1. #16
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    Quote Originally Posted by donny2 View Post
    Just curious danshan since you seem to post lot of these threads. Are you betting any money on this or not?

    You say you are simulating betting these games and destroying the openers... so you aren't betting any real money but you keep track of how you would have done right if you were betting real money?

    Also you say the 250 max limit sucks badly. But do you have the bankroll to bet 250 a play though?
    I do place actual bets but not at BO, Right now I am betting about 140 a game and playing maybe 4 or 5 plays a day. I wanted to aim for 200 per day in profit so I was thinking somewhere around 20-25k a day ONCE I have some kind of faith in my NBA plays. I have only been setting lines and small betting for about a month. it all looks great but is that just beginner's luck or am I actually generating line beaters consistently, I have asked many times for people to tell me how close I should be getting to closers but people on the forum are not too interested in helping me.

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    Quote Originally Posted by MikeRAS View Post
    Check BETDSI's rating, they have fallen off a cliff is my understanding.
    They are going through a bit of a transition since leaving the CRIS umbrella. But they recently hired an outside development team to build an entirely new website. I expect to see good things from BetDSI in the coming months.
    "Faith is being sure of what you hope for and certain of what you do not see."

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    hard to make money at -110 with the same odds as pinny at -105

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    Quote Originally Posted by danshan View Post
    hard to make money at -110 with the same odds as pinny at -105
    Not if the lines are "so so soft."

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    they are amazing soft, look at this from yesterday, not actual bets but I wrote down "sim" as if I did bet when they opened

    current, my guess, would have bought at BO

    1/29 Hornets 3 1.5 4
    1/29 Pacers 214 207.5 214
    1/29 Hawks 214.5 210.5 213.5
    1/29 Celtics 1.5 1 3
    1/29 Nuggets 206 198 207
    and those are not done yet they will probably even get a little better IMO they usually do
    but that -105 to -110 is about a .5 point cost in the spread and 1 point in Totals

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    and the day before
    my guess, sim paid, closed
    1/27 Pistons 2 3 3.5
    1/27 Magic 5.5 7.5 6.5
    1/27 Wizards -6 -4.5 -3.5
    1/27 Hawks 208.5 213 211.5
    1/27 Hornets 2 5 4
    1/27 Nuggets 208 211.5 208.5

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    and it is like that literally everyday it seems

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    I was kinda curious about that myself donny, danshan you were just building a NBA model and now your killing them with soft lines...what happened in the last week with your model.

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    i was beating pinny lines by about 1% above margin and BO lines I am getting closer to 3% including the higher margin but that is a % not a "real" bet amount

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    one of 2 things is happening
    1 nobody wants to help me
    2 nobody knows how to help me
    either way I stopped putting up my guesses and am just now just starting to flat bet and try and find the lowest margin and highest CLV option

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    When r you guys going to realize this guy is totally insane and is just a troll that doesn’t deserve any responses. I believe all this BS has been done before.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Old-Timer View Post
    When r you guys going to realize this guy is totally insane and is just a troll that doesn’t deserve any responses. I believe all this BS has been done before.

    what exactly about my posts is trolling? I am here talking about lines, staking , different books, what is the forum for exactly if that is not it?

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    danshan, the issue is this. You ask about limits at betonline. If you put in the max bet at betonline for many games, even in cbb the limits seem to be 1500 or 1000 max. Or if its nba or nhl, limits are at least 1500 to 5000 or even 10000 on nba. I mean you say your bet size is under 150 right? If thats the case, why are you even concerned about limits until you starting betting close to the limit? You aren't even betting like 1/10th what the limit is. I mean i could understand if you are betting like 1k a game and ask about limits. But those big markets you could bet at least 2k on them. So unless you bet at least 1k a game... i dont know why you keep asking about limits.

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    Quote Originally Posted by donny2 View Post
    danshan, the issue is this. You ask about limits at betonline. If you put in the max bet at betonline for many games, even in cbb the limits seem to be 1500 or 1000 max. Or if its nba or nhl, limits are at least 1500 to 5000 or even 10000 on nba. I mean you say your bet size is under 150 right? If thats the case, why are you even concerned about limits until you starting betting close to the limit? You aren't even betting like 1/10th what the limit is. I mean i could understand if you are betting like 1k a game and ask about limits. But those big markets you could bet at least 2k on them. So unless you bet at least 1k a game... i dont know why you keep asking about limits.
    right now I am using a btc book and I am betting .5 a game, its going really good, I hope its not luck, I used that pinny luck spreadsheet to see and it is kinda confusing but i think it says its a 25% chance I am just lucky but honestly I dont know how to read it been asking the author how it exactly works.

    I dont know if anyone is interested but I will share the google doc in case somebody is
    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets...it?usp=sharing

    its kinda interesting if you want one for yourself just click make a copy and keep it for yourself

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    BOL does have soft openers and that is why they have small limits. But they are not as easy to get as you think. People are sitting there waiting to poach them. The opener moves fast.

    I have heard of someone being banned from betting their openers but they generally claim to take all action.

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