Betting Talk

2019 ATP/WTA Tennis

2456710

Comments

  • spiderman77spiderman77 Senior Member
    edited March 2019
    h82lose wrote: »
    too much value to pass up

    Nadal +193 over Federer

    Agree, I was guessing 130 - 140 range. Fed has looked mighty good but I'll side with Nadal on slower courts.
  • h82loseh82lose Senior Member
    edited March 2019
    i still think fed has the upperhand out here in the desert. But not by 2-1 favorite. almost like an auto play on rafa when you can get that great of an odds and its not even against DJ

    5dimes is hanging +200 right now
  • spiderman77spiderman77 Senior Member
    edited March 2019
    My buddies like Fed. Hopefully it’s a good match regardless of who wins.

    BTW, nice bounce back from the tough start to the season. Pretty tough to watch Andreescu butcher match point at 5-3. Surprised she recovered, especially with cramps coming on.
  • spiderman77spiderman77 Senior Member
    edited March 2019
    I guess we get lucky with Nadal withdrawing given that he's not 100%. Of course if you have tickets to the event that sucks.
  • h82loseh82lose Senior Member
    edited March 2019
    ive seen nadal and fed play at IW twice. 1st time it was a 6 hour rain delay in the semis after inser took out DJ in the first match of the day. the 2nd was when fed absolutely destroyed rafa in 1 way traffic type a match. I wasn't out here here for semi's this year but your right, big time bummer for the fans. tickets were going for good money too. haha

    - - - Updated - - -

    no action on rafa

    IW: 16-15 +3.47 units
    YTD: 25-33 -3.55 units
  • h82loseh82lose Senior Member
    edited March 2019
    Miami qualifiers

    2 team parlay
    (Gunneswaran -292/Bolt -158 ) +119
  • h82loseh82lose Senior Member
    edited March 2019
    3/20 Womens Miami

    Rodina +180 over Stosur
    Kuzmova +110 over Gavrilova
    Cornet -150 over Lapko
    Sakkari -138 over Danilovic

    Mens
    Tipsarevic +125 over Klahn
    Hurkacz -105 over Berrettini\
    M Zverev +128 over Kuhn
    Eubanks -102 over Dzumhur
    Gulbis +155 over Kecmanovic
  • h82loseh82lose Senior Member
    edited March 2019
    Miami: 4-2 +2.53 units

    Jarry +134 over Chardy
    Ymer +150 over Mayer

    Pending:
    Cornet -150 over Lapko (WTA) to finish
    Kuzmova +110 over Gavrilova (WTA)
    Eubanks -102 over Dzumhur
    Gulbis +155 over Kecmanovic
  • h82loseh82lose Senior Member
    edited March 2019
    3/23
    Albot/Federer U20 -105
    Cecchinato -136 over Dzumhur (1.5 Units)
    Tiafoe -115 over Kecmanovic
    Ferrer +321 over A. Zverev
    Maria +145 over Giorgi (WTA) (3/22)
  • h82loseh82lose Senior Member
    edited March 2019
    no action on cecchinato/dzumhur
    Miami: 9-7 +5.22 units

    3/25
    Tiafoe +106 over Ferrer
  • h82loseh82lose Senior Member
    edited March 2019
    3/26
    Basilashvili +105 over Alliassime
    Federer/Medevev U22 +103
  • paddyboy111paddyboy111 Senior Member
    edited March 2019
    h82lose wrote: »
    3/26
    Basilashvili +105 over Alliassime
    Federer/Medevev U22 +103

    H82lose, have you ever read the JQAS paper on Tennis match prediction models? I'm not sure how data-fueled your picks are, but I'm interested to know if you see any value in the paper. I've found good stuff in JQAS in the past. Stephanie Ann Kovalchik is the author.

    https://www.degruyter.com/view/j/jqas.2016.12.issue-3/jqas-2015-0059/jqas-2015-0059.xml
  • h82loseh82lose Senior Member
    edited March 2019
    Paddy. Thanks. No I haven’t read this. I will check it out. I implement a lot of point statistics, situational match ups, similar opponents played based on my own rating bucket I put them in. Ex pusher vs counter striker etc. and off course current form and surface
  • h82loseh82lose Senior Member
    edited March 2019
    Alliassime +125 over Coric
  • h82loseh82lose Senior Member
    edited March 2019
    Miami: 12-8 +7.56 units
    YTD: 37-41 +4.01 units

    probably done for this tourney
  • h82loseh82lose Senior Member
    edited March 2019
    I lied

