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    Default NBA Season Closeout with Lines and Pinny Picks

    3/3 Grizzlies 207
    3/3 Magic -2
    3/3 Nuggets 229
    3/3 Cavaliers -3.5
    3/3 Pistons 205
    3/3 Heat -4.5
    3/3 Celtics 211
    3/3 Rockets -6
    3/3 Lakers 218
    3/3 Spurs -3.5 Gasol Out Aldridge??
    3/3 Jazz -6.5
    3/3 Kings 203
    3/3 Thunder 212
    3/3 Trailblazers -3.5

    I will post my picks as soon as Pinny comes out

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    Record 0-0 CLV 0%
    3/3 Celtics 216.5U
    3/3 Celtics +8.5

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    i can do that bos game now neither play tonight brb

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    Quote Originally Posted by jets96 View Post
    i can do that bos game now neither play tonight brb
    yeah do it please its the only game that has space in my guess lines

    I make my lines and then any game that is more than 2 off on spread or 3 off on total I bet

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    hou -5.23..as of right now bos is a pick for me as well....AT +8 or +8.5

    luck

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    yeah but it looks like it is going the other way, the line on those superteams always go higher than they should be Rockets, Warriors Cavs you can pretty much just add a point or two

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    and that doesn't bother me in the least ...if it goes past my parimiters its not a play , very easy...if houston keeps getting bet and it goes past my bettting point ill pass, plenty of other games

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    Quote Originally Posted by jets96 View Post
    and that doesn't bother me in the least ...if it goes past my parimiters its not a play , very easy...if houston keeps getting bet and it goes past my bettting point ill pass, plenty of other games
    so if it went to -9 or -10 at some point you would then not bet it because it went too much the other way? thanks Jets I really appreciate the interaction, I feel like I am on an island with my betting stuff. Thanks again this is a huge help for me.

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    the argument is if i like the game at +8 or +8.5 then it would make sense to like it at +9 ...i normally dont look at injuries , the line will tell me , except in some cases like the minn game tonight...oh made a mistake my line should be uta -1.55 not minn 0.45 , either way no play, am just so off this line, dont know why , no major injury to worry about, that i know of.
    when i have lines off 2.51 to 3.0 i win .6785 percent of the time...when 3.01 to 3.5 its .72 percent ...have a few of those games tonight.
    when it gets past 3.5 its drop .4666 percent .....lower then 1.0 its .4615 percent , so i need to get those games between 1.01 to 3.5 off my line.

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    I dont track win% by how far off I am but I do track how my CLV ends up based on how far off I am

    Sides Sides Sides Sides Totals Totals Totals Totals
    CLV -0.31% -1.78% 1.47% 1.48% -0.56% 1.99% 0.20% 0.89%
    guess <1.5 1.5 2-2.5 3&+ <3 3-3.5 4-5.5 over 5.5

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    I get so frustrated how can I guess 9 out of 10 lines within 1 point and then i have the 1 that is off by 7 points with no major injury or anything that says why

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    hou 5.23
    orl 1.64
    cle 2.51
    mia 6.13
    sas 3.77
    por 5.20
    uta 3.26

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    Quote Originally Posted by jets96 View Post
    hou 5.23
    orl 1.64
    cle 2.51
    mia 6.13
    sas 3.77
    por 5.20
    uta 3.26
    looks good, I think my Nuggets line is still soft too because of Milsap's return that wont factor fully into my line for a couple more games. I think Nuggets +5 is a steal!

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    am thinking that as well and put a few bucks already but wanted to see where it was going

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    3-3
    Nuggets +4.5

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