Betting Talk

- Soccer 2016/2017 Season -

Obi OneObi One Senior Member
edited May 2017 in Sports Betting
Over 60 units of profit in my previous 3 soccer threads since the World Cup of 2014 in Brazil.

I will have mainly plays from the European Leagues.

Starting with the Champions League 3rd round of qualifying tomorrow:

- Ajax/ PAOK U2.5 -138
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Comments

  • Obi OneObi One Senior Member
    edited August 2016
    France Super Cup:
    -Paris SG -156

    Champions League Future:
    - Paris SG +1350 to win 2016/2017 Champions League
  • Obi OneObi One Senior Member
    edited August 2016
    UEFA Europa League 4th august:

    - Midtjylland -1.5 +110
  • Obi OneObi One Senior Member
    edited August 2016
    At CRIS, under Club Friendlies, Game starts in a bit at 2 PM ET.

    Leicester City +1.5 -117
    Leicester City +775 (risk 0.26 unit to win 2.00 units)

    This is a bet against Barcelona who are starting with a very weak team. Lots of the youngsters and new guys starting. On the other hand, Leicester City with a strong team.
  • Obi OneObi One Senior Member
    edited August 2016
    ytd-u: 1-3 for -2.55
    ytd-w: 1-4 for -2.81

    Monaco -160
    PSG/Bastia O2.5 -115 (2x)
    PSG -1.5 +123 (2x)
    - It's simple. Paris Saint Germain are playing the best soccer in the world right now. After 3 straight Europa League titles with Sevilla, Unai Emery has gotten a roster full of worldstar talent players. They are simply demolishing the competition right now. They even added Jese Rodriguez yesterday from Real Madrid. They now have even more depth. Future-bet of PSG to win Champions League at +1350 looking very promising right now.

    Holland:
    Excelsior +165
    Excelsior/ Groningen O2.5 -117
    Roda JC +1.5 +108

    parlay: PSV -290, Feyenoord -350 and PSG -265 for +138 (2x)
    parlay: PSV -290, Feyenoord -350, PSG -265 with PSG/Bastia O2.5 -115 for +345
  • Obi OneObi One Senior Member
    edited August 2016
    +35 cents line value on the moneyline, +33 cents line value on the spread, +10 cents line value on the total
    .....and PSG comes out flat, like they had won already.

    PS. Can somebody explain to me how to calculate the line value percentage? Like Dr H has on his page.
    Obviously a move from -265 to -300 is not as significant as a move from +123 to -110.
  • Dr. HDr. H Senior Member
    edited August 2016
    Obi One wrote: »
    +35 cents line value on the moneyline, +33 cents line value on the spread, +10 cents line value on the total
    .....and PSG comes out flat, like they had won already.

    PS. Can somebody explain to me how to calculate the line value percentage? Like Dr H has on his page.
    Obviously a move from -265 to -300 is not as significant as a move from +123 to -110.

    For a favorite that moved from -120 to -150, for example:
    150/250-120/220

    For a dog that moved from 150 to 120, for example:
    100/220-100/250

    If dog to fave, let's say +110 closes -115:
    115/215-100/210

    Hope that helps - good luck!
  • Obi OneObi One Senior Member
    edited August 2016
    Dr. H wrote: »
    For a favorite that moved from -120 to -150, for example:
    150/250-120/220

    For a dog that moved from 150 to 120, for example:
    100/220-100/250

    If dog to fave, let's say +110 closes -115:
    115/215-100/210

    Hope that helps - good luck!

