1. #1
    Super Moderator TommyL's Avatar
    Join Date
    Dec 2003
    Location
    Cherry Hill, NJ
    Posts
    5,965
    Thanks
    2,293
    Thanked 7,413 Times in 4,664 Posts

    Default TommyL's 2018 Soccer Plays

    Behind schedule vs. the last few World Cups due to life getting in the way (new job, travel, coaching son's soccer team, kids in general). Took some time off, but back into it over the past several weeks as I've been gearing up for Russia 2018 (the USA debacle probably contributed to my difficulty getting started with everything). I should finish up my initial plays in the next few hours, and will throw them into this thread.

    Below is a link to my 2017 thread. Ended up +44.735 units with an ROI of 15.8%.

    http://www.bettingtalk.com/forum/sho...yl+2017+soccer

  2. Thanks:

    The Following 3 Users Say Thank You to TommyL For This Useful Post:

    megapowers88 (04-28-2018),  Obi One (04-28-2018),  turksure (04-27-2018)  

  3. #2
    Super Moderator TommyL's Avatar
    Join Date
    Dec 2003
    Location
    Cherry Hill, NJ
    Posts
    5,965
    Thanks
    2,293
    Thanked 7,413 Times in 4,664 Posts

    Default

    I took everything from 5Dimes or Bookmaker. If you've got access to Pinnacle, some of these can be had for a better price.

    Russia doesn't advance from Group A (+255 @ 5Dimes) 1.5 units to win 3.825 units
    Egypt wins Group A (+575 @ 5Dimes) 1 unit to win 5.75 units
    Iran advances from Group B (+700 @ 5Dimes) .5 units to win 3.5 units
    Spain wins group B (-195 @ Bookmaker) 1.95 units to win 1 unit
    Peru wins Group C (+1024 @ Bookmaker) .5 units to win 5.12 units
    Peru advances from Group C (+220 @ 5Dimes) 2 units to win 4.4 units
    Denmark doesn't win Group C (-590 @ 5Dimes) 2.36 units to win .4 units
    Argentina wins Group D (-149 @ Bookmaker) 1.49 units to win 1 unit
    Costa Rica wins Group E (+1998 @ Bookmaker) .2 units to win 3.996 units
    Costa Rica advances from Group E (+400 @ 5Dimes) .5 units to win 2 units
    Germany wins Group F (-235 @ Bookmaker) 2.35 units to win 1 unit
    South Korea doesn't advance from Group F (-450 @ 5Dimes) 2.25 units to win .5 units
    Panama advances from Group G (+1100 @ 5Dimes) .2 units to win 2.2 units
    Belgium wins Group G (-115 @ Bookmaker) 1.15 units to win 1 unit
    Colombia wins Group H (+135 @ Bookmaker) 1 unit to win 1.35 units
    Japan advances from Group H (+230 @ 5Dimes) 1.5 units to win 3.45 units
    Poland doesn't advance from Group H (+150 @ 5Dimes) 2 units to win 3 units

    Saudi Arabia/Russia under 2.5 (-134 @ 5Dimes) 2.68 units to win 2 units
    Egypt +.5 Uruguay (+122 @ 5Dimes) 1 unit to win 1.22 units
    Iran +.5 Morocco (-149 @ 5Dimes) 1.49 units to win 1 unit
    Portugal/Spain over 2.5 (+132 @ 5Dimes) 1 unit to win 1.32 units
    France -1.5 Australia (-130 @ 5Dimes) 1.95 units to win 1.5 units
    Peru -.5 Denmark (+268 @ Bookmaker) 1 unit to win 2.68 units
    Costa Rica +.5 Serbia (-115 @ 5Dimes) 1.15 units to win 1 unit
    Sweden -.5 South Korea (+118 @ 5Dimes) 1.5 units to win 1.77 units

  4. Thanks:

    The Following 3 Users Say Thank You to TommyL For This Useful Post:

    csh (04-27-2018),  jimb (04-27-2018),  StackAttack (05-26-2018)  

  5. #3
    Head Moderator Goats's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2009
    Posts
    7,101
    Thanks
    0
    Thanked 11,306 Times in 7,555 Posts

    Default

    They actually still hold this thing when the US doesn't qualify?

    GL. I'll actually be on vacation in Alaska for the entire group stage and honestly can't say I'd be following it as closely as usual anyway.
    Last edited by Goats; 04-28-2018 at 04:30 AM.

  6. #4
    Super Moderator TommyL's Avatar
    Join Date
    Dec 2003
    Location
    Cherry Hill, NJ
    Posts
    5,965
    Thanks
    2,293
    Thanked 7,413 Times in 4,664 Posts

    Default

    Two more futures...

    Top Goalscorer - Timo Werner (+1600 @ 5Dimes) .4 units to win 6.4 units
    Top Goalscorer - Mohamed Salah (+4000 @ 5Dimes) .15 units to win 6 units

  7. #5
    Super Moderator TommyL's Avatar
    Join Date
    Dec 2003
    Location
    Cherry Hill, NJ
    Posts
    5,965
    Thanks
    2,293
    Thanked 7,413 Times in 4,664 Posts

    Default

    One for today (from 5Dimes)...

