Betting Talk

TommyL's 2017 Soccer Plays

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Comments

  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2017
    Lancer wrote: »
    The pk, +.5 (or -.5) lines are not avail at BM, is it.

    I don't think they deal .25 lines outside of really major tournaments or games (think they did in the World Cup, but not positive). But in general, BM isn't a great place to play soccer as they usually aren't dealing lines as good as places like Pinny or 5Dimes (or even some smaller shops like Skybook).
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2017
    TommyL wrote: »
    World Cup Qualifier tonight...

    Fiji E, +.5 New Caledonia (-101) 1.01 units to win 1 unit

    Coming back on the other side with...

    New Caledonia E Fiji (+111) 1 unit to win 1.11 units

    Rare that I'd do this, but it moved so much that I think there is some value on the other side (was waiting for +110 or better to play it). Game goes in 8 minutes though.
  • duritodurito Senior Member
    edited June 2017
    TommyL wrote: »
    I don't think they deal .25 lines outside of really major tournaments or games (think they did in the World Cup, but not positive). But in general, BM isn't a great place to play soccer as they usually aren't dealing lines as good as places like Pinny or 5Dimes (or even some smaller shops like Skybook).

    No Asian lines, but BM soccer is much improved lately. Good limits, some team totals and props, and even with full vig they often have the best price on one side, especially money lines.
  • LancerLancer Senior Member
    edited June 2017
    Thx!
  • megapowers88megapowers88 Senior Member
    edited June 2017
    Thank you!
  • megapowers88megapowers88 Senior Member
    edited June 2017
    Can we tip on here? I always take care of guys I get picks from, or DFS stuff from. Even if a little via paypal...these soccer picks are awesome.
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2017
    Can we tip on here? I always take care of guys I get picks from, or DFS stuff from. Even if a little via paypal...these soccer picks are awesome.

    Make a donation to your favorite charity (or The Jimmy V Foundation, which is one of mine). And also promise not to hold it against me when variance takes a turn in the other direction (kinda ridiculous to end up with an England-Venezuela final).
  • paddyboy111paddyboy111 Senior Member
    edited June 2017
    TommyL wrote: »
    Make a donation to your favorite charity (or The Jimmy V Foundation, which is one of mine). And also promise not to hold it against me when variance takes a turn in the other direction (kinda ridiculous to end up with an England-Venezuela final).

    Nice one. Kicking myself for not going in deeper on Venezuela.
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2017
    Nice one. Kicking myself for not going in deeper on Venezuela.

    Yea, I've only thought about that somewhere around 200 times in the past two weeks. I thought the prices on them were way off (right up until the won their quarterfinal), but didn't really want to overexpose myself on a ridiculous longshot.
  • megapowers88megapowers88 Senior Member
    edited June 2017
    Funny about the charity, that is my name Jimmy V...Jim Viviano. Do you do soccer bets year round? Not sure of the seasons...
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2017
    Do you do soccer bets year round? Not sure of the seasons...

    Yes, but I only cap International games, so the summer is busy, and then the random international breaks thrown in there every few months.
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2017
    U20 World Cup on Sunday morning...

    Venezuela -.5 England (+250) 1 unit to win 2.5 units

    I guess Venezuela will never get respect in this tourney
  • megapowers88megapowers88 Senior Member
    edited June 2017
    I see you're in Cherry Hill...I'm up in the burbs of Philly.
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2017
    Saturday night, U20...

    Italy/Uruguay over 2.5 (-105) 2.1 units to win 2 units
  • LancerLancer Senior Member
    edited June 2017
    Hey TL, will these U20 playoffs be avail at BM you think? They aren't now.
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2017
    Updated Result: +27.755 units (ROI: +26.0%)

    U20s are over, so nothing pending.
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2017
    Confed Cup stuff...

