1. #31
    Senior Member h82lose's Avatar
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    too much value to pass up

    Nadal +193 over Federer

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    Quote Originally Posted by h82lose View Post
    too much value to pass up

    Nadal +193 over Federer
    Agree, I was guessing 130 - 140 range. Fed has looked mighty good but I'll side with Nadal on slower courts.

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    i still think fed has the upperhand out here in the desert. But not by 2-1 favorite. almost like an auto play on rafa when you can get that great of an odds and its not even against DJ

    5dimes is hanging +200 right now

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    My buddies like Fed. Hopefully itís a good match regardless of who wins.

    BTW, nice bounce back from the tough start to the season. Pretty tough to watch Andreescu butcher match point at 5-3. Surprised she recovered, especially with cramps coming on.

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    I guess we get lucky with Nadal withdrawing given that he's not 100%. Of course if you have tickets to the event that sucks.

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    ive seen nadal and fed play at IW twice. 1st time it was a 6 hour rain delay in the semis after inser took out DJ in the first match of the day. the 2nd was when fed absolutely destroyed rafa in 1 way traffic type a match. I wasn't out here here for semi's this year but your right, big time bummer for the fans. tickets were going for good money too. haha

    - - - Updated - - -

    no action on rafa

    IW: 16-15 +3.47 units
    YTD: 25-33 -3.55 units

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    Miami qualifiers

    2 team parlay
    (Gunneswaran -292/Bolt -158 ) +119

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    3/20 Womens Miami

    Rodina +180 over Stosur
    Kuzmova +110 over Gavrilova
    Cornet -150 over Lapko
    Sakkari -138 over Danilovic

    Mens
    Tipsarevic +125 over Klahn
    Hurkacz -105 over Berrettini\
    M Zverev +128 over Kuhn
    Eubanks -102 over Dzumhur
    Gulbis +155 over Kecmanovic

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  10. #39
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    Miami: 4-2 +2.53 units

    Jarry +134 over Chardy
    Ymer +150 over Mayer

    Pending:
    Cornet -150 over Lapko (WTA) to finish
    Kuzmova +110 over Gavrilova (WTA)
    Eubanks -102 over Dzumhur
    Gulbis +155 over Kecmanovic

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    3/23
    Albot/Federer U20 -105
    Cecchinato -136 over Dzumhur (1.5 Units)
    Tiafoe -115 over Kecmanovic
    Ferrer +321 over A. Zverev
    Maria +145 over Giorgi (WTA) (3/22)

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    no action on cecchinato/dzumhur
    Miami: 9-7 +5.22 units

    3/25
    Tiafoe +106 over Ferrer

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    3/26
    Basilashvili +105 over Alliassime
    Federer/Medevev U22 +103

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    Quote Originally Posted by h82lose View Post
    3/26
    Basilashvili +105 over Alliassime
    Federer/Medevev U22 +103
    H82lose, have you ever read the JQAS paper on Tennis match prediction models? I'm not sure how data-fueled your picks are, but I'm interested to know if you see any value in the paper. I've found good stuff in JQAS in the past. Stephanie Ann Kovalchik is the author.

    https://www.degruyter.com/view/j/jqa...-2015-0059.xml

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    Paddy. Thanks. No I havenít read this. I will check it out. I implement a lot of point statistics, situational match ups, similar opponents played based on my own rating bucket I put them in. Ex pusher vs counter striker etc. and off course current form and surface

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    Alliassime +125 over Coric

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