should probably wait a little for some of these lines to settle in the future. Bencic was being bet like she already won. Crazy line movement only for Martic to win comfortably in strait sets. Love the win but would love loved +225 odds even better.
The original line seemed right to me, although I am admittedly biased towards Bencic. I think shes a top 5 player when healthy. She won Dubai and had a very good Indian Wells showing before bowing out early in Miami, presumably because of fatigue. Martic has played well at Charleston for sure, but she hadnt done much prior to that. I never saw the late line movement, which Ill agree was a bit unwarranted, but I doubt that Id have played her even if I would have seen the movement.
I did like the Rivarakova play. I almost played Stephens as well. I though she should have been the favorite, but I have a hard time playing on her or Keys. I mostly play against them.
I might join you on the Azarenka play. Shes not as strong of a player as she used to be but she appears to be in very good shape so the clay surface could help her.
Could be, Im not very attuned to how the clay affects players games. I dont play very aggressively on anything other than hard courts. Both my leans today were losers (Stephens and Collins) but I didnt play either. Definitely surprised by how well Puig played.
I see that line move. I also just realized its at Monterrey so no clay court. Ill pass on that one, good luck on it. Youve had a damn good week.
sorry all over the place. 4 tournys today and just trying to get everything out early. im expecting im not going to be able to keep this up for long. too much work lol
Houston/Marrakech/Bogata/Lugano: 3-1 +4.2 units
Pending:
Houston R1
Dellien +207 over Ruud
Tomic +132 over Kudla
Tipseravic +112 over Sandgren
Garin +134 over Cuevas
WTA Lugano R1
4/8
Lapsko -192 over Jani (WTA)
WTA Bogota R1
Lisicki +5.5 -115 over Anisimova (WTA)
Rogers -138 over Sharma (WTA)
Arango +6 +107 over Schoofs
4/9
Bogdan -204 over Paquet
Babos +153 over Arruabarrena
I still like it alot, its fallen back down to where it was close to open. it jumped and thats why i got on it. These lines have been all over the place before first ball.
Adding:
Peterson -144 over French (WTA)
Kohlschreiber -167 over Fokina
Pending:
Tipseravic +112 over Sandgren
Lapsko -192 over Jani (WTA)
Rogers -138 over Sharma (WTA)
Arango +6 +107 over Schoofs (WTA)
Bogdan -204 over Paquet (WTA)
Babos +153 over Arruabarrena (WTA)
push on Arango +6 and Rogers is suspended till tomorrow but shes down 5-1 in the third so just counting that as a loss.
Pending:
Erani -105 over Schoofs (WTA) (1.5 units*)
Cristea +155 over Hercog (WTA)
Haase +145 over Sonego
Simon -143 over Andreozzi
Van Uytvanck -139 over Ferro (WTA)
Kuznetsova +163 over Bacsinszky
Lepchenko +4.5 -105 over Anisimova (WTA)
Opelka -112 over Ruud
Tomic +126 over Granollers
4/11
Pliskova -110 over Lottner (WTA)
Lapko -151 over Rodina (WTA)
Comments
The original line seemed right to me, although I am admittedly biased towards Bencic. I think shes a top 5 player when healthy. She won Dubai and had a very good Indian Wells showing before bowing out early in Miami, presumably because of fatigue. Martic has played well at Charleston for sure, but she hadnt done much prior to that. I never saw the late line movement, which Ill agree was a bit unwarranted, but I doubt that Id have played her even if I would have seen the movement.
I did like the Rivarakova play. I almost played Stephens as well. I though she should have been the favorite, but I have a hard time playing on her or Keys. I mostly play against them.
I might join you on the Azarenka play. Shes not as strong of a player as she used to be but she appears to be in very good shape so the clay surface could help her.
I see that line move. I also just realized its at Monterrey so no clay court. Ill pass on that one, good luck on it. Youve had a damn good week.
2019 YTD: 52-46 +14.5 units
Pending:
Azarenka +105 over Pavlyuchenkova (WTA)
Probably done for the week. have a good weekend
4/7 (Monterrey Final)
Muguruza +149 over Azarenka (WTA)
Houston R1
Dellien +207 over Ruud
Tomic +132 over Kudla
Tipseravic +112 over Sandgren
Garin +134 over Cuevas
M Zverev +219 over Daniel (would take +4 at -110 or better if available instead)
Played that as well, unfortunately I played the opener at +130 thinking it would be bet the other way. Apparently no love for Mugu.
