Betting Talk

Danshan's Island Thread

danshandanshan Senior Member
edited July 2019 in Sports Betting
hey folks! thanks for the votes, now we need to get this conversation going!

should we start with CLV? JK

I am working on some WNBA stuff and will start posting those lines asap!

if you got a problem with my posting just skip this thread but I hope no one does, I appreciate input from anyone and everyone, no censorship from me in my thread, if you think I am full of BS just say it, i wont cry promise!
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Comments

  • jets96jets96 Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    am tired of you already
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    we are gonna start swapping WNBA lines, I will post mine here and we can compare!
  • jets96jets96 Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    lol no problem

    - - - Updated - - -

    start by telling if am right or wrong with this min game i bet
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    Lynx -2.3
    Sun -4.9

    Sun at home add 3.5
    2.6+3.5=6.1
    now Dantas out worth at least 2 if not 3
    I would say -8 to -9
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    Dantas was nothing until this year she now has value!
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    its already starting to lean towards 9

    - - - Updated - - -

    if someone likes Minnesota I would probably hold off till the end. Me personally I think Lynx will have a rough day here! I would have took the Sun at -6 or -7 but I did not model that game yet. I will still for fun since its the only game dump some money on -8, I think they can handle -8, darn it as I was writing this it closed!

    - - - Updated - - -

    MY WNBA Current Power Rankings and I am getting -3 to -3.5 for HFA

    <style type="text/css"><!--td {border: 1px solid #ccc;}br {mso-data-placement:same-cell;}--></style>
    <colgroup><col style="width: 100px"><col width="100"></colgroup><tbody>
    Mystics
    -7.63


    Sparks
    -4.62


    Lynx
    -2.48


    Sun
    -7.60


    Mercury
    -3.71


    Storm
    -2.34


    Aces
    -8.99


    Fever
    1.96


    Liberty
    3.33


    Sky
    -0.02


    Dream
    1.52


    Wings
    2.94

    </tbody>
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    693 BC Lions Under 27.5 1H +104 Pinnacle
  • jets96jets96 Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    remember i dont care about home court , i use home/road stats .
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    yeah dude you were right on this one!!! Sun were horrible!
  • jets96jets96 Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    you cant adjust that many pts in womens basketball for anyone imo
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    I dont think there is any other way they got to 8 8.5 on that game without that player adjustment
  • jets96jets96 Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    and lost outright ,a figment of a handicappers imagination ,
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    they got their ass kicked! I mean just beat up. anyway my CFL pick is looking real strong!
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    I am now looking at efficiency more based on the limits on that line. as you know WNBA limits are pretty low, so books are not too confident in the efficiency yet. with that said you can see they have sharpened up a ton this year compared to last year

    now they open -10 and close -9.5 and -10.5, not -10 to -6 like last year! I think the margin will be thinner.
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    <style type="text/css"><!--td {border: 1px solid #ccc;}br {mso-data-placement:same-cell;}--></style>
    <colgroup><col style="width: 43px"><col width="42"><col width="83"><col width="50"><col width="58"><col width="79"><col width="140"></colgroup><tbody>
    7/7
    Las
    Aces
    -7.5





    7/7
    New
    Liberty
    162.5





    7/7
    Wash
    Mystics
    -2.5





    7/7
    Los
    Sparks
    157.5





    7/7
    Atla
    Dream
    151





    7/7
    Phoe
    Mercury
    -7


    Taurasi ????


    7/7
    Dall
    Wings
    153





    7/7
    Chic
    Sky
    -5.5




    </tbody>
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    lv 0.83
    was -2.68
    chi -6.35
    pho -3.13
    \

    what the heck you got on the Aces???


