Betting Talk

2019 ATP/WTA Tennis

1456810

Comments

  • spiderman77spiderman77 Senior Member
    edited June 2019
    After today's win over Kerber, Bencic has shown me enough on grass to back her at Wimbledon @ 28/1.

    Barty the favorite to win, which is amazing, but hard to argue. She has clearly been the best player in 2019. I'll always root for her.
  • h82loseh82lose Senior Member
    edited June 2019
    Hey Spider. laying low for the first 2 weeks of grass should be up and running by Wimbly. Havnt watch Bencic, but Fed does not look like the same Fed on grass.
  • spiderman77spiderman77 Senior Member
    edited June 2019
    Good to hear, grass isn’t my favorite.

    Haven’t watched any of Fed. You mean he’s not looking as good as he normally does on grass?

    Apparently Rafa and Joker are not playing any warmup grass tournaments, which I think hurts them, but I guess they figured rest was more important after their run to the French finals. I’ve never liked how close Wimbledon is to the French, it’s so tough on players that go deep in the French.
  • h82loseh82lose Senior Member
    edited June 2019
    6/27
    Jabeur -105 over Cornet (WTA)
    Busta +142 over Tomic
  • h82loseh82lose Senior Member
    edited June 2019
    YTD: 180-178 +12.93 units

    6/28
    Busta +119 over Sonego
  • h82loseh82lose Senior Member
    edited June 2019
    Wimbly

    Granollers +135 over Sonego
    Busta +144 over Popyrin
    Verdasco -103 over Majchrzak
    Tipseravic +111 pver Nishioka
    Garin -175 over Rublev
    Fognini +130 over Tiafoe
    Basilashvili -186 over Ward
    Istomin +147 over Norrie
    Baghdatis -120 over Schnur

    Mchale -104 over Dart
    Navarro +112 over Stosur
    Siegmund -108 over Swan
    Townsend -147 overRodionova
    Wang -137 over Martincova
    Rybarikova +183 over Sabalenka
  • h82loseh82lose Senior Member
    edited June 2019
    Berankis +6.5 -105 over Shapovalov
    Lajovic +5 -106 over Hurkacz
    Stebe +5.5 -105 over Opelka
    Lopez/Giron U37 -103
    Dellien +8.5 -105 over Millman
  • h82loseh82lose Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    Pella +109 over Copil
    Kachanov -5 -115 over Kwon
  • h82loseh82lose Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    Jaziri +6.5 -105 over Kudla
  • h82loseh82lose Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    h82lose wrote: »
    YTD: 180-178 +12.93 units

    6/28
    Busta +119 over Sonego

    Edit* on this record. did not grade Nara from 5/26, correct record before wimbledon and before the Busta match is:

    YTD: 181-178 +13.93 units

    - - - Updated - - -

    7/2

    YTD: 187-183 +16.06 units
    Wimbly: 6-4 +3.13 units

    push on Lajovic

    adding 1 more unit to this one
    Baghdatis -106 over Schnur
  • paddyboy111paddyboy111 Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    h82lose wrote: »
    Edit* on this record. did not grade Nara from 5/26, correct record before wimbledon and before the Busta match is:

    YTD: 181-178 +13.93 units

    - - - Updated - - -

    7/2

    YTD: 187-183 +16.06 units
    Wimbly: 6-4 +3.13 units

    push on Lajovic

    adding 1 more unit to this one
    Baghdatis -106 over Schnur

    Any early thoughts on the phenom Gauff in the 2nd round? I see her at +150 to +160.
  • h82loseh82lose Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    I haven't seen much of her. my numbers tell me to go against her next round with Rybarikova. If she wins, then will adjust for her going forward

    7/3
    Wimbly R2

    Mayer +155 over Hurkacz
    Verdasco +146 over Edmund
    Karlovic +106 over Fabbiano
    Cuevas +266 over Vesely

    Watson/Kontaveit U20.5 -108
    Rybarikova -193 over Gauff
    Kenin -135 over Yastremska
  • h82loseh82lose Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    buying off mchale. dont like the way that one is getting hit. and its one the least strongest plays out of the group. dont have it in me to lay the ML so hopefully the spread doesn't come and bit me in the ass

    Dart -2.5 -103 over Mchale
  • h82loseh82lose Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    Wimbly: 15-9 +6.68 units

    of course I lose both sides of the michale , dart match, sheesh. going to stay away from Mens spreads. The best of 5 really screws up the value on the dogs I think. That 3rd set is a toss up with motivation when someone is down 2-0. and 1 set can really get away from you and kill the spread.