Serrano +182 over Perrin (1.5 Units) (WTA)
Lepchenko +105 over Jorovic (WTA)
Lisicki +5.5 -115 over Anisimova (WTA)
Rogers -138 over Sharma (WTA)
- - - Updated - - -
never usually is. shes a head case
2019 YTD: 53-46 +15.55 units
Add: WTA Lugano R1
Kuznetsova +147 over Alexandrova
Pending:
Houston R1
Dellien +207 over Ruud
Tomic +132 over Kudla
Tipseravic +112 over Sandgren
Garin +134 over Cuevas
Marrakech R1
M Zverev +219 over Daniel
WTA Bogota R1
Serrano +182 over Perrin (1.5 Units) (WTA)
Lepchenko +105 over Jorovic (WTA)
Lisicki +5.5 -115 over Anisimova (WTA)
Rogers -138 over Sharma (WTA)
4/8 WTA Bogota
Babos +4.5 -115 over Maria (WTA)
Add: R1 Bogota WTA
4/8
Lepchenko -160 over Kostova
4/9
Bogdan -204 over Paquet
Babos +153 over Arruabarrena
Arango +6 +107 over Schoofs
Simon -143 over Andreozzi
4/8
Lapsko -192 over Jani (WTA)
Houston/Marrakech/Bogata/Lugano: 3-1 +4.2 units
Pending:
Houston R1
Dellien +207 over Ruud
Tomic +132 over Kudla
Tipseravic +112 over Sandgren
Garin +134 over Cuevas
WTA Lugano R1
4/8
Lapsko -192 over Jani (WTA)
WTA Bogota R1
Lisicki +5.5 -115 over Anisimova (WTA)
Rogers -138 over Sharma (WTA)
Arango +6 +107 over Schoofs
4/9
Bogdan -204 over Paquet
Babos +153 over Arruabarrena
4/10 Marrakech R2
Simon -143 over Andreozzi
Any concern for the 30 cent drop?
Great work btw. Love betting on tennis.
I still like it alot, its fallen back down to where it was close to open. it jumped and thats why i got on it. These lines have been all over the place before first ball.
Adding:
Peterson -144 over French (WTA)
Kohlschreiber -167 over Fokina
Pending:
Tipseravic +112 over Sandgren
Lapsko -192 over Jani (WTA)
Rogers -138 over Sharma (WTA)
Arango +6 +107 over Schoofs (WTA)
Bogdan -204 over Paquet (WTA)
Babos +153 over Arruabarrena (WTA)
4/10 Marrakech R2
Simon -143 over Andreozzi
Opelka -112 over Ruud
- - - Updated - - -
4/10 Houston R2
Tomic +126 over Granollers
Lepchenko +4.5 -105 over Anisimova (WTA)
Lorenzi -127 over Galan
Looks to be spot on. She just lost in straights as a 5/1 favorite and the overall tournament's #1 seed, to a qualifier no less.
Van Uytvanck -139 over Ferro (WTA)
Lugano R2 WTA
Kuznetsova +163 over Bacsinszky
4/10
Haase +145 over Sonego
more coming
Erani -105 over Schoofs (WTA) (1.5 units*)
Cristea +155 over Hercog (WTA)
4/11
Pliskova -110 over Lottner (WTA)
Lapko -151 over Rodina (WTA)
- - - Updated - - -
anything over +125 or better is still good
push on Arango +6 and Rogers is suspended till tomorrow but shes down 5-1 in the third so just counting that as a loss.
Pending:
Erani -105 over Schoofs (WTA) (1.5 units*)
Cristea +155 over Hercog (WTA)
Haase +145 over Sonego
Simon -143 over Andreozzi
Van Uytvanck -139 over Ferro (WTA)
Kuznetsova +163 over Bacsinszky
Lepchenko +4.5 -105 over Anisimova (WTA)
Opelka -112 over Ruud
Tomic +126 over Granollers
4/11
Pliskova -110 over Lottner (WTA)
Lapko -151 over Rodina (WTA)
Should be it. GL
Serrano +155 over Ahn (WTA)