1. #331
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    if they had a couple of overtimes I would have gotten close!

  2. #332
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    I took the Under again

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    sorry just seen this ....nothing for me last night.
    Interesting that those gsw lines were so off and now that they are back in cleve my line is right on ...gsw -4.81 so depending on how the masses ,ill see if i have a play

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    I got Cavs +7 212.5, so I would take the Warriors for sure with +4 no doubt it will probably keep rising

    so my bet is
    Warriors -4.5
    Under 217

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    id like to see -3.5 or -6 ....who knows

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    505 gsw -3.5

    luck

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    sticking with favorites early dogs late....

    507 gsw -5

    luck

  8. #338
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    I see 5 dimes has a line up for game 5, gsw -6, I know basically what my line would be if say cleve won game 4 ,and am thinking cleve +6 is a pretty good number to take.If cleve wins i think that line would drop and not go up further then 6 , am really thinking about dumping on cleve now .

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    wont be a game 5, LOL

  10. #340
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    but it doesnt cost me anything , and am getting GREAT number

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    if it goes to game 5, Cavs will be +12 or higher, IMHO

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    of course i was looking at something completely different and was thinking the game was in clev ...da da da

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    Default Jets96 record during rook’s slump period

    Jets96, I hope I have not overstepped here. If I have please let me know and allow me to step backwards as soon as possible. I took all your plays from 1/26/18 to 5/24/18 and placed them in a spreadsheet along with the result of each play. The idea was the hypothetical question: what would have happened if I had tailed you from 1/26/18 to 4/16/18 instead of generating my own plays. (It appears I would have won around 10 units instead of dropping 56.)

    I also filtered your plays according to individual teams, and thought the result was interesting. There were 14 teams for which you picked 57% or better: Nets, Cavaliers, Clippers, Heat, Pacers, Celtics, Pelicans, Trailblazers, Rockets, Lakers, Magic, Jazz, Seventysixers, and Kings. Your win/loss record for those 14 teams was 58-18. For all the other teams the results were 20-40.

    I am thinking that most of those 14 teams last year were fairly stable teams, usually well-coached, which, even if they didn’t win, put out a fairly consistent product every night. Most of the other teams were not (excepting Warriors 1-1 and Spurs 1-2). But even the Spurs, obviously well coached, were de-stabilized by injuries, during that period, I believe. But for one reason or another, the other teams couldn’t be counted on to play consistently every night, whether consistently bad, or consistently good. This would make it more difficult to assign point values to the different aspects of their games.

    Do you think there could be any value in trying to determine inconsistent teams beforehand and then simply not betting on them when the numbers are in their favor?

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    If i could wouldnt know how to do it , not sure nets , lakers , jazz or kings were close to stable.
    I think thats why my playoff records are off the charts the past couple of years. 20-8-1 this past year and 28-7 the year before, taking bad teams out of the mix and most teams at full strength helps .

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    Here are the records for the 14:

    bk 1 0 100.00%
    cle 5 0 100.00%
    lac 5 0 100.00%
    mia 2 0 100.00%
    ind 8 1 88.89%
    bos 6 1 85.71%
    nop 4 1 80.00%
    por 5 2 71.43%
    hou 2 1 66.67%
    lal 2 1 66.67%
    orl 4 2 66.67%
    ut 4 2 66.67%
    phi 6 4 60.00%
    sac 4 3 57.14%

    - - - Updated - - -

    Here is for the other 15:

    dal 3 3 50.00%
    den 2 2 50.00%
    det 2 2 50.00%
    gs 1 1 50.00%
    mn 2 2 50.00%
    tor 3 4 42.86%
    mil 1 2 33.33%
    okc 1 2 33.33%
    phx 2 4 33.33%
    sa 1 2 33.33%
    wsh 1 3 25.00%
    atl 1 4 20.00%
    cha 0 2 0.00%
    mem 0 2 0.00%
    ny 0 5 0.00%

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