Betting Talk

Betting Log [Division]

DivisionDivision Senior Member
edited December 2017 in Sports Betting
€200 to €10,000 Betting Log

Thread betting guidelines

Football bets only.

I will assign an estimated win percentage for each bet.

I will choose the best price from a range of bookmakers: Bet365 | BetFred | BetVictor | Paddy Power | Stan James | Ladbrokes | Coral | William Hill

Each bet stake will be for 5%, 10% or 15% of the current bank amount.

*Should the betting log be completed successfully I will donate €500 of the winnings to Concern Worldwide - a charity that works with the world’s poorest people to transform their lives.


I will kick the betting log off with the game of the week, Liverpool v Arsenal, which could have a big bearing on the Champions League places in the English Premier League.

Starting Balance: €200

English Premier League
Liverpool v Arsenal
Bet: Both Teams To Score @ 1.67 Paddy Power
Estimated Win Percentage: 74.4%
Stake €20
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Comments

  • cpech56cpech56 Senior Member
    edited March 2017
    This again? I feel slightly dyslexic reading your posts with all the third person talk.
  • RonbetsRonbets Senior Member
    edited March 2017
    Division wrote: »
    *Should the betting log be completed successfully I will donate €500 of the winnings to Concern Worldwide - a charity that works with the world’s poorest people to transform their lives.

    Does this "if bet" insert suppose to validate your status as a good-guy/philanthropist? With your good intentions, why not just donate 100 and still try to buck variance with the other 100 euros? Besides, a potential 50-1 score and only a 5% toke? That won't turn the charity into scoreboard watchers.
  • DivisionDivision Senior Member
    edited March 2017
    The charity may not be relying on my €500 donation nor my monthly contribution but if someone makes a profit from following my selections they may consider donating a small percentage of the winnings to a charity of their choice or Concern Worldwide that would be a help. All it takes is a little contribution from people to make a big difference which is my motivation behind mentioning them in the opening post.

    Regardless, I will post my selections here and people can do with that what they want. Its very difficult to make a consistent profit from sports betting and if I can help the community on this forum I will as I do read others contributions to this forum and benefit myself from time to time.
  • Obi OneObi One Senior Member
    edited March 2017
    Division wrote: »
    Regardless, I will post my selections here and people can do with that what they want. Its very difficult to make a consistent profit from sports betting and if I can help the community on this forum I will as I do read others contributions to this forum and benefit myself from time to time.

    A: You are betting into the soccer market, which has the highest variance in it's game-to-game results, given the low totals per game.

    B: You are utilizing a betting log,
    I believe this is what you can also call a 'challenge' isn't it? A phenomenon well-known in European betting.
    Given the edge you perceive to have on each bet, because of the nature of the betting log, your first bet is probably way too small relative to your bankroll. Subsequently, should you win 7 or 8 challenges, then your bet becomes too big, given the edge you perceive to have and the size of your bankroll.

    In short: You are not exactly making it easy on yourself.
  • GoatsGoats Head Moderator
    edited March 2017
    Division wrote: »
    if someone makes a profit from following my selections

    Nothing personal, but why would someone follow a random poster with no track record or indication that they will win going forward?
  • DivisionDivision Senior Member
    edited March 2017
    I will be posting quite a few selections in this thread. People can choose to follow at any point when they feel that there is a good enough track record.

    Liverpool 3-1 Arsenal

    Balance: €213
  • DivisionDivision Senior Member
    edited March 2017
    Champions League
    Napoli v Real Madrid
    Bet: Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.7 Coral
    Estimated Win Percentage: 67.5%
    Stake €21
  • DivisionDivision Senior Member
    edited March 2017
    Napoli 1-3 Real Madrid

    Balance: €228
  • DivisionDivision Senior Member
    edited March 2017
    English Premier League
    Bournemouth v West Ham
    Bet: Both Teams To Score @ 1.6 William Hill
    Estimated Win Percentage: 70.6%
    Stake €23
  • DivisionDivision Senior Member
    edited March 2017
    Bournemouth 3-2 West Ham

    Balance: €242
  • DivisionDivision Senior Member
    edited March 2017
    English FA Cup
    Chelsea v Manchester Utd
    Bet: Chelsea To Win @ 1.8 Paddy Power
    Estimated Win Percentage: 63.7%
    Stake €24


    Champions League
    Monaco v Manchester City
    Bet: Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.1 Paddy Power
    Estimated Win Percentage: 60.2%
    Stake €36
  • DivisionDivision Senior Member
    edited March 2017
    Chelsea 1-0 Man Utd
    Monaco 3-1 Man City

