1. #31
    Super Moderator TommyL's Avatar
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    Most likely no more plays on friendlies heading into the big event next week. Here is everything I have pending heading into the World Cup...

    Russia doesn't advance from Group A (+255) 1.5 units to win 3.825 units
    Russia under 5.5 points (-127) 1.27 units to win 1 unit
    Egypt wins Group A (+575) 1 unit to win 5.75 units
    Uruguay to win Group A (-105) 1.575 units to win 1.5 units
    Iran advances from Group B (+700) .5 units to win 3.5 units
    Spain wins group B (-195) 1.95 units to win 1 unit
    Morocco under 2.5 points (+115) 1 unit to win 1.15 units
    Peru wins Group C (+1024) .5 units to win 5.12 units
    Peru advances from Group C (+220) 2 units to win 4.4 units
    Denmark doesn't win Group C (-590) 2.36 units to win .4 units
    Denmark under 3.5 points (+170) 1 unit to win 1.7 units
    Argentina wins Group D (-149) 1.49 units to win 1 unit
    Costa Rica wins Group E (+1998) .2 units to win 3.996 units
    Costa Rica advances from Group E (+400) .5 units to win 2 units
    Costa Rica over 1.5 points (-113) 1.13 units to win 1 unit
    Germany wins Group F (-235) 2.35 units to win 1 unit
    South Korea doesn't advance from Group F (-450) 2.25 units to win .5 units
    South Korea under 2.5 points (-137) 2.055 units to win 1.5 units
    Panama advances from Group G (+1100) .2 units to win 2.2 units
    Belgium wins Group G (-115) 1.15 units to win 1 unit
    Colombia wins Group H (+135) 1 unit to win 1.35 units
    Japan advances from Group H (+230) 1.5 units to win 3.45 units
    Poland doesn't advance from Group H (+150) 2 units to win 3 units
    Poland under 4.5 points (-109) 1.09 units to win 1 unit

    Saudi Arabia/Russia under 2.5 (-134) 2.68 units to win 2 units
    Egypt +.5 Uruguay (+122) 1 unit to win 1.22 units
    Iran +.5 Morocco (-149) 1.49 units to win 1 unit
    Portugal/Spain over 2.5 (+132) 1 unit to win 1.32 units
    France -1.5 Australia (-130) 1.95 units to win 1.5 units
    Peru -.5 Denmark (+268) 1 unit to win 2.68 units
    Peru +.5 Denmark (-128) 1.28 units to win 1 unit
    Costa Rica +.5 Serbia (-115) 1.15 units to win 1 unit
    Sweden -.5 South Korea (+118) 1.5 units to win 1.77 units
    Egypt/Russia under 2 (+116) 1 unit to win 1.16 units
    Portugal -.5 Morocco (-155) 1.55 units to win 1 unit
    Portugal -1 Morocco (+125) 1 unit to win 1.25 units
    Argentina -.5 Croatia (-108) 1.08 units to win 1 unit
    Colombia E Poland (-138) 2.76 units to win 2 units

    Top Goalscorer - Timo Werner (+1600) .4 units to win 6.4 units
    Top Goalscorer - Mohamed Salah (+4000) .15 units to win 6 units
    Best European Team - Germany (+275) 1 unit to win 2.75 units
    Best Asian Team - Saudi Arabia (+1000) .5 units to win 5 units
    Best CONCACAF Team - Costa Rica (+325) 1 unit to win 3.25 units
    Portugal to reach the Semifinal (+420) 1 unit to win 4.2 units
    Portugal to reach the Quarters (+130) 1 unit to win 1.3 units
    Germany will reach the Semifinal (+107) 1.5 units to win 1.605 units
    Croatia won't reach Quarterfinal (-255) 2.55 units to win 1 unit
    Germany is Highest Scoring Team (+450) .5 units to win 2.25 units
    South Korea is Lowest scoring Team (+1200) .5 units to win 6 units
    Russia is Lowest Scoring Team (+6600) .1 units to win 6.6 units

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  3. #32
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    The rest of my plays as Thursday approaches. Should be it (already have almost 3/4ths of my bankroll in play), unless something really moves into range (though I'm sure I'll have some props on individual games)...

