Hey Spider. laying low for the first 2 weeks of grass should be up and running by Wimbly. Havnt watch Bencic, but Fed does not look like the same Fed on grass.
Havent watched any of Fed. You mean hes not looking as good as he normally does on grass?
Apparently Rafa and Joker are not playing any warmup grass tournaments, which I think hurts them, but I guess they figured rest was more important after their run to the French finals. Ive never liked how close Wimbledon is to the French, its so tough on players that go deep in the French.
Granollers +135 over Sonego
Busta +144 over Popyrin
Verdasco -103 over Majchrzak
Tipseravic +111 pver Nishioka
Garin -175 over Rublev
Fognini +130 over Tiafoe
Basilashvili -186 over Ward
Istomin +147 over Norrie
Baghdatis -120 over Schnur
Mchale -104 over Dart
Navarro +112 over Stosur
Siegmund -108 over Swan
Townsend -147 overRodionova
Wang -137 over Martincova
Rybarikova +183 over Sabalenka
buying off mchale. dont like the way that one is getting hit. and its one the least strongest plays out of the group. dont have it in me to lay the ML so hopefully the spread doesn't come and bit me in the ass
of course I lose both sides of the michale , dart match, sheesh. going to stay away from Mens spreads. The best of 5 really screws up the value on the dogs I think. That 3rd set is a toss up with motivation when someone is down 2-0. and 1 set can really get away from you and kill the spread.
R2 Adds:
Zidanesk +4 +135 over Wange (+5 -110 is better if you can find that)
Niculescu +4.5 +100 over Mertens
Struff +139 over Fritz
Pending:
Mayer +155 over Hurkacz
Verdasco +146 over Edmund
Karlovic +106 over Fabbiano
Cuevas +266 over Vesely
Watson/Kontaveit U20.5 -108
Rybarikova -193 over Gauff
Kenin -135 over Yastremska
i am a believer. I grabbed her against Hercog right when it came out. Got -112. wouldnt advise playing at current prices. But the only thing I can see hurting her is someone bringing her to net and cutting the court off. I dont see that happining with Hercog. she can go baseline to baseline all day with her. her 2nd weakness can be her serve IMO but she will get plenty of looks at Hercogs 2nd serve. This is a very favorable match up for her a winnable match. More so then Rybarikova, who could actually do damage at the net and is more of a crafty player. If you noticed the only time she had success is when she stopped doing drop shots. hit the ball hard and cut off the court and went to net. She only started doing that in the 2nd set and by that time it was too late. one hiccup game and its all it took. But she was more into Cocos service games by doing that then she was in the 1st set. Just my 2cents. cant wait to watch her play. I'm sure with time people will figure her out but for now shes got a great grass game. No way to put a rating on her at this time. But she passed the eye test for me
Paire -104 over Vesely
Raonic/Opelka U44.5 -106
Halep -101 over Azarenka (WTA)
Svitolina +120 over Sakkari (WTA)
Georges +189 over Williams (WTA)
Fognini/Sandgren U37.5 -115
Struff/Kukushkin O37 -104
didn't understand all the love for Rafa on that last match. Thats it for the tourney for me. I see some value in Fed in the finals but DJ is a different matchup on grass. I have him as a very slight favorite over Fed. I got a fed futures ticket that Im gonna let play out. GL
I see some value in Fed in the finals but DJ is a different matchup on grass. I have him as a very slight favorite over Fed. I got a fed futures ticket that Im gonna let play out. GL
I agree, I was guessing -150. I have a Joker ticket that I was going to let ride but if they bet him up to the point where I can get Fed at +200 Ill hedge some the other way. Fed wont be able to attack Joker like he did Nadal, so it will be tougher, but I still see him as be close to Joker on grass.
I agree, I was guessing -150. I have a Joker ticket that I was going to let ride but if they bet him up to the point where I can get Fed at +200 Ill hedge some the other way. Fed wont be able to attack Joker like he did Nadal, so it will be tougher, but I still see him as be close to Joker on grass.
couldn't get much closer than that. Fed should of had that. But once again DJ is clutch
Comments
Barty the favorite to win, which is amazing, but hard to argue. She has clearly been the best player in 2019. I'll always root for her.
Havent watched any of Fed. You mean hes not looking as good as he normally does on grass?
Apparently Rafa and Joker are not playing any warmup grass tournaments, which I think hurts them, but I guess they figured rest was more important after their run to the French finals. Ive never liked how close Wimbledon is to the French, its so tough on players that go deep in the French.