    <tbody>
    Jun 09, 2019

    Sun
    2019
    Aces
    Liberty
    away
    78-88
    2&1
    -11.0
    168.5
    -10
    -21.0
    -2.5
    -11.8
    9.2
    L
    L
    U
    0


    Jun 14, 2019

    Fri
    2019
    Aces
    Liberty
    home
    100-65
    4&1
    -13.0
    165.5
    35
    22.0
    -0.5
    10.8
    -11.2
    W
    W
    U
    0

    </tbody>

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    Aces double digit favorites over these guys this season. I hope you are right, Ill dash a few cents on the Liberty ML when it comes out but if its +9.5 or more I will take the Liberty!
  • jets96jets96 Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    talk to me in city names , who are the aces lol
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    LOL Las Vegas Aces
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    come on folks jump on this thread me and Jets can talk on the phone or via email. come on folks chime in. get me started on a topic!!!!
  • rookrook Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    danshan wrote: »
    come on folks jump on this thread me and Jets can talk on the phone or via email. come on folks chime in. get me started on a topic!!!!

    Welcome back danshan! Who is going to win between U.S. and the Netherlands tomorrow morning?
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    908 St Cards 1H +112 Pinnacle, that is too much I hope it creeps back down!

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    rook wrote: »
    Welcome back danshan! Who is going to win between U.S. and the Netherlands tomorrow morning?

    two bets I would take in that game
    1 the US to blow them out, I might find some dumb line like -2.5 or something
    2 Netherlands to not score until 2025, that game was horrible if they did not bring that dude in at the end they never would have got that goal in extra time the other day against Sweden!
  • RonbetsRonbets Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    You made it back. I tried to pull a prisoner swap for you but it went on deaf ears. Two questions.
    #1 Are you having trouble getting down for any serious $$ on WNBA?
    #2 Why were you 86'd from SBR?

    We may not get along, but any movement here is a positive.
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    I was talking about this dude with the pink hair

    they brought him in at like 85 minutes changed the gameattachment.php?attachmentid=428&stc=1

    - - - Updated - - -
    Ronbets wrote: »
    You made it back. I tried to pull a prisoner swap for you but it went on deaf ears. Two questions.
    #1 Are you having trouble getting down for any serious $$ on WNBA?
    #2 Why were you 86'd from SBR?

    We may not get along, but any movement here is a positive.

    Ron you are a good dude, I never had beef with you "call me out on my shit" total respect
    yes WNBA has lead me to exchanges and btc books, I have been using fairlay for WNBA
    SBR well like I was done wrong by the system, LOL the man! no in reality there was a guy who said he was betting MLB road dogs and had won 7 years straight doing just that, did not care about the line, pitcher or anything else. he sent me a PM asking me if I wanted to put my money where my mouth is, I obliged and I guess that is frowned upon! they banned me and dont even want to talk to me anymore about it, they have deemed me a bad guy trying to be a bookie! I have the chance of being a bookie as the Netherlands does of beating the US tomorrow! GO red white and blue. good to hear from you Ron and no hard feelings from me, I love the convos. Sports betting is my dream, future and alarm clock!

    - - - Updated - - -
    Ronbets wrote: »
    You made it back. I tried to pull a prisoner swap for you but it went on deaf ears. Two questions.
    #1 Are you having trouble getting down for any serious $$ on WNBA?
    #2 Why were you 86'd from SBR?

    We may not get along, but any movement here is a positive.

    even I would trade one donny for a mystery bag!
  • RonbetsRonbets Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    Mano a mano betting is not a crime or being a bookmaker. Wtf politicians/governors wager against one another during high profile games. Oh well, I hope everything works out here. A little controversy with the rank and file is good for all of us.
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    I hope some people jump on my thread get the pulse up around here! People fell asleep staring at oddshark and excel sheets and not enjoying the actual games!
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    looks like the betting world has decided my Cards bet is not a good one! Baseball betting is my worst and I love it, ironic!

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    I dont think Cousins has anything left in the tank and that is the veteran they chose! man that is nuts! he was 100% ineffective with the Warriors in the playoffs!
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    Donny take it serious when I post a bet at +102 and it closes at -130 and wins! these are the type things we take serious not exclamation points!
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    Grand slam never helps!
  • R40R40 Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    I was wrong. danshan is still a man on fire.

    What does any of this have to do with CLV?
  • R40R40 Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    How many units down on NBA were you this year?
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