513 duke +4
518 pro +2
521 vill -12.5
523 mia +3
529 geo +11
534 miss st +1.5
535 bra +8.5
559 nd +2.5
561 xav +4.5
565 fla st +7.5
579akron -8
603 sjst +4
627 miss +13.5
636 uta +3
648 ill st +2.5
661 byu -10.5
671 st mary +7.5
729 ark +4.5 -105
737 st bonnie -9.5 love this game ...adams hurts ...bonnie turned ball over 28% of the time last game ...not going to come close to doing that again my line is -13.5...
Not an official play but one i find interesting. Down in the BIG south you have unc ash playing at winthrop....very big game for both , winner takes sole poss. of first and if it stays that way, gets to host the conf tournament. I think giving ash 5 (5d) is way to much, they played a brutal non conf sked which i think will help them win this game, i might just throw a few bucks their way for shits and giggles.
Betting against the non-ranked Favorite playing the Ranked team. How you been jets? Hope all is good this New Year 2017 and your son is doing well. How's the weather?
Hey OT ...everything is cool, model has blinders on when it comes to that...ive tracked what ive done going against that system and way ahead of the game. ....how s the weather , well the northeast is the northeast except its 50 degress ...we are getting march weather in Jan...its crazy , besides every single person i know being sick, including me , had a cough for three weeks, Id ask you the same question except i know what the weather is there, talk to my sportsbook buddy a couple times a week and he lets me know how nice it is....its cool though, ill be down in F L A watching son play ball pretty soon, march 8th to 15th , going up against the div 2 champs , nova southeastern at some point while down there, i hope he gets to pitch against them.
Still seeing if i can make it out there right after fla ...the nugget is calling my name. Have been betting nba down a few units.
Let me ask you something ..with all the metrics out there for the nba , four factors and on and on....which stat do you think is the most conducive to winning , i think i asked you this before and i went back to find it without any luck. The only reason i ask is am working on something that looks very promising but am off a little somewhere....i think if i square the most important ,say two stats , am very close to the closing line.
I personally think efg % is the most important and by a wide margin over to's , rebounding and free throws.
I d like to hear your take on this , if not no worries.
Hope you and your family are doing well ,PLEASE post some NBA.
Hey Jets, nice to hear the weather is good nothing sucks more then bitter cold and snow. I've been doing mostly 1st Half betting and doing okay at the present time. Had two good ones last night but in all honesty the NBA has been super tough this year. I had some angles for Under total's that held up for a couple of years and now what I call the new video game NBA are now in the trash.
Besides Utah and the Mav's finding a total under 200 is dreaming more like 210 and above. Never seen so many 70 total point half's and 40 quarters for a team. I'm down for the year but it's not that bad and as of lately I've been playing less and starting to set up for baseball.
I would include three point takes and makes and a players +/- when on the court is an over looked stat which I believe is important also average bench scoring and minutes played. On a b2b and the starting team played over 160 minutes the game before the legs will go late in the next game. It's a tough call because there's so many things to look at you can drive yourself crazy and it's up to the individual what works for them. I'm a big believer in KISS.
Hey don't beat yourself up with the NBA I know some pretty sharp guys that are having a hard time. It's definitely a changed game with all the teams following Pops lead with resting players even when they have the next day off. I pay more attention to scheduling then anything else and Minutes played by the starting team in certain spots and now I have to pay more attention to who's resting and who's playing which of course is always baked into the number so I try not to let it bother me because it's a players league and it isn't going to change anytime soon.Good job last night with Maryland
Take care jets and I wish you and family health and hope your son gets a shot that's all you can ask.
OT ,always enjoy your thoughts, thank you...nba ,its not that am having a hard time....am always working on different models ...trying out of the box metrics ,just always trying to make it better ,
No, that wasn't the reason but I did notice it and I know a couple of guys that keep track of that. I just asked them for the record this year. To tell the truth the last post I seen from them it was about 500 not sure though and when I find out I'll let you know.
Good Luck jets
Was looking at Denver tonight number was a little high IMO but it's picking up steam Think I'll pass. Got them last night with Toronto had a little ML also and almost got there but it was good after that fiasco with the C's the night before.
