Betting Talk

MMA/UFC Thread

CajunHustle1979CajunHustle1979 Senior Member
edited March 2020 in Sports Betting
UFC 236


Dustin Poirier +185
Israel Adesanya -170

3tm Parlay
B. Muhammad/D. Grant/E. Anders +447
(will take the comeback on K. Rountree if first 2 fights win to lock in profit)
-All plays 1 unit-
«134567

Comments

  • CajunHustle1979CajunHustle1979 Senior Member
    edited April 2019
    Poirier is a Value play - both are at the top of their respected weightclass in significant strike differential , Poirier's takedowns/wrestling/BJJ are being disrespected by the line. However If Max can scramble to feet efficiently, he will likely control fight.
  • CajunHustle1979CajunHustle1979 Senior Member
    edited April 2019
    UFC 236


    Dustin Poirier +185
    Israel Adesanya -170

    3tm Parlay
    B. Muhammad/D. Grant/E. Anders +447
    (will take the comeback on K. Rountree if first 2 fights win to lock in profit)
    -All plays 1 unit-

    Poirier +1.85
    Adesanya +1.00

    3tm Parlay +447 -1.00 (took the comeback on Rountree +160 but will not count that)

    2-1 +1.85 units
  • CajunHustle1979CajunHustle1979 Senior Member
    edited April 2019
    UFC 238 June 8th

    H. Cejudo +125
    Henry is moving up a weight class so there are legitimate questions how he will handle power from a killer like Moraes - however Getting + money on current 125lb champion and Olympic gold medalist is value.
  • CajunHustle1979CajunHustle1979 Senior Member
    edited April 2019
    UFC Fight Night "Sunrise" April 27

    Andrei Arlovski vs Augusto Sakai - Fight will not start Rd3 +163 (5dimes)

    Arlovski has been fighting more conservative because of a suspect chin- heavyweights - playable line.
  • CajunHustle1979CajunHustle1979 Senior Member
    edited April 2019
    UFC Fight Night "Sunrise" April 27

    Andrei Arlovski vs Augusto Sakai - Fight will not start Rd3 +163 (5dimes)

    Arlovski has been fighting more conservative because of a suspect chin- heavyweights - playable line.

    There are some UNDER 2.5 rds with locals floating around @ +160 - even better fyi
  • CajunHustle1979CajunHustle1979 Senior Member
    edited April 2019
    24 hrs until fights kick off and 99% of offshores have not posted over/unders smfh
  • CajunHustle1979CajunHustle1979 Senior Member
    edited April 2019
    John Lineker -141

    Fading the Hot prospect Cory Sandhagen, big step up.
  • CajunHustle1979CajunHustle1979 Senior Member
    edited April 2019
    Split decision with Lineker - Good fight. Take the L today.

    2-3 - (.61 units)
  • CajunHustle1979CajunHustle1979 Senior Member
    edited April 2019
    Correction

    2-3 - (.56 units)
  • CajunHustle1979CajunHustle1979 Senior Member
    edited May 2019
    UFC Ottawa
    Prelims
    J. Adams -117
    K. Nelson +188
  • CajunHustle1979CajunHustle1979 Senior Member
    edited May 2019
    UFC Ottawa
    Main Card
    E. Theodordu -109
    W. Harris -160
  • CajunHustle1979CajunHustle1979 Senior Member
    edited May 2019
    Ouch. Theodordu was just a bad pick, his striking was damn near comical during most of that fight. Adams was a victim of home field.

    Ytd
    3-6 - ( 2.82)
  • CajunHustle1979CajunHustle1979 Senior Member
    edited May 2019
    UFC 237
    Prelims
    K. Holobaugh +131
  • CajunHustle1979CajunHustle1979 Senior Member
    edited May 2019
    UFC 237
    It's Time!!
    Thug Rose +110
  • Jake T.Jake T. Senior Member
    edited May 2019
    Nice hit on Walt Harris. I got suckered into the hype of the undefeated dude he fought. Yikes.
  • CajunHustle1979CajunHustle1979 Senior Member
    edited May 2019
    UFC 237 add
    Prelims
    R. Spann -138

    - - - Updated - - -
    Jake T. wrote: »
    Nice hit on Walt Harris. I got suckered into the hype of the undefeated dude he fought. Yikes.

