NHL Picks 2019-2020 by Professor MJ
ProfessorMJ
Senior Member
Hello hockey fans!
I'm a statistics university professor and I love to help fellow sports investors grow their bankroll!
I have developed the following 4 betting systems (more to come in the very near future), which are all in accodance with my contrarian approach so I really trust them a lot:
TOTAL:
Profit = +257.35 units over 4453 bets (a ROI of +5.8%)
Since the 2012-2013 season was shortened to 48 games, the data correspond to 8.6 seasons.
You can therefore expect to earn 29.92 units (257.35 / 8.6) over 518 bets (4453 / 8.6) throughout one season.
If your average bet is $100, your expected winnings are $2,992.
In this thread, I'm going to present one pick on Tuesdays and Thursdays (and perhaps Saturdays? We'll see how it goes).
We'll keep track of the record. Sounds good?
Let's get the party started!
Today's pick of the day (odds from Pinnacle):
Sharks (at +105 or 2.05) at Blackhawks
Let's get off to a good start!
Professor MJ
I'm a statistics university professor and I love to help fellow sports investors grow their bankroll!
I have developed the following 4 betting systems (more to come in the very near future), which are all in accodance with my contrarian approach so I really trust them a lot:
- The Scoring Drought: +90.53 units over 1656 bets.
- The Sloppy Defense: +27.64 units over 267 bets.
- The Hot Scorers: +45.08 units over 332 bets.
- The Stingy Goalies: +94.10 units over 2198 bets.
TOTAL:
Profit = +257.35 units over 4453 bets (a ROI of +5.8%)
Since the 2012-2013 season was shortened to 48 games, the data correspond to 8.6 seasons.
You can therefore expect to earn 29.92 units (257.35 / 8.6) over 518 bets (4453 / 8.6) throughout one season.
If your average bet is $100, your expected winnings are $2,992.
In this thread, I'm going to present one pick on Tuesdays and Thursdays (and perhaps Saturdays? We'll see how it goes).
We'll keep track of the record. Sounds good?
Let's get the party started!
Today's pick of the day (odds from Pinnacle):
Sharks (at +105 or 2.05) at Blackhawks
Let's get off to a good start!
Professor MJ
Comments
Good luck this season.
Surprising results for teams playing first game after returning from international series: 12-8-11 on first period moneylines, which you'd think they might be flat after so much travel and time off. But full-game results: 11-18-2
RECORD:
Bets won = 1
Bets lost = 0
Profit = +$1.05 (from RISKING 1$ on every play)
Today's pick of the day (odds from Pinnacle):
Coyotes (at +137 or 2.37) at Avalanche
Have a good Saturday!
Professor MJ
You have to pay $40 for that. This is the sneak preview.
RECORD:
Bets won = 1
Bets lost = 1
Profit = +$0.05 (from RISKING 1$ on every play)
Today's pick of the day (odds from Pinnacle):
Detroit Red Wings (at +130 or 2.30) at Vancouver Canucks
Based on "The Stingy Goalies" betting angle, which goes like this:
Suppose a team has allowed 3 goals or less in each of its past three games (not necessarily wins). Fade that team if they are now playing at home with odds < 2.25 (i.e. +125 in American format). The latter condition ensures we are avoiding betting big&moderate favorites.
That being said, the Canucks have allowed 2, 2 and 3 goals in each of their three most recent matchups. They are indeed at home with a money line smaller than 2.25 so we are betting AGAINST them tonight.
Good luck with your plays, sports investors!
Professor MJ
Bets won = 1
Bets lost = 2
Profit = -$0.95 (from RISKING 1$ on every play)
Today's pick of the day (odds from Pinnacle):
New Jersey Devils (at -112 or 1.893) vs New York Rangers
The play is based on "The Cold Teams Matchup" betting angle:
Bet a home team undergoing a losing skid of 3+ straight losses when facing a road team that has lost its past 1-2 game(s).
Since the Devils have lost their past six games, while the Blue Shirts lost 1 game in a row, we're taking New Jersey tonight!
Professor MJ
The betting angle says to bet the home team, that's what I did, right?
- - - Updated - - -
RECORD:
Bets won = 2
Bets lost = 2
Profit = -$0.06 (from RISKING 1$ on every play)
Today's pick of the day (odds from Pinnacle):
Vegas Golden Knights (at -122 or 1.82) at Pittsburgh Penguins
This play is based on two betting angles, including "The Hot Teams Matchup", which goes as follows:
"Bet a road team coming off 1-2 straight win(s) when facing a home team riding a winning streak of length 3+."
Since Vegas has won 1 game in a row, while the Pens are on a 5-game winning streak, we are backing the Golden Knights.
Have a good Saturday!
Professor MJ
RECORD:
Bets won = 3
Bets lost = 2
Profit = +$0.76 (from RISKING 1$ on every play)
Today's pick of the day (odds from Pinnacle):
New York Rangers (at +104 or 2.04) vs Arizona Coyotes
This pick is based on "The Hot Scorers" betting angle, which goes as follows:
Suppose a team scores 4+ goals in each of its past 3 games (not necessarily wins). FADE them if they are now playing on the road.
The Coyotes have scored 5, 5 and 4 goals in their past three contests, respectively. Since they are playing in the Big Apple tonight, we are betting against them.
Good luck!
