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kdog

kdog · Senior Member

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  • (Quote) My sentiments also.
  • Not just the highest this season but the most too. I've never seen as many +180 or higher dogs as there have been this season and it started right away in April whereas usually it takes a month or so and some injuries and trades to inflate the conte…
  • More points scored 2nd half and OT than 1st half. Played this at -130 in Rhode Island, no idea what the price is anywhere else.
  • Thanks and without further ado, here's fade city: 10. LSU -7.5 9. Northwestern +7.5 8. Clemson -11.5 7. Hawaii Pk 6. Ohio St. -6.5 5. Fresno St. -4.5 4. Vanderbilt -3.5 3. Eastern Michigan +3.5 2. NC State +6.5 1. Alabama -14.5
  • (Quote) If the contract length I've heard he's looking for is correct (6 years) then thanks for the memories Craig and without hesitation. If he's amenable to a shorter deal, say three years, then not so cut and dried. Personally though if I'm Domb…
  • (Quote) Ya mean how his enshrinement turns the Hall of Fame into the Hall of Had a Couple of Decent Seasons?
  • I believe the network contractual agreement only applies to the participating teams markets. They cut away here (Mass) to the start of Pats/Vikes.
  • Ya think? When even Aikman has something to say about it being bad, it's BAD.
  • (Quote) I thought MQ retired, he's old enough for full SS. Eckstein may be a great guy Jets but sharp??? Take a look at the teasers he posted if you want to laugh. At least half of them crossed the 0 without getting to +3 and he was totally full of…
  • (Quote) Depends on who the replacements are. From the box score it looks like it was Happ and Zobrist which would mean the 25c should pretty much be cut in half.
    in mlb 2018 Comment by kdog August 2018
  • (Quote) Using these but changing to the now available week 1 of +3, assuming a 6 point home field swing for the week 17 KC game (week 17 not in that link) and converting to probabilities I come up with 8.1012. Doesn't appear to be an edge either wa…
  • (Quote) And just maybe they're freerolling you.
  • (Quote) Dan if you think Deck McGuire and Gausmann are pretty close in talent you need to make some changes in how you look at things. Gausmann may be an under achiever this year but even that is far better than McGuire.
  • What he said ^^^^.
  • Very few players are worth 15c and Albies is not one of them. That's almost half a run over his replacement in my model.
    in mlb 2018 Comment by kdog June 2018
  • (Quote) I think that way sometimes but then I remember that every player in the major leagues has talent. Some have more than others and some are more consistent with it than others but all have it or they wouldn't be there. And every now and then …
  • (Quote) Jarlin the Marlin is throwing fire? His fastball is averaging 92-94 which is pretty close to average in MLB these days. He's looked better in the box scores than he is due to a .121 BABIP and a 99% strand rate, neither of which can be susta…
  • (Quote) It is but Sagarin has three sections depending on innings pitched. Guys in the lower sections can qualify too as long as they meet the other criteria. Best way to check for qualified pitchers is to get the cutoff number for each league and…
    in Munson bases Comment by kdog May 2018
  • (Quote) Bovada has that too although almost always at a worse line than 5D.
  • At +153 SD is not a Stoffo play as the cutoff is +150. The good news for you is that the price has dropped so it can now be a play for you, just at a worse line:)
    in Munson bases Comment by kdog April 2018
  • Texas is not a Stoffo play as Colon does not have 3 starts.
    in Munson bases Comment by kdog April 2018
  • (Quote) This is probably best, the time limits go up but if one wasn't staring at the screen then you'd have to check each game individually which is a PITA. What's left that I do track I pretty much use all closers because I'm old, don't care as m…
  • (Quote) It's also why for consistency they should be tracked off either openers or closers. For this I would think openers would be better as the original point of the system was to have some action over the summer with a reasonable chance of winni…
  • (Quote) You can have spreads & totals displayed at the same time. It's the bottom option from the sides, totals, ML's menu at the top.
  • (Quote) Just to show what a difference that makes, tracking these at 5Dimes closers produced -11.51 units for 2017 and -8.97 for 2016. I can't find my 2015 but I'm sure everyone gets the idea. Tip...if you are going to play the totals the opener is…
  • Variance. Which is the definition of a slow start.
  • (Quote) The title of this thread oughtta be Munson eats chalk:) C'mon over to Peeps and play with us in the contest. It'll only cost you $100 and you get to make fun of BEANTOWN JIM.
    in Munson bases Comment by kdog April 2018
  • (Quote) Gotta wait until April 1st:)
    in METS UPDATE Comment by kdog March 2018
  • Winnepeg lost outright. Still a decent night though; )
  • (Quote) How about Cleveland?