    Germany to win Confed Cup (+260) 2 units to win 5.2 units
    Germany wins Group B (-105) 1.575 units to win 1.5 units

    Russia HT/Russia FT (-108) 1.62 units to win 1.5 units
    Portugal E, -.5 Mexico (-123) 1.23 units to win 1 unit
    Portugal HT/Portugal FT (+265) 1 unit to win 2.65 units
    Germany -1 Australia (-145) 1.45 units to win 1 unit
  • Obi OneObi One Senior Member
    edited June 2017
    TommyL wrote: »
    Confed Cup stuff...

    Germany to win Confed Cup (+260) 2 units to win 5.2 units

    Isn't it crazy that they're fielding a young and supposedly inexperienced B-team, but that team is still the co-favorite to win the Confederation Cup? Amazing depth in Germany right now.
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2017
    Obi One wrote: »
    Isn't it crazy that they're fielding a young and supposedly inexperienced B-team, but that team is still the co-favorite to win the Confederation Cup? Amazing depth in Germany right now.

    I kinda like what they're doing, tons of talent and giving guys a shot to make their mark over the next few weeks. It's like the opposite of what Spain did, letting their guys all hang around for too long and go up in flames before they started to work in the new blood.
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2017
    Today...

    Mexico/New Zealand 1st half under 1, 1.5 (-106) 1.06 units to win 1 unit

    Tomorrow...

    Cameroon E Australia (-135) 1.35 units to win 1 unit
    Chile/Germany under 3 (-118) 1.18 units to win 1 unit
  • duritodurito Senior Member
    edited June 2017
    That Australia move makes even less sense given the lines for the games tmr.
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2017
    Chile-Portugal - No Penalty Awarded (-330)** 1.65 units to win .5 units
    Chile/Portugal under .5 goals (+725)** .5 units to win 3.625 units

    Mexico/Germany under 3 (-162)** 1.62 units to win 1 unit
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2017
    A CONCACAF Gold Cup Future...

    Costa Rica to win Gold Cup (+700) 1.5 units to win 10.5 units

    This price is pretty off when you look at the squads, even considering that Mexico/US can call in some reinforcements for the knockout phase.
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2017
    Confed Cup for Sunday...

    Mexico/Portugal over 2.5, 3 (-125) 1.875 units to win 1.5 units
  • LancerLancer Senior Member
    edited June 2017
    I have over 3 +105 as my option, thoughts TL?
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited July 2017
    Updated Result YTD: +36.47 units (ROI: +29.2%)

    One pending play...

    Costa Rica to win Gold Cup (+700) 1.5 units to win 10.5 units
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited July 2017
    CONCACAF Gold Cup plays

    Friday...

    Canada -.5 French Guyana (-138) 2.07 units to win 1.5 units
    Costa Rica -.5 Honduras (+117) 1 unit to win 1.17 units

    Saturday...

    Panama/USA over 2, 2.5 (+112) 1 unit to win 1.12 units
    Nicaragua E Martinique (-128) 1.92 units to win 1.5 units

    Sunday...

    Jamaica -.5 Curacao (+134) 2 units to win 2.68 units
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited July 2017
    Two more tonight...

    Costa Rica HT/Costa Rica FT (+275) 1 unit to win 2.75 units
    Costa Rica -1 Honduras (+305). .5 units to win 1.5025 units
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited July 2017
    More for tonight...

    Nicaragua HT/Nicaragua FT (+420) .5 units to win 2.1 units
    First half Exact Result - Nicaragua 2 Martinique 0 (+1700) .2 units to win 3.4 units

    Pretty sure I'll also have one more once the lineups for the US game are in about 20 minutes from now.
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited July 2017
    Three more that go in 15 minutes (and carry a lot of juice)...

    Abdiel Arroyo no goals scored (-1025) 3.075 units to win .3 units
    Armando Cooper no goals scored (-1275) 2.55 units to win .2 units
    Valentin Pimentel no goals scored (-1300) 2.6 units to win .2 units

    Likely that 1-2 of them will be no action
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