    Russia under 5 total goals (-140) 1.4 units to win 1 unit
    Colombia over 5 total goals (-130) 1.3 units to win 1 unit
    Morocco last in Group B (+170) 1 unit to win 1.7 units
    Croatia last in Group D (+640) .5 units to win 3.2 units
    Switzerland last in Group E (+350) .5 units to win 1.75 units
    South Korea last in Group F (-130) 1.3 units to win 1 unit
    Total Tournament Corner Kicks - Over 660.5 (+170) 1 unit to win 1.7 units
    Total Tournament Bookings - Under 230.5 (+135) 1 unit to win 1.35 units

    Mexico -.5 South Korea (-116) 1.74 units to win 1.5 units
    Peru -.5 Australia (+110) 1 unit to win 1.1 units

  4. #33
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    With the World Cup costing Russia over 11 Billion $$$, and given the 2 countries' economic and political ties, I seriously have to consider the fact that Mohammed Bin Salman will fix the first game and let the Russians 'win'. For all the prestige he was supposed to get, fielding the worst Russian team in decades has to be deflating and embarrasing for Putin. Can't see MBS rubbing it in.

    Price on Saudi Arabia is definitely too high right now.

    Anyway,
    Best of luck with all your plays Tommy!!

  5. #34
    Super Moderator TommyL's Avatar
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    Will end up with a bunch of "no actions", but all are mispriced...

    Artem Dzyuba no goals scored (-170) 1.7 units to win 1 unit
    Aleksei-Miranchuk no goals scored (-240) 1.2 units to win .5 units
    Denis Cheryshev no goals scored (-325) 1.625 units to win .5 units
    Aleksandr Erokhin no goals scored (-485) 1.455 units to win .3 units
    Anton-Miranchuk no goals scored (-550) 1.65 units to win .3 units
    Muhannad Asiri no goals scored (-925) 1.85 units to win .2 units

  6. #35
    Super Moderator TommyL's Avatar
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    Can't go worse than yesterday, goes in 10 minutes...

    Andre Silva no goals scored (-440) 1.76 units to win .4 units
    Gelson Martins no goals scored (-900) 1.8 units to win .2 units
    Ricardo Quaresma no goals scored (-800) 1.6 units to win .2 units
    Marco Asensio no goals scored (-600) 1.2 units to win .2 units
    Iago Aspas no goals scored (-300) 1.2 units to win .4 units
    Rodrigo Moreno no goals scored (-230) 1.15 units to win .5 units

  7. #36
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    how many different sports do you bet?
    how many plays do you get out of say a card of 10 games normally?

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    Super Moderator TommyL's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by danshan View Post
    how many different sports do you bet?
    how many plays do you get out of say a card of 10 games normally?

    Iíll follow some others in a variety of sports, but the only sports I originate (outside of a random play here or there) are international soccer and NCAA basketball (and with that, I took the year off with basketball). I literally had about 75% of my total bankroll tied up in soccer games earlier this week (including credit), so I couldnít play much else right now if I even wanted to.

    As far as number of plays in a card, it all depends. If we are talking African qualifying, maybe 2% of the games. North American games, maybe 40%. World Cup, probably about 5 things per game between props, futures, straight plays, etc.

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    thanks, just trying to get a grip on how many plays I should be finding generally in a slate of games, thanks for the info!

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    good work today!

    little unlucky on Egypt but still a good result with Iran and then Spain over

    now that you free'd up some credit anything you would add in the group stages?

  11. #40
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    Good timing shoebox

    Some more plays...

    France HT/France FT (-115) 1.15 units to win 1 unit
    Saudi Arabia +2.5 Uruguay (-134) 2.01 units to win 1.5 units
    Spain/Iran under 2.5, 3 (-111) 1.11 units to win 1 unit
    Best Asian Team - Iran (+300) 1 unit to win 3 units

  12. #41
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    Game is on 6/27

    Germany -1.5 South Korea (-138) 2.76 units to win 2 units

    It's my favorite game of the group stage (now that we know it will mean something for Germany, and South Korea is as crappy as I thought).

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  14. #42
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    If all goes as expected with the second wave of games, these will drop like a rock (and still not horrible plays if one of them does slip up)...

    Belgium/England under 2.5 (-115) 2.3 units to win 2 units
    Belgium/England to draw (+240) 1 unit to win 2.4 units

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    In the post today the VSIN pick is for colombia to win ....three way betting , what does that mean , i assume to win ml ...draw ml and not sure about the other one , is it minus a goal ???

    thanks

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    any opinion on the total in Poland game today?

    thanks in advance.

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    Quote Originally Posted by jets96 View Post
    In the post today the VSIN pick is for colombia to win ....three way betting , what does that mean , i assume to win ml ...draw ml and not sure about the other one , is it minus a goal ???

    thanks
    Typically when they talk about a 3-way line it includes the draw, so the 3 "ways" would be Columbia, Japan, or draw (vs a straight ML bet where draw would be a push). In this case it sounds like they are saying to take Columbia on the 3-way line. Which is the same as Columbia -.5

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