    Saudi Arabia +.5 Greece (-161) 1.61 units to win 1 unit

  8. Thanks:

    The Following User Says Thank You to TommyL For This Useful Post:

    megapowers88 (05-15-2018)  

  9. #6
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Apr 2017
    Posts
    166
    Thanks
    214
    Thanked 9 Times in 8 Posts

    Default

    Wooooo! Tommy L Soccer and Summer coming, life is good!

  10. #7
    Super Moderator TommyL's Avatar
    Join Date
    Dec 2003
    Location
    Cherry Hill, NJ
    Posts
    5,965
    Thanks
    2,293
    Thanked 7,413 Times in 4,664 Posts

    Default

    Goes in about 10 minutes (from 5Dimes)...

    Egypt -.5 Kuwait (-106) 1.06 units to win 1 unit

  11. #8
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Posts
    534
    Thanks
    3
    Thanked 59 Times in 52 Posts

    Default

    I heard on vsin that Croatia is a live side for WC, do you agree with that?

  12. #9
    Super Moderator TommyL's Avatar
    Join Date
    Dec 2003
    Location
    Cherry Hill, NJ
    Posts
    5,965
    Thanks
    2,293
    Thanked 7,413 Times in 4,664 Posts

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Casper Ware View Post
    I heard on vsin that Croatia is a live side for WC, do you agree with that?
    A lot of people seem to like them from what Iím hearing, but Iím not as high on them. If anything, Iíll probably be fading them some if the current prices hold.

  13. #10
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Posts
    534
    Thanks
    3
    Thanked 59 Times in 52 Posts

    Default

    my friend says this line is way off.
    2:30PM
    91660.

    Gimnŗstic Tarragona
    -1 +112
    -164
    O 2Ĺ -107


    Props
    15826.

    Huesca
    +1 -126
    +450
    U 2Ĺ -101


    15827.
    Draw

    +275

  14. #11
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Jan 2012
    Posts
    3,148
    Thanks
    930
    Thanked 910 Times in 692 Posts

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Casper Ware View Post
    I heard on vsin that Croatia is a live side for WC, do you agree with that?
    Any team with a midfield of Modric, Rakitic, Kovacic and Perisic (or a combination thereof) with Mandzukic, Kramaric and Kalinic (or a combination thereof) in attack is going to be a live-side. They won their group at Euro 2016 by beating Spain and Turkey. They would have very probably made it to the Final Four if not for the bonkers 3-3 draw by Hungary and Portugal, which got them an early look at Portugal in the round of 16 where they lost After Extra Time by a 117th minute goal by Cuaresma.

    Looking at their group in Russia, they have a very good chance of finishing 2nd or 1st. Group D is pitted vs Group C in the round of 16 which would see them play either France/ Australia/Peru or Denmark. A match vs France would be very difficult to win, all the others they 'd be favorites against.

    So yes, in my opinion they're a live side, but it's going to be very difficult for them to reach the semi-finals. I would want to see how they get through the friendlies in the coming weeks. How tired are their players, how many injuries do they have, how is the coach's tactics holding up? Then I might bet them.

  15. Thanks:

    The Following User Says Thank You to Obi One For This Useful Post:

    StackAttack (05-26-2018)  

  16. #12
    Senior Member StackAttack's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2007
    Location
    In the mountains
    Posts
    3,667
    Thanks
    2,263
    Thanked 970 Times in 838 Posts

    Default

    Tommy....you like anything in the Champs final today?

  17. #13
    Super Moderator TommyL's Avatar
    Join Date
    Dec 2003
    Location
    Cherry Hill, NJ
    Posts
    5,965
    Thanks
    2,293
    Thanked 7,413 Times in 4,664 Posts

    Default

    Uruguay to win Group A (-105 @ 5Dimes) 1.575 units to win 1.5 units

  18. #14
    Super Moderator TommyL's Avatar
    Join Date
    Dec 2003
    Location
    Cherry Hill, NJ
    Posts
    5,965
    Thanks
    2,293
    Thanked 7,413 Times in 4,664 Posts

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by StackAttack View Post
    Tommy....you like anything in the Champs final today?
    I don't cap anything on the pro side, outside of some CONCACAF Champions League stuff and a rare future or friendly where I think I found an edge. Certainly don't think I'd ever have an edge in a game as big as today's (though glad I'm watching, as the Salah injury was enough to push me towards Uruguay who I was already on the fence with playing).

  19. Thanks:

    The Following User Says Thank You to TommyL For This Useful Post:

    StackAttack (05-26-2018)  

  20. #15
    Super Moderator TommyL's Avatar
    Join Date
    Dec 2003
    Location
    Cherry Hill, NJ
    Posts
    5,965
    Thanks
    2,293
    Thanked 7,413 Times in 4,664 Posts

    Default

    Friendlies over the next few days (all from 5Dimes)...

    Monday, 5/28

    Portugal -1 Tunisia (-158) 1.58 units to win 1 unit
    Ireland/France over 2.5 (-118) 1.18 units to win 1 unit
    USA -1 Bolivia (-138) 1.38 units to win 1 unit
    Saudi Arabia +2 Italy (-115) 1.15 units to win 1 unit

    Tuesday, 5/29

    Peru -1, -1.5 Scotland (-123) 2.46 units to win 2 units

    Wednesday, 5/30

    Japan -.5 Ghana (-120) 1.2 units to win 1 unit

Page 1 of 6 123 ... LastLast