Professor MJ
Bets won = 3
Bets lost = 3
Profit = -$0.24 (from RISKING 1$ on every play)
Today's pick of the day (odds from Pinnacle):
Anaheim Ducks (at +135 or 2.35) at Dallas Stars
This pick is based on two betting angles at a time, including "The Cold Team versus Hot Team Matchup", which goes like this:
Bet a road team coming off at least 2 straight losses when facing a home team coming off at least 2 straight wins. Bet only if the road team's money line is greater than 2.25 (i.e. we only focus on moderate/big dogs).
This system yielded a 43-unit profit over 9 full seasons (via 428 bets).
Good luck to you!
Professor MJ
RECORD:
Bets won = 3
Bets lost = 4
Profit = -$1.24 (from RISKING 1$ on every play)
Today's picks:
Chicago Blackhawks (at +175 or 2.75 with Bet365) at Nashville Predators
Minnesota Wild (at +130 or 2.30 with Pinnacle) at Dallas Stars
Both are based on 3 betting systems at a time!! One of them is called "The Blowout Effect", which goes as follows:
"Bet a team that just blew out its previous opponent by 3+ goals if they are road underdogs tonight."
Chicago's last game: won 5-1 against the Kings. Minnesota's last game: won 5-1 against those same Kings. Both Chicago and Minnesota are road dogs today, so they meet all criteria for betting.
This system generated gains of 60.49 units over 818 bets (ROI = 7.4%) through a 9-year span.
Good luck!
Professor MJ
RECORD:
Let's start climbing back!
Today's picks are (odds from Pinnacle):
Best of luck!
Professor MJ
The picks went 3-2 for a +1.23-unit profit the last time I posted. Let's stay on the winning track!
RECORD:
Bets won = 6
Bets lost = 8
Profit = -$2.01 (from RISKING 1$ on every play)
Today's picks are (odds from Pinnacle):
3 STARS = Red Wings (at +175 or 2.75) vs Predators
2 STARS = Coyotes (at -103 or 1.97) at Oilers
Best of luck!
Professor MJ
RECORD:
Bets won = 7
Bets lost = 9
Profit = -$2.04 (from RISKING 1$ on every play)
Today's system plays are (odds from Pinnacle):
5 STARS = Senators (at +230 or 3.30) at Islanders
4 STARS = Avalanche (at +119 or 2.19) at Stars
3 STARS = Flyers (at -102 or 1.98) vs Hurricanes
3 STARS = Blue Jackets (at +125 or 2.25) vs Golden Knights
2 STARS = Blues (at +103 or 2.03) at Canucks
2 STARS = Wild (at +103 or 2.03) at Ducks
The Ottawa Sens meet the criteria of three betting systems at a time, including "The Hot Teams Matchup" betting angle, which goes as follows:
Bet a road team coming off 1-2 straight win(s) when facing a home team coming off 3+ straight victories.
This strategy led to a 66.87 unit-profit over a 9-year span (via 483 bets).
Since Ottawa has a 1-game winning streak, while the Isles are riding a nice 9-game winning streak, we are backing the Sens tonight. It's a long shot, but we'll see how it plays out!
Professor MJ
3-3 record last night for a slight profit.
RECORD:
Today's picks are (odds from Pinnacle):
Best of luck!
Professor MJ
We picked both underdogs yesterday and got a 1-1 record, so we did net a profit.
RECORD:
Today's picks are (odds from Pinnacle):
The Florida pick is based on "The Hot Scorers" betting system, which goes as follows:
Suppose a team has scored 4+ goals in each of its past 3 games. If they are playing on the road tonight, bet against them.
This betting angle yielded a 45.08-unit profit via 332 bets through a 9-year span.
Have a good day, fellows!
Professor MJ
"We" lol
Most of us here realize both 'dogs in a 1-1 split =$$. Quit blowing your French horn and talking down to us like your middle-schoolers.
btw, How many units did you make on this "Hot Scorer" data mine info?
Big payday last night!
The system plays went 3-1, including a big underdog (Rangers at Canes) and a moderate dog (Jackets at Coyotes).
We won 3.71 units, which now puts us in profit territory! Attaboy!
RECORD:
Today's picks are (odds from Pinnacle):
Once again we are going after a long shot. Detroit's pick meets the criteria of a season-high 4 betting systems at a time. It won't be easy at all, so let's cross our fingers!
Professor MJ
AWESOME!! The 5-star pick, was which a long shot, did win! The Red Wings did pull off a nice upset against the Bruins last Friday.
RECORD:
Bets won = 15
Bets lost = 15
Profit = +$3.19 (from RISKING 1$ on every play)
Today's picks are (odds from Pinnacle):
4 STARS = Coyotes (at +165 or 2.65) at Capitals
1 STAR = Senators (at +208 or 3.08) at Hurricanes
The Ottawa pick is based on "The Blowout" betting system:
Bet a team that blew out its previous opponent by a margin of 3+ goals. The team we bet must be on the road and its money line must be greater than 2.05 (which essentially means they must be underdogs).
This betting angle generated gains of 60.49 units over 818 bets through a 9-year span.
Good luck guys!
Professor MJ
Now 5 straight days with positive gains! Let's try to keep the ball rolling!
RECORD:
Today's picks are (odds from Pinnacle):
Snow storm today in Quebec City, I hope you guys have a nice day...
Professor MJ
This is just unbelievable: we are riding an astounding winning streak!
RECORD:
Today's picks are (odds from Pinnacle):
No picks!
See you tomorrow!
Professor MJ
With this boasting, it appears you've never been there before. From "yoshing" to sitting on a small stack. +6 units??
Good luck with your 'moonlighting' endeavors. I suggest to tighten up your game you should reference Stu Feiner or Vegas Dave.