So here is the readers digest version:

I have a 76'ers season win total ticket at OVER 39.5 @ +122

6000 risk to win 7320.

Sixers currently stand at 29-25 (28 games remaining 14 Home/14 Away)

The book reached out today and asked if I would be interested in a buyout where he paid me x amount of money and the bets were basically cancelled (win or lose).

Sixers have statistically the easiest schedule remaining in the NBA if you look at win % of teams left on their schedule.

Personally I would think the chances of the bet not winning at almost 0% but I know that is ridiculous to think that way.

Even if Embiid/Simmons were to both go down with injury (knock on wood that doesn't happen) it's still not unlikely that the team could finish 11-17.

If one of them were to go down I think the team goes .500 the rest of the way making the bet an easy winner.

If they both stay healthy I think the team finishes with close to 50 wins.

So just to entertain the notion of "a bird in the hand"....

What would you guys (especially any great math guys) feel is a proper and fair (with maybe a high/low range) buyout for the wager knowing the specifics that I laid out above?

Thanks in advance