    Balance: €301
  • DivisionDivision Senior Member
    edited March 2017
    English Premier League
    Bournemouth v Swansea
    Bet: Bournemouth To Score 2 Or More Goals @ 1.9 Paddy Power
    Estimated Win Percentage: 63%
    Stake €30
  • DivisionDivision Senior Member
    edited March 2017
    Bournemouth 2-0 Swansea

    Balance: €328
  • DivisionDivision Senior Member
    edited March 2017
    World Cup Qualifier
    Peru v Uruguay
    Bet: Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.25 William Hill
    Estimated Win Percentage: 53%
    Stake €32
  • DivisionDivision Senior Member
    edited March 2017
    Peru 2-1 Uruguay

    Balance: €368
  • LancerLancer Senior Member
    edited March 2017
    Thx dude!
  • DivisionDivision Senior Member
    edited April 2017
    English Premier League
    Crystal Palace v Arsenal
    Bet: Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.95 Coral
    Estimated Win Percentage: 59%
    Stake €36
  • DivisionDivision Senior Member
    edited April 2017
    English Premier League
    Everton v Leicester
    Bet: Both Teams To Score @ 1.62 Bet Victor
    Estimated Win Percentage: 68%
    Stake €36
  • DivisionDivision Senior Member
    edited April 2017
    Champions League
    Borussia Dortmund v Monaco
    Bet: Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.7 Coral
    Estimated Win Percentage: 67%
    Stake €36
  • DivisionDivision Senior Member
    edited April 2017
    Everton 4-2 Leicester (Bet Won)
    Crystal Palace 3-0 Arsenal (Bet Lost) #WengerOut
    Borussia Dortmund 2-3 Monaco (Bet Won)

    Balance: €379
  • DivisionDivision Senior Member
    edited April 2017
    English Premier League
    Tottenham v Bournemouth
    Bet: Tottenham To Win & Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.67 Paddy Power
    Estimated Win Percentage: 65%
    Stake €38

    English Premier League
    Man Utd v Chelsea
    Bet: Chelsea To Win - Draw No Bet @ 2.05 Bet Victor
    Estimated Win Percentage: 56% (ex. push)
    Stake €38

    Champions League
    Monaco v Borussia Dortmund
    Bet: Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 Coral
    Estimated Win Percentage: 73%
    Stake €38
  • DivisionDivision Senior Member
    edited April 2017
    Tottenham 4-0 Bournemouth (Bet Won)
    Man Utd 2-0 Chelsea (Bet Lost)
    Monaco 3-1 Borussia Dortmund (Bet Won)

    Balance: €387
  • DivisionDivision Senior Member
    edited April 2017
    English Premier League
    West Ham v Everton
    Bet: Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.95 Coral
    Estimated Win Percentage: 59%
    Stake €38
  • DivisionDivision Senior Member
    edited April 2017
    West Ham 0-0 Everton (Bet Lost)

    Balance: €349
  • DivisionDivision Senior Member
    edited April 2017
    English Premier League
    Liverpool v Crystal Palace
    Bet: Both Teams To Score @ 1.8 Bet365
    Estimated Win Percentage: 61%
    Stake €34
  • DivisionDivision Senior Member
    edited April 2017
    Liverpool 1-2 Crystal Palace (Bet Won)

    Balance: €379

    Spanish La Liga
    Real Madrid v Barcelona
    Bet: Real Madrid To Win or Draw & Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.0 Paddy Power
    Estimated Win Percentage: 59%
    Stake €56
  • DivisionDivision Senior Member
    edited April 2017
    Real Madrid 2-3 Barcelona (Bet Lost)

    Balance: €323

    English Premier League
    Crystal Palace v Tottenham
    Bet: Both Teams To Score @ 1.67 Bet365
    Estimated Win Percentage: 65%
    Stake €32
  • DivisionDivision Senior Member
    edited May 2017
    Crystal Palace 0-1 Tottenham (Bet Lost)

    Balance: €291

    Champions League
    Real Madrid v Atletico Madrid
    Bet: Exactly 2 or 3 Goals @ 2.05 Bet Victor
    Estimated Win Percentage: 57%
    Stake €29
  • DivisionDivision Senior Member
    edited May 2017
    Real Madrid 3-0 Atletico Madrid (Bet Won)

    Balance: €318

    Europa League
    Celta Vigo v Man Utd
    Bet: Man Utd Win - Draw No Bet @ 1.7 William Hill
    Estimated Win Percentage: 65%
    Stake €31
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