its fricken at 12 or 13 now
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    nothing like a 10 run 6th!

    - - - Updated - - -

    hey its not all bad news 28-1 is better than 28-0 at half!
  • John1689John1689 Junior Member
    edited July 2019
    danshan wrote: »
    yes very difficult to use I agree but you can use search that helps too but when you get deals like that its really worth it.

    Did they just forget to move the line?
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    no guys do that so cause they like the other team and they try to get just a bit better price by doing that, it happens often
  • John1689John1689 Junior Member
    edited July 2019
    Your saying Fairlay is taking a position?
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    no fairlay is an exchange it is just members who put that up kinda like betfair.

    good win got a nice chunk of that I got 2 pops at 24
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    No bets on WNBA today unless the lines move a chunk
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    <style type="text/css"><!--td {border: 1px solid #ccc;}br {mso-data-placement:same-cell;}--></style>
    <colgroup><col style="width: 43px"><col width="42"><col width="83"><col width="50"></colgroup><tbody>
    7/21
    Atla
    Dream
    155


    7/21
    Wash
    Mystics
    -13.5


    7/21
    Indi
    Fever
    158.5


    7/21
    Chic
    Sky
    -4


    7/21
    Minn
    Lynx
    156


    7/21
    Las
    Aces
    -5

    </tbody>
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    7/21 Dream Under 158
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    that really sucked! my line was wrong, the result was wrong, all failure!
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    <style type="text/css"><!--td {border: 1px solid #ccc;}br {mso-data-placement:same-cell;}--></style>
    <colgroup><col style="width: 45px"><col width="99"><col width="50"><col width="54"></colgroup><tbody>
    7/25
    Stampeders

    -3


    7/25
    Redblacks

    52


    7/25
    Argonauts

    53


    7/25
    Eskimos

    -12


    7/26
    Blue Bombers

    56


    7/26
    Tiger Cats

    -3


    7/27
    Roughriders

    -2


    7/27
    Lions

    50.5

    </tbody>
  • jets96jets96 Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    Am close to putting out lines for cfl
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