1. #1
    Senior Member BennyProfane's Avatar
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    Aug 2010
    Las Vegas
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    Default Super Bowl Bet

    It seems like every year since 2005, I wind up doing the same thing. I analyse the Super Bowl, and decide that the under is a great bet, and overbet it. If I win, I fall victim to confirmation bias. If I lose, I blame bad luck.
    So, I have bet under 48 1/2 for 3 percent of my bankroll.
    Philly's defense has been great all postseason. Brady should be banged up even with two weeks rest. Belichick has designed game plans that have neutralized everyone from Montana to Manning. He should be able to handle Nick Foles.
    24-21 Patriots sounds about right. History repeats itself.

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