Ravens & HC Harbaugh
I'm not sure who needs to (or wants to) read the below, but I sent it to a friend following the Ravens loss. Yes, I was on Ravens, but regardless what I wrote stands even if I was on Bills.
Ravens. Just 3 points? Versus a not-great Bills D?? Yes, the Ravens are going to sink or swim based on Lamar's play and he did not have a good game. But I'm sorry, I've said this before, Ravens coach Harbaugh is not horrid, but he ain't that good either. I texted you whoever makes best adjustments at the half would win -- Ravens go from getting just 3 points in first half to getting shut out in 2nd half. Zero points. And again, the Buffalo D is VERY average, ranking around #18 or #19 in NFL. I watched the game. Clearly Bills were blitzing from the get-go to stop Lamar, so what does Balt do? I saw countless times where Bills were coming and Ravens could've run draw play or do play-action then quick dunk (ala Brady) to open receiver who is told to help out -- no evidence of any of those adjustments. Lamar's fault? Maybe. But coaching is supposed to adjust and I've seen more than once where Harbaugh and staff drop the ball in this regard. Harbaugh's job is to always put his team in the best position to win and sorry, too many times they're floundering and you get the sense there's no help coming from the brain trust on sidelines. I won't even mention Balt just getting 20 pts last week vs very bad Titans D, where Lamar single-handedly won that game. So why did I side with Ravens? because the numbers! it's so frustrating, the numbers line-up but then I have to sweat it because you never know what Ravens are going to do, and this is on Harbaugh. Ravens usually have very good players and they put up good stat numbers, but as I've written before, Ravens often do not have the # of wins they should have given their stats -- that's on Harbaugh. It says the players are doing their jobs, but the team is not getting the game-planning and scheming they need to translate player talent to wins. A coach like Kyle Shanahan with Balt's talent would be drooling!
Just look at yesterday's game. Forget the score and look at these final numbers:
1st downs 19 17
total yards 340 220
YPP 4.7 4
pass yds 190 188
rush yds 150 32
penalties 8 2
TOP 36 24
Looking at those numbers, what do you think score should've been? I can tell you based on total yards and YPP (yards per play) Ravens should've won by about 7-10 pts, i.e. winning and covering. They held Bills to just 32 yards rushing!! 2 yards per carry! passing was equal. And they still got crushed (17-3 is getting crushed!). Time of possession advantage of 36 to 24?? First down edge, Ravens. Oh, but look at that, 8 Raven penalties (to just 2 for Bills) -- which is about coaching (discipline etc). And a game like that, hard fought, an 8-2 penalty count is key, many momentum killers.
And I said I like Bills coaching, very smart & disciplined. Meanwhile Harbaugh is clueless, always squandering good player personnel.
I can run more analytical proof, but here ya go, what has been the result in NFL playoffs when a team outgains the other team by more than 100 yards? (Ravens had 340 total yards vs. Bills 200) that team has gone 57-15 SU or won the game nearly 80% of the time! And 55-17 ATS. And if it was an away team? They've gone 13-3 SU and 14-2 ATS. Amazing.
And if the team outgained by more than 130 yards? (Ravens had 140 yd edge), in NFL playoffs that team has gone 43-6 SU and ATS!!!!
And if team held foe to less than 40 yards rushing in playoff game? That team won 16 of 18 playoff games, winning by average 12 pt margin!! And the games went OVER 16 of 18 times. With the average score being 34-22!! 34 points compared to Ravens 3 yesterday. That's on the players??
Sorry, seen it too many times with Balt. (and frankly, I would argue Harb brother not much different! always has very good players and yet the W/L column always deficient. These bros would take an Alabama team and go like 8-4.... decent, but always under what should be....