Betting Talk

RHE'S

24

Comments

  • Old-TimerOld-Timer Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    Thursday 5/24

    Just one for today

    #908 Under 28-110 CWS/Balt
  • ebemissebemiss Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    Hey OT, nice job! Curious if you are following full game totals with the RHE. Meaning, are the full games agreeing with the outcome of the RHE, win or lose?

    They all did yesterday, for example (Under 24.5 -110 LAD/Colo Win +1.00 ) also went under game total.

    I know the RHE is derived from game total so if almost all are agreeing, win or lose, with the outcome of game total....wouldn't it be just as beneficial to play full games in accordance with the way you are playing the RHE? Limits are more for sure. Full game total $5000 RHE $500 from what I can tell at BOL

    Just wasn't sure if you tracked them against full game total for the season. (the RHE games you played). Keep it going.
  • bumpobumpo Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    Old-Timer wrote: »
    Thursday 5/24

    Just one for today

    #908 Under 28-110 CWS/Balt

    Wow. Had this one graded a loss an hour ago. Sweet!
  • Old-TimerOld-Timer Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    I was just going to say everyone who thought it was a loser after the 2nd inning raise your hand. Remember well I'm not going to kid anyone we got lucky but we get lucky and unlucky all the time. Glad this one went our way.
  • Old-TimerOld-Timer Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    ebemiss wrote: »
    Hey OT, nice job! Curious if you are following full game totals with the RHE. Meaning, are the full games agreeing with the outcome of the RHE, win or lose?

    They all did yesterday, for example (Under 24.5 -110 LAD/Colo Win +1.00 ) also went under game total.

    I know the RHE is derived from game total so if almost all are agreeing, win or lose, with the outcome of game total....wouldn't it be just as beneficial to play full games in accordance with the way you are playing the RHE? Limits are more for sure. Full game total $5000 RHE $500 from what I can tell at BOL

    Just wasn't sure if you tracked them against full game total for the season. (the RHE games you played). Keep it going.

    Hey ebe long time and good to see you hope all is well with everyone at home. I've been asked this question many times and I was tracking it for a while and there is a correlation and it did show profit but not as much as you may think at least not as much when I tracked it. Granted it wasn't tracked for any length to get a decent sample size so honestly I couldn't tell if the profit would have held. I believe walks has most to do with that if that makes any sense. I know I'm not telling you anything you don't know that the pluses for playing FG total is higher limits, less likely to get cut and many more books that use a 20 cent line on total's and some that use reduced juice that you can't get betting on a prop. 20 cent lines are rare on this prop

    Also todays game for example the first four runs score on three hits. So the game was almost halfway to the total and just seven towards the 28. Also another factor is I would say 90% of the RHE's are under's and with an under for the most part you need two pitchers pretty much on their game and hopefully the bullpen doesn't come in and blow up. I guess the same can be said for the RHE's because it can blow up in 9th inning also. In this case today and believe me we got lucky Bundy pitched a 2 hitter and K'd 14 helping it stay under the 28.

    Wish I did track it last year. I was 203-152 and if you count pushes 10 If you used an average 30 cent line say an average of -115 you made a little over 28 units just on that bet.
    I still have the work from last year but I really don't have time to back track it. Good talking to you. I'd be long gone if I max bet them with a couple of my places just trying to move money around laying the extra 5 cents here and there. Picking up low 4 figure checks for as long as I can. What's the saying Pigs get fat Hogs get slaughtered.
  • ebemissebemiss Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    Old-Timer wrote: »
    Hey ebe long time and good to see you hope all is well with everyone at home. I've been asked this question many times and I was tracking it for a while and there is a correlation and it did show profit but not as much as you may think at least not as much when I tracked it. Granted it wasn't tracked for any length to get a decent sample size so honestly I couldn't tell if the profit would have held. I believe walks has most to do with that if that makes any sense. I know I'm not telling you anything you don't know that the pluses for playing FG total is higher limits, less likely to get cut and many more books that use a 20 cent line on total's and some that use reduced juice that you can't get betting on a prop. 20 cent lines are rare on this prop

    Also todays game for example the first four runs score on three hits. So the game was almost halfway to the total and just seven towards the 28. Also another factor is I would say 90% of the RHE's are under's and with an under for the most part you need two pitchers pretty much on their game and hopefully the bullpen doesn't come in and blow up. I guess the same can be said for the RHE's because it can blow up in 9th inning also. In this case today and believe me we got lucky Bundy pitched a 2 hitter and K'd 14 helping it stay under the 28.