Jabeur -105 over Cornet (WTA)
Busta +142 over Tomic
6/28
Busta +119 over Sonego
Granollers +135 over Sonego
Busta +144 over Popyrin
Verdasco -103 over Majchrzak
Tipseravic +111 pver Nishioka
Garin -175 over Rublev
Fognini +130 over Tiafoe
Basilashvili -186 over Ward
Istomin +147 over Norrie
Baghdatis -120 over Schnur
Mchale -104 over Dart
Navarro +112 over Stosur
Siegmund -108 over Swan
Townsend -147 overRodionova
Wang -137 over Martincova
Rybarikova +183 over Sabalenka
Lajovic +5 -106 over Hurkacz
Stebe +5.5 -105 over Opelka
Lopez/Giron U37 -103
Dellien +8.5 -105 over Millman
Kachanov -5 -115 over Kwon
Edit* on this record. did not grade Nara from 5/26, correct record before wimbledon and before the Busta match is:
YTD: 181-178 +13.93 units
- - - Updated - - -
7/2
YTD: 187-183 +16.06 units
Wimbly: 6-4 +3.13 units
push on Lajovic
adding 1 more unit to this one
Baghdatis -106 over Schnur
Any early thoughts on the phenom Gauff in the 2nd round? I see her at +150 to +160.
7/3
Wimbly R2
Mayer +155 over Hurkacz
Verdasco +146 over Edmund
Karlovic +106 over Fabbiano
Cuevas +266 over Vesely
Watson/Kontaveit U20.5 -108
Rybarikova -193 over Gauff
Kenin -135 over Yastremska
Dart -2.5 -103 over Mchale
of course I lose both sides of the michale , dart match, sheesh. going to stay away from Mens spreads. The best of 5 really screws up the value on the dogs I think. That 3rd set is a toss up with motivation when someone is down 2-0. and 1 set can really get away from you and kill the spread.
R2 Adds:
Zidanesk +4 +135 over Wange (+5 -110 is better if you can find that)
Niculescu +4.5 +100 over Mertens
Struff +139 over Fritz
Pending:
Mayer +155 over Hurkacz
Verdasco +146 over Edmund
Karlovic +106 over Fabbiano
Cuevas +266 over Vesely
Watson/Kontaveit U20.5 -108
Rybarikova -193 over Gauff
Kenin -135 over Yastremska
Granollers -104 over Humbert
Fognini -131 over Fucsovics
She made Rybarikova her bitch.
Round 3
Paire -104 over Vesely
Raonic/Opelka U44.5 -106
Halep -101 over Azarenka (WTA)
Svitolina +120 over Sakkari (WTA)
Georges +189 over Williams (WTA)
Fognini/Sandgren U37.5 -115
Struff/Kukushkin O37 -104
Pending:
Fognini/Sandgren U37.5 -115
Struff/Kukushkin O37 -104
Georges +189 over Williams (WTA
will try to be back by sunday for R4 if any value left.
Martic +108 over Svitolina (WTA)
Strycova +128 over Mertens
Gauff/Halep U20 -115 (bookmaker only one I see with 20)
YTD 209-198 +22.62
happy with results for the tourny will probably hold back for the rest of tourny unless something is really strong and sticks out. GL
Federer/Nishikori O34.5 -102
Federer on grass Plus money and not against DJ. gotta take a stab at that.
Federer +117 over Nadal
Strycova +4.5 +100 over Williams (WTA)
YTD 2019: 211-199 +23.79u
didn't understand all the love for Rafa on that last match. Thats it for the tourney for me. I see some value in Fed in the finals but DJ is a different matchup on grass. I have him as a very slight favorite over Fed. I got a fed futures ticket that Im gonna let play out. GL
I agree, I was guessing -150. I have a Joker ticket that I was going to let ride but if they bet him up to the point where I can get Fed at +200 Ill hedge some the other way. Fed wont be able to attack Joker like he did Nadal, so it will be tougher, but I still see him as be close to Joker on grass.
couldn't get much closer than that. Fed should of had that. But once again DJ is clutch
Gray +5.5 +100 over Majchrzak
Istomin +188 over Sandgren
Mattek Sands +4.5 +100 over Bonaventure (WTA)
Zidanesk +102 over Juvan (WTA)
Siegmund -188 over Kalinina (WTA)
Bouchard +110 over Korpatsch (WTA)
Sugnaux +6 +105 over Paolini (WTA)
Kozlova -125 over Gracheva (WTA)