523 ohio -6.5
535 ucf +2
537 mary +5 -115
539 st bonn +6.5
541 pro +9
549 c of c -5
554 oak +2.5
582 van +1.5
603 kan +7.5
609 mis st+7
641 oh st +1.5
653 s car -10
666 por +1.5
Comments
521syr +3.5
540missouri +1.5
541 xav +8
543 duke +2.5 -115
554 bama +5.5 -105
555 miss st +10.5
559 kan st +5.5
luck
719 geo +2.5
735 pitt +12
737 hall +5.5
742 tul +1.5
747 evn +6
750 drake +1.5
759 but +4.5
luck
761 n car st -6
553 smu +6
573 pep +5
582 col +6.5
luck.....
feel for all those memphis backers last night but not that much.
518 pro +2
521 vill -12.5
523 mia +3
529 geo +11
534 miss st +1.5
535 bra +8.5
559 nd +2.5
561 xav +4.5
565 fla st +7.5
579akron -8
603 sjst +4
627 miss +13.5
636 uta +3
648 ill st +2.5
661 byu -10.5
671 st mary +7.5
luck
873 drake +6.5
883 iowa +6.5
lucl
luck
737 st bonnie -9.5 love this game ...adams hurts ...bonnie turned ball over 28% of the time last game ...not going to come close to doing that again my line is -13.5...
luck
luck
553 utah -9 ....really like these two favorites ....
555 ill st -11
luck
luck
715 mary +2 -105
743 calf +9
745 cle +6.5
luck
Still seeing if i can make it out there right after fla ...the nugget is calling my name. Have been betting nba down a few units.
Let me ask you something ..with all the metrics out there for the nba , four factors and on and on....which stat do you think is the most conducive to winning , i think i asked you this before and i went back to find it without any luck. The only reason i ask is am working on something that looks very promising but am off a little somewhere....i think if i square the most important ,say two stats , am very close to the closing line.
I personally think efg % is the most important and by a wide margin over to's , rebounding and free throws.
I d like to hear your take on this , if not no worries.
Hope you and your family are doing well ,PLEASE post some NBA.
Besides Utah and the Mav's finding a total under 200 is dreaming more like 210 and above. Never seen so many 70 total point half's and 40 quarters for a team. I'm down for the year but it's not that bad and as of lately I've been playing less and starting to set up for baseball.
I would include three point takes and makes and a players +/- when on the court is an over looked stat which I believe is important also average bench scoring and minutes played. On a b2b and the starting team played over 160 minutes the game before the legs will go late in the next game. It's a tough call because there's so many things to look at you can drive yourself crazy and it's up to the individual what works for them. I'm a big believer in KISS.
Hey don't beat yourself up with the NBA I know some pretty sharp guys that are having a hard time. It's definitely a changed game with all the teams following Pops lead with resting players even when they have the next day off. I pay more attention to scheduling then anything else and Minutes played by the starting team in certain spots and now I have to pay more attention to who's resting and who's playing which of course is always baked into the number so I try not to let it bother me because it's a players league and it isn't going to change anytime soon.Good job last night with Maryland
Take care jets and I wish you and family health and hope your son gets a shot that's all you can ask.
533 geo +4.5
535 fla +12.5
539 tulsa -6
545 lou +3 -105
549 but -11.5
561 iowa st +1
587 ari+6
607 boi -6
629 hou +9
637 micg st+4.5
673 mia +10
681 calf -12.5
luck
859 ucf +5
luck
729 st joes +9.5
733 kansas +3.5 -105
749 ark +3.5
753 ball st +7 -115
579 kan st +3.5
luck
535minn +3
543 am +1.5
563 bama +4.5
569 nev +4.5
luck
752 utah +1
luck
Funny, I bet them both early this morning But the 1st Half Xmen and Utah Good Luck
Good Luck jets
Was looking at Denver tonight number was a little high IMO but it's picking up steam Think I'll pass. Got them last night with Toronto had a little ML also and almost got there but it was good after that fiasco with the C's the night before.
535 ucf +2
537 mary +5 -115
539 st bonn +6.5
541 pro +9
549 c of c -5
554 oak +2.5
582 van +1.5
603 kan +7.5
609 mis st+7
641 oh st +1.5
653 s car -10
666 por +1.5
luck
873 xavier -6 -115
875 ind +7
luck
723 kent st +5.5 -115
725 mia oh +4.5 -115
733 mar +3
749 van +5
luck