    Wish I did track it last year. I was 203-152 and if you count pushes 10 If you used an average 30 cent line say an average of -115 you made a little over 28 units just on that bet.
    I still have the work from last year but I really don't have time to back track it. Good talking to you. I'd be long gone if I max bet them with a couple of my places just trying to move money around laying the extra 5 cents here and there. Picking up low 4 figure checks for as long as I can. What's the saying Pigs get fat Hogs get slaughtered.

    Thanks. Normally I wouldn't bother you with something like, I'd see if I could dig it up myself, was just busy & curious. All is well, hope the same for you. Nice work.
  • Old-TimerOld-Timer Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    ebemiss wrote: »
    Thanks. Normally I wouldn't bother you with something like, I'd see if I could dig it up myself, was just busy & curious. All is well, hope the same for you. Nice work.

    If you want the link to last year's results I'd be more than happy to send them to you. Don't know if you still have my email but if you don't and want them just email here and I will also and I'll send them to you. I wouldn't know where to begin with a computer but I know how good you are.
    You can never bother me ebe we go back to far and Tks.
  • Old-TimerOld-Timer Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    Record
    5/18 4-0 +4.00
    5/19 0-1 <1.20>
    5/20 2-1 +1.05
    5/21 2-1 +0.80
    5/22 7-0 +7.00
    5/23 4-2 +1.70
    5/24 1-0 +1.00

    Total 20-5 +14.35

    Plays 5/24

    #908 Under 28-110 CWS/Balt Win +1.00
  • munson15munson15 Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    Old-Timer wrote: »
    If you want the link to last year's results I'd be more than happy to send them to you. Don't know if you still have my email but if you don't and want them just email here and I will also and I'll send them to you. I wouldn't know where to begin with a computer but I know how good you are.
    You can never bother me ebe we go back to far and Tks.
    I'd love to see that if you would be so kind, OT...kind of missed the boat on this thread but would like to play catch up if possible...
  • Old-TimerOld-Timer Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    munson

    I don't understand what is it that you would like to catch up on. I wouldn't put the link here I would need your email address. In the post to ebe I said just email them here my meaning was to email admin@raspicks.com and ask for my email and I would do the same. After reading my post again I see it sounds like post your email here. I was offering the link for backtracking which would be quite the task but if you would like to take it on to see if the FG and RHE'S correlate and it's worth betting both then let me know and I'll send you the link with over 350 bets to backtrack.
  • munson15munson15 Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    'catch up' meaning tailing the RHE plays going forward, and the email just to be in touch occasionally...sorry the message was pretty vague I admit...
  • Old-TimerOld-Timer Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    munson15 wrote: »
    'catch up' meaning tailing the RHE plays going forward, and the email just to be in touch occasionally...sorry the message was pretty vague I admit...

    Sure email admin@raspicks.com and I'll do the same this afternoon. Would love to stay in touch. On my way to see the doc. so they'll hear from me later. GL today
  • munson15munson15 Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    hope it's good news, OT! thanks
  • Old-TimerOld-Timer Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    Record
    5/18-5/24 20-5 +14.35

    Friday 5/25

    -#964 Under 27.5 -115 Yanks/LAA
    #966 Under 28 -110 Det/CWS
    #976 Under 28.5 -115 Philly/Toronto (There's 28 -105 around is good nothing less)
    #978 Under 30.5 -115 Boston/Atlanta (BM)

    There's two I passed on Under 30.5 Cubs/SF I don't know what number to put on the wind. I usually pass the cub games when there total O/U is 9.5 or more.
    Also just making it is Under 31.5 Colorado/Cinn a big number and stats show that Cinn not hitting well on the road and Colo not really tearing it up at home but it's Colo. I've bet under with games at Colo before and have done ok but with this game both pitchers have been terrible and it's funny both bullpens have been decent but how much damage before they get there. It's a pass for me. Not looking to confuse anyone just trying to give a little info.

