Betting Talk

NHL 2018/2019

1235714

Comments

  • the executerthe executer Senior Member
    edited November 2018
    I hear ya... I dint play it, unfortunately. But you helped with a couple nice winners tonight. Thanks. I loved Toronto play but that OTT/NYR over was an excellent call. Thanks!

    Heres to beaten the man!
  • nvralocknvralock Senior Member
    edited November 2018
    67=65 +6.99

    tb -.5 reg -153
    pitt 131
    minn -.5 reg -124
  • nvralocknvralock Senior Member
    edited November 2018
    68-67 +5.53

    tor -.5 reg 105
    fla -.5 reg 105
  • nvralocknvralock Senior Member
    edited November 2018
    pitt/colo >6.5 -114
  • nvralocknvralock Senior Member
    edited November 2018
    70-68 +6.58

    tb -.5 reg -112
    wpg -.5 reg -133
  • nvralocknvralock Senior Member
    edited November 2018
    adding

    edm -.5 reg 105
  • the executerthe executer Senior Member
    edited November 2018
    helluva day nvra
  • nvralocknvralock Senior Member
    edited November 2018
    73-68 +9.63

    colo -.5 reg 103
  • sunningdalesunningdale Member
    edited November 2018
    some exciting finish on all 3 games. great night
  • nvralocknvralock Senior Member
    edited November 2018
    adding

    buff/fla >6 -108
  • nvralocknvralock Senior Member
    edited December 2018
    Summary to date

    Oct 30-28 +4.91
    Nov 43-42 +2,64

    73-70 +7.55

    tor 111
    det tt <2.5 -123
    nsh -.5 reg -135
  • nvralocknvralock Senior Member
    edited December 2018
    75-71 +8.43

    wsh -.5 reg -116
  • nvralocknvralock Senior Member
    edited December 2018
    clgy -.5 reg 119
  • the executerthe executer Senior Member
    edited December 2018
    Horrible loss. You might see a 4 goal comeback...what? 5 times a year MAX. sorry bro
  • nvralocknvralock Senior Member
    edited December 2018
    Horrible loss. You might see a 4 goal comeback...what? 5 times a year MAX. sorry bro

    all part of gambling but that was a bad beat ...how do you blow a 5-1 lead
  • the executerthe executer Senior Member
    edited December 2018
    not sure... at home no less.
  • nvralocknvralock Senior Member
    edited December 2018
    76-72 +8.46

    dal tt >2.5 -137
  • the executerthe executer Senior Member
    edited December 2018
    nice call.
  • nvralocknvralock Senior Member
    edited December 2018
    77-72 +9.46

    ott tt >2.5 -133
    wpg/nyi >6 -114

    maybe something on late games
  • nvralocknvralock Senior Member
    edited December 2018
    77-74 +6.99

    edm/stl >5.5 -104
  • nvralocknvralock Senior Member
    edited December 2018
    1st intermission

    car/sj >5.5 -117
    chi/ana >5.5 -124
  • nvralocknvralock Senior Member
    edited December 2018
    79-75 +7.95

    tor tt >3.5 -144
    tor/det 1st per >1.5 -130
    cbj/phil >6.5 -111
    pitt -.5 reg -110

    some latter
  • nvralocknvralock Senior Member
    edited December 2018
    wsh/az >5.5 -125
    minn -.5 reg 189
  • the executerthe executer Senior Member
    edited December 2018
    Hell of a night. Nicely done!
  • the executerthe executer Senior Member
    edited December 2018
    Heres something I never thought of until I did some research on it. But third period overs go over 1.5 quite a dang bit. in fact, in last 3 nights alone the third periods have gone over 18 of 23 games. I am not sure why, but thats a hell of a %...78% to be exact. Obviously the juice is semi high but at that % its worth it. I know you like first periods and they're similar and Ive won some money off them and from some of your plays, but I thought I'd throw that out to you as well as I had no idea thirds were so good.
  • sunningdalesunningdale Member
    edited December 2018
    may be empty net goals
  • the executerthe executer Senior Member
    edited December 2018
    Sure, that helps.
    And to be fair I went back another 58 games before this last 23 game stretch and it was 32 overs 26 unders. Still at 55%.
    Overall % for last 81 games, spanning 12 days, is 62% overs ( 50 for 81 ).
  • the executerthe executer Senior Member
    edited December 2018
    And going back an additional 26 games for a few more days it was 19 for 26 overs. another 73% clip

    69 of last 107 games or almost 65%.

    Does any of this help you Nvra, or can you lend me some insight on how to properly play these?
  • nvralocknvralock Senior Member
    edited December 2018
    Well I have recently been looking at 3rd period goals and while I agree the trend lately has been >1.5 the juice is very very high often -190 . Over the years I have learned big juice on favs will eat away profits. Thats why as a rule I rarely play anything over -150 . Also why I play -.5 reg plays since often they are + money. As you can see I am only a little above 50% but up plus units . Not saying your thinking is flawed but looking at the numbers you have researched you have to pick your spots.
  • the executerthe executer Senior Member
    edited December 2018
    It is higher than first period but less than second period. I may try to track the games that feature the lowest scoring 10 teams and see if theres a better percentage if this teams were left out of the equation. So basically, maybe just go with the top 65-70% to see if the percentages go up.
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