    3/29
    Isner -165 over Aliassime
  • h82loseh82lose Senior Member
    edited March 2019
    lean on barty in wta finals at -120 or better. not enough to make it a play. GL. done for the tourney

    Miami: 13-8 +8.56 units
    YTD: 38-41 +5.01 units
  • h82loseh82lose Senior Member
    edited April 2019
    4/1
    Rogers +125 over Rodina (WTA)

    - - - Updated - - -

    4/2
    Kr. Pliskova +125 over Kozlova (WTA)

    - - - Updated - - -

    4/1
    Townsend -185 over Sharma (WTA)

    - - - Updated - - -

    4/2 Buzarnescu -131 over French (WTA)
  • h82loseh82lose Senior Member
    edited April 2019
    4/2

    Vickery +4.5 -115 over Riske (WTA)
  • h82loseh82lose Senior Member
    edited April 2019
    Charleston/Monterrey (WTA) : 2-0 +2.25 units

    Pending:
    4/2
    Kr. Pliskova +125 over Kozlova (WTA)
    4/2 Buzarnescu -131 over French (WTA)
    Vickery +4.5 -115 over Riske (WTA)

    Adding:

    Dart +160 over Jakupovic
    Martic +115 over Anisimova
  • spiderman77spiderman77 Senior Member
    edited April 2019
    h82lose wrote: »
    lean on barty in wta finals at -120 or better

    Speaking of Barty, what do you make of her chances to win the French. I played her at 50/1 a few weeks ago. She's still at 40/1 and I was thinking of adding a bit more. Serena and Simona are the obvious favorites but they're both fighting mental issues and the French has been notorious for bombs winning on the ladies side in recent years. I also played Bencic at 66/1 but those odds are long gone.
  • h82loseh82lose Senior Member
    edited April 2019
    Spiderman, I couldn't even begin to think of what women would will the french right now. especially on clay

    4/3
    Zidanesk +144 over Tomljanovic (WTA)
  • h82loseh82lose Senior Member
    edited April 2019
    4/3
    Puig +108 over Kenin (WTA)

    - - - Updated - - -

    4/3 Goerges -188 over Townsend (WTA)
  • h82loseh82lose Senior Member
    edited April 2019
    4/3
    Rybarikova +116 over Voegele (WTA)
  • h82loseh82lose Senior Member
    edited April 2019
    4/2 add: Scheduled Start in 15 mins

    Navarro +6.5 -125 over Siegemund (WTA)

    - - - Updated - - -

    sprinkling a little on the ML too +900 (not included with record)
  • h82loseh82lose Senior Member
    edited April 2019
    Charleston/Monterrey (WTA) : 6-2 +4.4 units

    Pending:
    Zidanesk +144 over Tomljanovic (WTA)
    Puig +108 over Kenin (WTA)
    4/3 Goerges -188 over Townsend (WTA)
    Rybarikova +116 over Voegele (WTA)

    Add:

    4/3
    Mertens -143 over Kanepi (WTA)
  • h82loseh82lose Senior Member
    edited April 2019
    4/4
    Stephens -159 over Tomljanovic
    Puig +156 over Sabalenka
    Martic -174 over Pegula
  • h82loseh82lose Senior Member
    edited April 2019
    4/5
    Rybarikova -115 over Vickery (WTA)
  • h82loseh82lose Senior Member
    edited April 2019
    Charleston/Monterrey (WTA) :11-5 +5.89 units

    Pending:
    4/5
    Rybarikova -115 over Vickery (WTA)

    4/5 Add:

    Martic +160 over Bencic (WTA)
    Wozniacki -189 over Sakkari (WTA)
  • h82loseh82lose Senior Member
    edited April 2019
    should probably wait a little for some of these lines to settle in the future. Bencic was being bet like she already won. Crazy line movement only for Martic to win comfortably in strait sets. Love the win but would love loved +225 odds even better.

    Add:
    Same thing on this one. Crazy line movement against Azarenka. Bring some value to her. dont see any injury info so gonna take a stab at it

    4/5
    Azarenka +105 over Pavlyuchenkova (WTA)
Sign In or Register to comment.