    Most times I'll play the numbers blind but there are times you need to look. The Boston game with Atlanta killing lefties and at Fenway I still like the under. Lets see if we can get away with betting the Under on the Yankees again. I usually don't do any write ups but I thought something needed to be said today. It your call guys the best of luck always.

    PS: How's the eyes Jake
  • bluejakebluejake Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    See these winners perfect & my Bucs, Thank You for asking.
  • Old-TimerOld-Timer Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    Record
    5/18-5/24 20-5 +14.35
    5/25-5/31 2-2 <0.25>


    5/25 2-2 <0.25>
    5/26
    5/27
    5/28
    5/29
    5/30
    5/31

    Friday 5/25
    #964 Under 27.5 -115 Yanks/LAA Win +1.00
    #966 Under 28 -110 Det/CWS Lose <1.10>
    #976 Under 28.5 -115 Philly/Toronto Lose <1.15>
    #978 Under 30.5 -115 Boston/Atlanta (BM) Win +1.00

    Sorry Munson so wanted that 3-1 but Philly messed up that 9th inning.

    5/25 2-1-1 on FG total's as the same as the RHE'S
  • Old-TimerOld-Timer Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    Mistake
  • Old-TimerOld-Timer Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    Saturday 5/26

    #902 Under 27 -115 Cards/Pitt
    #910 Under 32.5 -110 Colo/Cinn
    #914 Under 30.5 -110 KC/Texas
    #928 Under 27 -110 Toronto/Philly


    FG 2-1

    #902 Under 8.5
    #910 Under 11.5
    #914 Under 10.5
    #928 Under 8.5
  • Old-TimerOld-Timer Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    Record
    5/18-5/24 20-5 +14.35
    5/25-5/31 5-3 +1.65


    5/25 2-2 <0.25>
    5/26 3-1 +1.90
    5/27
    5/28
    5/29
    5/30
    5/31




    Saturday 5/26

    #902 Under 27 -115 Cards/Pitt Win +1.00
    #910 Under 32.5 -110 Colo/Cinn Lose <1.10>
    #914 Under 30.5 -110 KC/Texas Win +1.00
    #928 Under 27 -110 Toronto/Philly Win +1.00
    Total 3-1 +1.90


    #902 Under 8.5 -103 Win +1.00
    #910 Under 11.5 -1.08 Win +1.00
    #914 Under 10.5 -104 Win +1.00
    #928 Under 8.5 +1.09 Win +1.09
    FG Total 4-0 +4.09 YTD 6-1 +5.13

    NOTE:The night before I forgot to put the price in the FG so after Backtracking it was without the push 2-1 +1.04 I'll add that to the YTD
  • Old-TimerOld-Timer Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    Record
    5/18-5/24 20-5 +14.35
    5/25-5/31 5-3 +1.65


    5/25 2-2 <0.25>
    5/26 3-1 +1.90
    5/27
    5/28
    5/29
    5/30
    5/31

    Sunday 5/27

    #967 Over 25 -120 T.B/Balt
    #980 Under 26.5 -120 Oak/Ari

    FG
    #967 8 -101
    #980 8 -108

    FG Record
    FG Total 4-0 +4.09 YTD 6-1 +5.13
  • bumpobumpo Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    Thanks OT. Thought for sure you'd have cin/col under 34 and sfg/cubs under 28'
  • Old-TimerOld-Timer Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    bumpo wrote: »
    Thanks OT. Thought for sure you'd have cin/col under 34 and sfg/cubs under 28'

    I can actually get 35 but passing. it's 12.5 which might be a tad high I bet Cinn because I like Harvey but for some reason just don't trust. It reminds me of making a line and it's so far off that you have to respect the books and just pass the bet. But with that said it does qualify
  • Old-TimerOld-Timer Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    bumpo wrote: »
    Thanks OT. Thought for sure you'd have cin/col under 34 and sfg/cubs under 28'

    I can actually get 35 but passing. it's 12.5 which might be a tad high I bet Cinn because I like Harvey but for some reason I just don't trust RHE's. It reminds me of making a line and it's so far off that you have to respect the books and just pass the bet. But with that said it does qualify. As for the Cubs I would play the Under according to the numbers so not messing with that either. Low MPH but blowing str8 out at Wrigley

    GL if you go there.