    R2 Adds:
    Zidanesk +4 +135 over Wange (+5 -110 is better if you can find that)
    Niculescu +4.5 +100 over Mertens
    Struff +139 over Fritz


    Pending:
    Mayer +155 over Hurkacz
    Verdasco +146 over Edmund
    Karlovic +106 over Fabbiano
    Cuevas +266 over Vesely

    Watson/Kontaveit U20.5 -108
    Rybarikova -193 over Gauff
    Kenin -135 over Yastremska
  • h82loseh82lose Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    R2 Adds

    Granollers -104 over Humbert
    Fognini -131 over Fucsovics
  • jammerjammer Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    Any early thoughts on the phenom Gauff in the 2nd round? I see her at +150 to +160.

    She made Rybarikova her bitch.
  • h82loseh82lose Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    i am a believer. I grabbed her against Hercog right when it came out. Got -112. wouldnt advise playing at current prices. But the only thing I can see hurting her is someone bringing her to net and cutting the court off. I dont see that happining with Hercog. she can go baseline to baseline all day with her. her 2nd weakness can be her serve IMO but she will get plenty of looks at Hercogs 2nd serve. This is a very favorable match up for her a winnable match. More so then Rybarikova, who could actually do damage at the net and is more of a crafty player. If you noticed the only time she had success is when she stopped doing drop shots. hit the ball hard and cut off the court and went to net. She only started doing that in the 2nd set and by that time it was too late. one hiccup game and its all it took. But she was more into Cocos service games by doing that then she was in the 1st set. Just my 2cents. cant wait to watch her play. I'm sure with time people will figure her out but for now shes got a great grass game. No way to put a rating on her at this time. But she passed the eye test for me
  • h82loseh82lose Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    Wimbly 19-17 +2.21

    Round 3

    Paire -104 over Vesely
    Raonic/Opelka U44.5 -106
    Halep -101 over Azarenka (WTA)
    Svitolina +120 over Sakkari (WTA)
    Georges +189 over Williams (WTA)
    Fognini/Sandgren U37.5 -115
    Struff/Kukushkin O37 -104
  • h82loseh82lose Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    Wimbly 23-17 +6.41

    Pending:
    Fognini/Sandgren U37.5 -115
    Struff/Kukushkin O37 -104
    Georges +189 over Williams (WTA

    will try to be back by sunday for R4 if any value left.
  • h82loseh82lose Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    7/8 Round 4

    Martic +108 over Svitolina (WTA)
  • h82loseh82lose Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    7/8

    Strycova +128 over Mertens
    Gauff/Halep U20 -115 (bookmaker only one I see with 20)
  • h82loseh82lose Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    Pella/Raonic O38.5 -108
  • h82loseh82lose Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    Wimbledon: 28-19 +9.69
    YTD 209-198 +22.62

    happy with results for the tourny will probably hold back for the rest of tourny unless something is really strong and sticks out. GL
  • h82loseh82lose Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    7/10
    Federer/Nishikori O34.5 -102
  • h82loseh82lose Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    Wimbly: 29-19 +10.69

    Federer on grass Plus money and not against DJ. gotta take a stab at that.

    Federer +117 over Nadal
  • h82loseh82lose Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    7/11

    Strycova +4.5 +100 over Williams (WTA)
  • h82loseh82lose Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    Wimbledon 2019: 30-20 +10.86u
    YTD 2019: 211-199 +23.79u

    didn't understand all the love for Rafa on that last match. Thats it for the tourney for me. I see some value in Fed in the finals but DJ is a different matchup on grass. I have him as a very slight favorite over Fed. I got a fed futures ticket that Im gonna let play out. GL
  • spiderman77spiderman77 Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    h82lose wrote: »
    I see some value in Fed in the finals but DJ is a different matchup on grass. I have him as a very slight favorite over Fed. I got a fed futures ticket that Im gonna let play out. GL

    I agree, I was guessing -150. I have a Joker ticket that I was going to let ride but if they bet him up to the point where I can get Fed at +200 I’ll hedge some the other way. Fed won’t be able to attack Joker like he did Nadal, so it will be tougher, but I still see him as be close to Joker on grass.
  • h82loseh82lose Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    I agree, I was guessing -150. I have a Joker ticket that I was going to let ride but if they bet him up to the point where I can get Fed at +200 I’ll hedge some the other way. Fed won’t be able to attack Joker like he did Nadal, so it will be tougher, but I still see him as be close to Joker on grass.

    couldn't get much closer than that. Fed should of had that. But once again DJ is clutch
  • h82loseh82lose Senior Member
    edited July 2019
    7/15

    Gray +5.5 +100 over Majchrzak
    Istomin +188 over Sandgren
    Mattek Sands +4.5 +100 over Bonaventure (WTA)
    Zidanesk +102 over Juvan (WTA)
    Siegmund -188 over Kalinina (WTA)
    Bouchard +110 over Korpatsch (WTA)
    Sugnaux +6 +105 over Paolini (WTA)
    Kozlova -125 over Gracheva (WTA)
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