Betting Talk

2017 2nd Half MLB

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Comments

  • edited August 2017
    8/4
    928 Athletics/Angels Under 9 +106
  • edited August 2017
    22-26-1 (45.8%) -5.06 Units +8.63 (1.71%) CLV

    8/5
    969 Blue Jays/Astros Over 9 +102
    967 White Sox/Red Sox Over 10 +102
    957 Marlins/Braves Over 9 -123
  • edited August 2017
    8/5
    971 Yankees +135
    957 Marlins +110
    976 Royals -105
  • edited August 2017
    That closes out MLB for me. Line value has been consistent but results leave something to be desired. End at -11.11 Units +1.55% CLV in the thread. Will be back for NFL and later on NBA.
  • Old-TimerOld-Timer Senior Member
    edited August 2017
    best of luck and looking to your Football and later on NBA.
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited August 2017
    so can someone explain to me what happened here? just not lucky or is his line value was not right?
    +1.55% CLV I assume that means he bought at 1.55% below the closing price???
    but was 11 units down? when he says 1.55% clv does he mean real line or vig line?
  • bumpobumpo Senior Member
    edited August 2017
    The average price he took, posted at, beat the closer by 1.55%. Variance took a toll.
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited August 2017
    1.55% is not enough to cover juice or am I confused?? I think maybe the juice just got him???
  • gobucks2gobucks2 Senior Member
    edited August 2017
    whether it's enough to beat the juice or not, he still ran well below expectation at -11 units.

    It's ok, he'll be back in the mix once he figures out vpn'ing.
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited August 2017
    is it enough to beat the juice? what is vpning?
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited August 2017
    I really would be grateful if someone can answer my questions please
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited August 2017
    danshan wrote: »
    is it enough to beat the juice? what is vpning?

    No. And it's a way to not make it quite as obvious for BettingTalk's investigative unit to figure out he's on his 4th handle this baseball season.
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited August 2017
    they try to create multiple profiles put up bets and if they are good they try and sell them???
    in order to beat the juice you need to be in general more than 10% better than the closing line overall?
    that is assuming 10 cents juice.
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited August 2017
    if a line is -130 at a book that means really that the real win probability is -120 assuming 10 cents juice right?
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited August 2017
    so to break even setting lines you need to be at least 10 cents better than the line in general and to make money you need to probably be closer to 20 cents better at setting lines, if you bought at a 20% discount you would really be getting a 10% discount which in theory would mean you are making 10% on your bet amount.
    example yankees closing line is -130 so I need to buy at -120 to break even and anything better than that is profit, right?
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