    Thanks a lot for the help H,
    And congrats on a very nice baseball season!
  • Obi OneObi One Senior Member
    edited August 2016
    Friday 19th

    England Premier League
    - Manchester United 1H +104

    France Ligue 1
    - Olympique Lyonnais -1.5 +100

    Holland Eredivisie
    - Excelsior +258

    Spain La Liga:
    - Malaga -1 +110

    Parlay:
    - Manchester United ML -190 with Olympique Lyonnais -265 for +110 (2units)
    - Manchester United ML -190 with Olympique Lyonnais -265 with Malaga -159 for +240
  • Obi OneObi One Senior Member
    edited August 2016
    Saturday:

    England
    - Liverpool -1 -110
    - Burnley/ Liverpool O2.5 -115
    - Arsenal +140
    - Manchester City -0.5 +128 1H

    Holland
    - Vitesse/ Roda JC draw +269
    - Ajax -1.5 -120
    - Heerenveen +154

    parlay
    - PSV -190, Manchester City -172 for +141 (2 units)
    - PSV -190, Manchester City -172, Liverpool -190 for +268
  • Obi OneObi One Senior Member
    edited August 2016
    Sunday:

    PSG -1 -110 1H
    EA Guingamp +160

    FC Utrecht +135
    Sparta/ GA Eagles O3 +116
    GA Eagles +0.5 +118

    Real Madrid -120
  • Obi OneObi One Senior Member
    edited August 2016
    Champions League tuesday:

    AS Monaco +160
    Monaco/ Villarreal O2.5 +119
    Celtic +203

    wednesday:
    Manchester City -2 -110
    Salzburg/ Dinamo Zagreb U2.5 -125
  • Obi OneObi One Senior Member
    edited August 2016
    add for the games that start in 25 minutes:

    Ajax/ Rostov U2 -110
  • Obi OneObi One Senior Member
    edited August 2016
    Obi One wrote: »

    Ajax/ Rostov U2 -110

    What a shit show. 3 goals from standard situations. Peter Bosz will probably not make it to the winterstop. Losses to Rostov and Willem II with draws at home to Rostov and Roda JC. That's how you get fired.
  • ebemissebemiss Senior Member
    edited August 2016
    Do you have an updated record for this thread?
  • Obi OneObi One Senior Member
    edited August 2016
    ebemiss wrote: »
    Do you have an updated record for this thread?

    Sure, here it is:

    ytd-u: 13-25 for -11.86
    ytd-w: -9.13 units
  • Obi OneObi One Senior Member
    edited August 2016
    Netherlands:
    -Vitesse +104
    - PSV -2 -130
    - NEC +1.5 -110
    - Ajax/ GA Eagles O3 -107

    France:
    - Olympique Marseille 1H +135
    - EA Guingamp +286
    -Olympique Lyonnais -138
    - Bastia +280
    - PSG/Monaco U2.5 -115
  • Obi OneObi One Senior Member
    edited August 2016
    Premier League:

    Liverpool +200
    Burnley +1.5 +110
    Swansea +0.5 +115
    Hull City +1 +115

    Parlay +297:
    Borussia Dortmund -295,
    EA Guingamp +0.5 -137
    Everton -140
  • Obi OneObi One Senior Member
    edited September 2016
    International friendlies sept 1st:

    Greece +1 +120
    Spain/ Belgium O2.5 +118
    France/ Italy O2 -106

    WC Qualifiers South America:
    Chile +127
    Brazil +189
    Peru +230
  • Obi OneObi One Senior Member
    edited September 2016
    Champions League:

    Arsenal/PSG draw +258
    Napoli/ Dynamo Kiev draw +223
    Athletico Madrid/ PSV draw +233
    Monaco +0.5 +119
    CSKA Moscow +0.5 +131
    Borussia Dortmund -1.5 -102
    Sporting CP +2 -115
    Leicester City +146 (2x)

    Parlay:
    Juventus -190, Borussia Dortmund -280, Manchester City -245 for +191
    Juventus -190, Borussia Dortmund -280, Manchester City -245, Porto -190 for +345
  • Obi OneObi One Senior Member
    edited September 2016
    Friday's matches:

    Chelsea/ Liverpool o2.5 -127
    Utrecht/ Groningen o2.5 -156
    Caen +600 (0.5 unit)
    PSG/ Caen draw +323 (0.5 unit)
    Sampdoria +200
    AC Milan/ Sampdoria draw +240 (0.5 unit)
  • Obi OneObi One Senior Member
    edited September 2016
    About 0-7 on goals after the 85th minute.
    And Cavani playing Dr Jeckyll and Mr Hyde......

