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crash

crash · Member

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crash
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  • What about the British bastard that lost $5 million? He briefly thought he won. And there was no way there was enough liquidity in the market for him to cash out? "Sell, Mortimer, Sell!!! To who???"
  • That was wild. It was Trump minus 375 at one point, down to minus 275 when I went to bed. And now I wake up to Biden minus 150. Who needs sports? I don't know how they could cheat even if they wanted to. They would need hundreds of nefarious p…
  • Why would anybody be "all-in" on betting on any of this? You think you have some sort of edge??
  • What are everybody's revised thoughts? A British gambler wagered $5 million on Trump after talking to Trump insiders. Hmm. Is that considered smart money? 71 percent of the dollars are on Trump. Do people think they know something or is that ga…
  • How is everybody not talking about how Trump is shooting himself in the foot? Why keeping saying that Covid is fake news, media focused, and we are rounding the corner? With that strategy, he is alienating every person who knows somebody that eith…
  • Good point. I just think that enough ordinarily ambivalent folks will go out to vote for Biden. The only thing stopping me from betting it is I had Biden at minus 120 at 5Dimes before they refunded it when they shut down. Psychologically, I now c…
  • danshan, I have to ask about your logic. Isn't taking their money the best revenge? The reason that I like them is that I've had a few bets where there was a gray area (game shortened, season shortened on season bets). Other books would have scre…
    in 5 Dimes Comment by crash September 2020
  • I've been very happy with Betonline . I will miss the "Reduced Juice" of 5dimes though.
    in 5 Dimes Comment by crash September 2020
  • Here's what isn't clear after that last question. I have Rays, Indians and A's to win their divisions. Final day isn't until 9/27. I better not get a "refund" if I win those.
  • Yeah, I've noticed some slippage in 5Dimes customer service. I had a winning horse bet under the 10% extra program and they didn't pay me the extra 10%. When I complained, they said it was graded correctly - no explanation. It was only a lousy 50…
  • (Quote) I have a good sized Toronto to win the Atlantic Division at 7-1. Really pissed as I had a 3-game lead.
  • (Quote) You have to give the guy credit. Giving subscribers $10K each if his $3K subscription loses money? That's unheard of. But if he is that confident, it would be smarter to just set up shop in the Caribbean and bet it all yourself with runn…
  • (Quote) I don't have any insight to your question but I have to ask. Both Oprah and Michelle Obama have said countless times (simple Google search) that they have zero interest in ever running for president. Forget about the odds of winning, the …
  • (Quote) I will bet on just about anything. However, the home run derby is in the same category as the Hot Dog eating contest is for me. Too random to risk money on it. Like you always talk about CLV, I always want to at least delude myself tha…
  • (Quote) I vote yes.
  • I rarely tail but I tailed small here also. Thanks so much Stackattack!! You sure know your golf. Out of curiosity, what did you like about Reavie to bet him off an 11-year drought?
    in 2019 Golf Comment by crash June 2019
  • Went back to the Meadowlands last weekend. Here's a strange rule. You can only bet a maximum of $2,000 at the window unless you are a FanDuel account holder (I don't want yet another account). I'm guessing I could have gotten back on line later o…
  • (Quote) Did anybody hear of an update here? I read where there is a real cloud over the situation as the morgue never had the body, the police are being silent, the ransom is suspicious. My interest is as both a 5Dimes account holder and general …
  • (Quote) The news stories all mention that his wife sent the ransom to a family member. That's odd, no?
  • (Quote) The place is AWFUL. I was there 10 days ago. The screen showing the lines only has a portion of the games. So you have to wait to get to the window to see the lines. There are a bunch of novices playing $5 a game and not deciding until …
  • (Quote) I took a trip to the Meadowlands to make a Travers bet (miraculously had the winner). They turned one room into a Draftkings sportsbook room with TV's tuned to sports. A far cry from Vegas but they are trying. What shocked me was the lo…
  • (Quote) People lose because they don't realize the compounding effect of the vig. 55+% is REALLY hard in the long term. And to your earlier point, things like major injuries are generally OVERLY built into the line when teams (basketball) will of…
  • (Quote) I'm interested in the parameters of your model. How much are starting pitchers weighted versus other factors? Is travel considered? Injuries? Hot streaks or slumps? I also wonder if baseball has more or less intangibles like motivation…
    in MLB Model Comment by crash February 2018
  • (Quote) I bet the Yankees Under when it opened at 95.5 at BOL. It sits at 94.5 there now. My logic is that it is roughly the same team as last year that overachieved EXCEPT for Stanton, of course. If he gets hurt, they probably don't even win th…
  • (Quote) I would nominate Diffusion Pharmaceuticals (DFFN). It's a dollar stock but they have a Phase 3 drug to extend life in patients with glioblastoma and brain cancer. If news comes out that it works, it could be a 10 bagger. It would also ma…
  • (Quote) In years' past, he was one of the few guys who I would occasionally tail. However, once he started giving his reasoning this year, it gave me pause. He would talk about ancient history about the program and other reasoning that didn't see…
  • Horrible day for the sport but a great day for justice. Glad to see the cheaters get their just due. In the end, this should level the playing field and help the honest (and smaller) schools. Of course, it might make more stars go straight to the…
  • I can say with all honesty that I am positive ROI over the last 15 years - mostly flat betting, winning about 5k per year, year in, year out. However, I can say with certainty that I would be negative ROI if I did it for a living - or even if I si…
  • 5 dimes has nickel lines up until 8 am EST on day of game. This is part of their "Reduced" vig which has lower limits though. They just cut my limits to $100 for some reason (not losing?) so this is only if you're a smallish player.
  • (Quote) How do you know that I didn't mean the Urban Dictionary meaning: 6 Sure A comment/ statement made when an individual would like to imply sarcasm or a lack of interest towards something someone else says. Sure can be pronounced in a very hi…