MLB Extra Innings Prop Q?
ericvanden
Senior Member
Hey guys
Local just put up a daily MLB Extra Inning Prop Wager, this is essentially the wager:
Will there be an extra inning game played today?
Yes (-130)
No (+110)
I don't dabble in MLB outside of TT here and there but shouldn't I hammer this every time there's a full slate of games (14/15)? Seems that 9-10% of games go to Extra Innings, anybody see a reason I shouldn't bet this every day there is 13+ games? Appreciate any help on this subject I know very little about?
E
Local just put up a daily MLB Extra Inning Prop Wager, this is essentially the wager:
Will there be an extra inning game played today?
Yes (-130)
No (+110)
I don't dabble in MLB outside of TT here and there but shouldn't I hammer this every time there's a full slate of games (14/15)? Seems that 9-10% of games go to Extra Innings, anybody see a reason I shouldn't bet this every day there is 13+ games? Appreciate any help on this subject I know very little about?
E
Comments
On a 15 game slate that would equate to 74% chance of at least one going extras
On a 14 game slate that would equate to 71% chance of at least one going extras
On a 13 game slate that would equate to 68% chance of at least one going extras
Milk it while you can, it won't last long.
So for a 15 game slate
1 - .915 raised to the 15th = 1 - .26 = .74