    Hard to judge new UFC fighters with no striking/grapple/takedown etc stats. PFL on ESPN will start keeping stats this year...give us another pool of fighters to track statistically.
  • CajunHustle1979CajunHustle1979 Senior Member
    edited May 2019
    UFC 237
    Main Card

    I'm high on Volkanovski , has a Chin and cardio- but Aldo's striking stats are skewed from 2 fights with current champ and his takedown defense is real. Current Value is on the former Brazilian Champ @ home.

    J.Aldo -129
  • CajunHustle1979CajunHustle1979 Senior Member
    edited May 2019
    Anyone playing PFL card tonight?
  • CajunHustle1979CajunHustle1979 Senior Member
    edited May 2019
    Anyone playing PFL card tonight?

    I have no plays in PLF- lack of tape and stats. Magomed Magomedkerimov - those Dagestan dudes are a MF. Line - 1300 on 5dimes( dimes is the market maker in combat sports imo) is probably about right. No plays - but interested in how this plays out. GL
  • CajunHustle1979CajunHustle1979 Senior Member
    edited May 2019
    Lines on PFL so wide from book to book, seems like opportunity - obviously they seem to be protecting themselves from Arbs - locals may fill that gap.
  • CajunHustle1979CajunHustle1979 Senior Member
    edited May 2019
    Been Vacation - housekeeping

    Ytd 4-9 (5.11)
  • CajunHustle1979CajunHustle1979 Senior Member
    edited May 2019
    UFC Stockholm
    Main Card

    Makwan Amirkhani +105
    Ilir Latifi +105
  • CajunHustle1979CajunHustle1979 Senior Member
    edited May 2019
    UFC Stockholm

    His opponent is a bad dude in his own backyard, against all statistics I'm taking the man with more heart and hunger. Anthony would be the LHW champ if he would have accepted the DQ against the the baddest MF'er on planet - but he didn't. Dont tail

    Anthony "LionHeart" Smith +249
  • CajunHustle1979CajunHustle1979 Senior Member
    edited May 2019
    UFC Stockholm
    Ilir Latifi fight canceled due to injury.
    Prelims
    F. Camacho -115
  • CajunHustle1979CajunHustle1979 Senior Member
    edited June 2019
    UFC Stockholm
    Ilir Latifi fight canceled due to injury.
    Prelims
    F. Camacho -115

    Frank Camacho +1.00
  • CajunHustle1979CajunHustle1979 Senior Member
    edited June 2019
    UFC Stockholm
    Main Card

    Makwan Amirkhani +105
    Ilir Latifi +105

    Amirkhani +1.05
    Latifi no action
  • CajunHustle1979CajunHustle1979 Senior Member
    edited June 2019
    The LionHeart !!!! +2.49
    Finally CLV and outcome managed to coincide on this card.
    Today 3-0 +4.54

    Ytd 7-9 (0.57)
  • CajunHustle1979CajunHustle1979 Senior Member
    edited June 2019
    UFC 238 June 8th

    H. Cejudo +125
    Henry is moving up a weight class so there are legitimate questions how he will handle power from a killer like Moraes - however Getting + money on current 125lb champion and Olympic gold medalist is value.

    Aljamain Sterling -129
    This is a hard read - will be a literal War with Munhoz who has output, granite fist and chin - may hedge later with right #.
  • CajunHustle1979CajunHustle1979 Senior Member
    edited June 2019
    UFC 238

    Donald Cerrone +123
    This will be another war on June 8th. I think Cerrone focus on his surgically repaired knee with visious Muay Thai kicks inside/out...stripping Ferguson of his explosivness and grinding out a decision victory.
  • CajunHustle1979CajunHustle1979 Senior Member
    edited June 2019
    UFC 238
    CoMain
    Shevchenko/Eye U4.5 rds +107 (5Dimes)
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