    Saturday 10am:
    Arsenal -1 +100
    Burnley +1.5 -144
    Everton -156 (2x)

    AS Monaco -140
    EA Guingamp +0.5 -125

    parlay:
    Everton, Monaco +181
    Everton, Monaco, Manchester City, Arsenal +476
  • Obi OneObi One Senior Member
    edited September 2016
    saturday 12:00

    Den Haag/ Twente draw +265
    Heerenveen/ Roda JC draw +239
    Excelsior +0.5 +125

    Pescara +1 +108
  • Obi OneObi One Senior Member
    edited September 2016
    record update:

    ytd-u: 30-48 for -9.88
    ytd-w: +2.85 units

    +12 units in just 5 matchdays. Getting a better grip on the teams. 8 more months to go, which equals about 100 matchdays when including the Europa, International and Champions League matches.
  • Obi OneObi One Senior Member
    edited September 2016
    sunday september 18th:

    Manchester United -165 (2x)
    Stoke City +305
    Swansea City +0.5 +125
    Swansea City +450 (0.5 unit)

    Bastia +0.5 +127
    Bastia +506 (0.5 unit)
    Nice +226

    AZ Alkmaar +110
    Feyenoord +400
    Feyenoord/ PSV draw +300 (0.4 unit)
    Ajax -138
  • Obi OneObi One Senior Member
    edited September 2016
    Obi One wrote: »
    About 0-7 on goals after the 85th minute.

    Make it 0-8.....Bastia in the 90'+3rd minute

    Monday:
    Alaves/ Deportivo La Coru?a U2 -105
  • Obi OneObi One Senior Member
    edited September 2016
    tuesday 20:

    Ligue 1,
    - Toulouse +274
    - Toulouse/ Lille draw
    - AS Monaco +131
    - Bastia +142

    Bundesliga,
    - Borussia Dortmund -129
    - RB Leipzig +150
    - FC K?ln +0.5 -131 (vs Schalke '04)

    La Liga,
    - Athletico Madrid +465
    - Athletico Madrid/ Barcelona draw +320 (0.4 unit)
    - Granada +0.5 -105
  • Obi OneObi One Senior Member
    edited September 2016
    Adds for wednesday 21:

    Ligue 1 France,
    - Guingamp +102 (2x)
    - Stade Rennes +133
    - Ol. Marseille/ Rennes draw +222 (0.3 unit)
    - Nantes/ Saint Etienne U2 -124
    - Nantes/ Saint Etienne draw +194

    Plays for thursday 22:
    - Dep. Alaves +575
    - Dep. Alaves +1 -110 (2x)
    Crazy price here. The Valencia manager just got sacked yesterday. They have zero points so far and have been bad for awhile. Alaves o.t.o.h. have drawn with Athletico Madrid and have defeated Barcelona. I'll repeat it: This price is crazy!
    - Leganes/ Dep. La Coru?a draw +225

    Saturday:

    Premier League,
    - Everton +110
    - Leicester City +0.5 +125
  • Obi OneObi One Senior Member
    edited September 2016
    Obi One wrote: »
    Saturday:

    Premier League,
    - Everton +110
    - Leicester City +0.5 +125

    adding,
    Tottenham Hotspur / Middlesbrough O2.5 +108
    WBA/ Stoke City draw +229

    Serie A:
    Chievo +1.5 -112

    Bundesliga:
    Borussia M?nchengladbach -149
    Werder Bremen +0.5 -105

    Eredivisie:
    Groningen +122
    Heerenveen/ ADO Den Haag draw +248
    Excelsior +1.5 -109

    parlay:
    Liverpool -390, Manchester City -240, Juventus -330, Ajax -340, AZ Alkmaar -310 for +296
  • Obi OneObi One Senior Member
    edited September 2016
    Obi One wrote: »
    WBA/ Stoke City draw +229

    Wow,
    finally a goal after the 85th minute going my way. For the first time this season. 1-10 on those right now. Immediate +3.29 unit swing.
  • Obi OneObi One Senior Member
    edited September 2016
    Sunday morning:

    Southampton +154
    Nice +202
    Twente +236
    Feyenoord -2 +102
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