Betting Talk

Belmont Stakes

Chisox6Chisox6 Senior Member
edited June 2019 in Sports Betting
Likely more tomorrow:

War of Will/Spinoff do not win Belmont 4.4/1.5

Sir Winston over Spinoff 2.8/2

Comments

  • Chisox6Chisox6 Senior Member
    edited June 2019
    Tax over Joevia 4.6/2
  • kcburghkcburgh Senior Member
    edited June 2019
    Any thoughts on Master Fencer top 3 at +525..
  • Chisox6Chisox6 Senior Member
    edited June 2019
    kcburgh wrote: »
    Any thoughts on Master Fencer top 3 at +525..

    Did not like the recent workouts at all. If he had had decent workouts, it would be great value.

    I would pass at that price, but I don't hate it.

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    kcburgh wrote: »
    Any thoughts on Master Fencer top 3 at +525..

    He's also taken a lot of steam versus him in the fixed odds and the matchups which concerns me. Based on those two things, a lot of people seeing him as 2nd worst choice in the field right now.
  • kcburghkcburgh Senior Member
    edited June 2019
    Chisox6 wrote: »
    Did not like the recent workouts at all. If he had had decent workouts, it would be great value.

    I would pass at that price, but I don't hate it.

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    He's also taken a lot of steam versus him in the fixed odds and the matchups which concerns me. Based on those two things, a lot of people seeing him as 2nd worst choice in the field right now.

    Thanks for the insight..took it light in an open parlay hoping I can use it Sunday with a NASCAR play. Even with the not so great workouts have a buddy really high on the horse.
  • Chisox6Chisox6 Senior Member
    edited June 2019
    It's very weird as he is still getting good respect in some other markets, including Gold Cup-Belmont Stakes Double will Pays.

    If he is healthy it is great value.

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    Intrepid Heart over Master Fencer 3.2/2
    Master Fencer over Joevia 3.7/2
  • gatorshoosiersgatorshoosiers Senior Member
    edited June 2019
    #8 Intrepid Heart good price and adding blinkers should be in good position throughout. BIG win/place bet
  • Chisox6Chisox6 Senior Member
    edited June 2019
    #8 Intrepid Heart good price and adding blinkers should be in good position throughout. BIG win/place bet

    Agree. Tacitus is my pick to win, but for current value I think Intrepid Heart and Sir Winston (who you can find some places at 20-1) are the best value.

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    Intrepid Heart over Everfast 2.4/1.5
  • jammerjammer Senior Member
    edited June 2019
    Chisox6 wrote: »
    Agree. Tacitus is my pick to win, but for current value I think Intrepid Heart and Sir Winston (who you can find some places at 20-1) are the best value.

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    Intrepid Heart over Everfast 2.4/1.5

    20-1? I see Intrepid Heart at 6-1 and Sir Winston around 8-1.
  • Chisox6Chisox6 Senior Member
    edited June 2019
    jammer wrote: »
    20-1? I see Intrepid Heart at 6-1 and Sir Winston around 8-1.

    Not top end books, so not for records or anything but some "recreational" books had them at 10-1 and 20-1 respectively as of this morning.

    11-1 and 10-1 on 5dimes currently
  • Chisox6Chisox6 Senior Member
    edited June 2019
    Well Sir Winston was the value, but pretty poor from me on the matchups. Joevia for 3rd was something I never saw, thought he'd finish in the bottom 2-3 retreating on far turn.
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