    Edit: Excuse the double post for some reason I have a hard time posting it takes about 30 secs and then saids error even though the post took.
  • Old-TimerOld-Timer Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    Record
    5/18-5/24 20-5 +14.35
    5/25-5/31 7-3 +3.65


    5/25 2-2 <0.25>
    5/26 3-1 +1.90
    5/27 2-0 +2.00
    5/28
    5/29
    5/30
    5/31

    Sunday 5/27

    #967 Over 25 -120 T.B/Balt Win +1.00
    #980 Under 26.5 -120 Oak/Ari Win +1.00

    FG
    #967 8 -101 Over Win +1.00
    #980 8 -108 Under Win +1.00

    FG Record
    FG Total 2-0 +6.09 YTD 8-1 +7.13
  • Old-TimerOld-Timer Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    EBE

    I know it's just a couple of days but I'll track the FG total with the RHE'S until the All-Star Break that won't be enough of a sample size but it can show us if we're going in the right direction. Wish I started tracking that April of 2017. RHE'S are 109-62 this year and 203-152 last year That's 312-214
  • Old-TimerOld-Timer Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    bumpo wrote: »
    Thanks OT. Thought for sure you'd have cin/col under 34 and sfg/cubs under 28'

    We could have got in right under the wire in that Colorado game. Hope you had it.
  • bumpobumpo Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    I did thanks. And my loser on the giants/cubs was no play with the pitching change LOL.
  • Old-TimerOld-Timer Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    GL Today Lots of Games

    #902 Under 28 -110 Cubs/Pitt
    #904 Under 26.5 -125 Atl/Mets ( FYI There's 26's out there a little cheaper0
    #906 Under 27.5 -105 Cards/Milw
    #914 Under 26.5 -110 Philly/LAD
    #916 Under 27.5 -120 Yanks/Houston (27 is good)
    #923 Over 28 -125 Cleve/CWS (FYI BM has 29 +101)
    #926 Over 25.5 -115 Tex/Sea (FYI BM has 26 =100)


    FG Total's
    #902 Un 9.5 -120
    #904 Un 8 -103
    #906 Un 9 -114
    #914 Un 8 +107
    #916 Un 8.5 -114
    #923 Ov 9.5 -107
    #926 Ov 8 +100

    Again FG Total's using Pinny for record keeping.
  • Old-TimerOld-Timer Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    PP865 June fast approaching and hope all is well and will see you soon.
  • Old-TimerOld-Timer Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    Record
    5/18-5/24 20-5 +14.35
    5/25-5/31 12-5 +6.45


    5/25 2-2 <0.25>
    5/26 3-1 +1.90
    5/27 2-0 +2.00
    5/28 5-2 +2.80
    5/29
    5/30
    5/31

    #902 Under 28 -110 Cubs/Pitt Win +1.00
    #904 Under 26.5 -125 Atl/Mets Win +1.00
    #906 Under 27.5 -105 Cards/Milw Lose <-105>
    #914 Under 26.5 -110 Philly/LAD Win +1.00
    #916 Under 27.5 -120 Yanks/Houston Win +1.00
    #923 Over 28 -125 Cleve/CWS Win +1.00
    #926 Over 25.5 -115 Tex/Sea Lose <1.15>
    Total 5-2 +2.80

    FG Total's

    #902 Un 9.5 -120 Win +1.00
    #904 Un 8 -103 Win +1.00
    #906 Un 9 -114 Lose <1.14>
    #914 Un 8 +107 Lose <1.00>
    #916 Un 8.5 -114 Win +1.00
    #923 Ov 9.5 -107 Win +1.00
    #926 Ov 8 +100 Lose <1.00>
    Total 4-3 +0.86


    FG Record
    5/28 FG Total 4-3 +0.86 YTD 12-4 +7.99
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