Betting Talk

TommyL's 2016 Soccer Plays

TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
edited November 2016 in Sports Betting
Starting up the 2016 thread now since these three futures are for the Euro Championship being played in the summer of '16. They are from 5Dimes...

France to win Group A (-275) 2.75 units to win 1 unit
Ukraine to win Group C (+800) 1 unit to win 8 units
Austria to win Group G (+220) 1 unit to win 2.2 units
«134

Comments

  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited January 2016
    Another Euro future...

    Belgium to win Group E (+115) 1 unit to win 1.15 units

    Also note that in my initial post, it's group F for Austria, not G.
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited February 2016
    5Dimes team total for tonight (goes off in a little over an hour)...

    USA over 2 (+152) 1 unit to win 1.52 units
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited February 2016
    A Future from 5Dimes...

    Leicester City to win English Premier League (+230) 1.5 units to win 3.45 units
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited February 2016
    Two CONCACAF Champions League for tonight and one for tomorrow night...

    Queretaro -1, -1.5 DC United (-122) 2.44 units to win 2 units
    Seattle E, +.5 America (-120) 1.2 units to win 1 unit

    LA Galaxy -.5 Santos Laguna (+139) 1 unit to win 1.39 units
  • hornsfanhornsfan Senior Member
    edited February 2016
    nm. sorry to clutter up a pick thread.
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited February 2016
    hornsfan wrote: »
    nm. sorry to clutter up a pick thread.

    Feel free to discuss or ask any questions in here. I've got no issues with it and welcome any soccer talk that we can get.
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited March 2016
    CONCACAF Champions League for tonight...

    Santos Laguna -.5 La Galaxy (-134) 2.01 units to win 1.5 units

    and tomorrow (3/2)...

    America de Mexico -1, -1.5 Seattle (-122) 1.22 units to win 1 unit
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited May 2016
    One for today, from the English Championship...

    Sheffield Wednesday E Brighton (-142) 1.42 units to win 1 unit

    I'll get caught up this weekend updating my soccer record, compiling my soccer records from past years (never did get to that), and totaling up my final college hoops result. Things have been crazy as of late, but looking forward to everything settling down with a great summer of soccer on the horizon.
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited May 2016
    One game today from the Toulon tournament, from 5Dimes...

    Mexico +.5 France (-135) 1.35 units to win 1 unit
    Mexico -.5 France (+220) .5 units to win 1.1 units
  • LancerLancer Senior Member
    edited May 2016
    What league? Toulon? Not widely available? At bookmaker?
  • GoatsGoats Head Moderator
    edited May 2016
    Lancer wrote: »
    What league? Toulon? Not widely available? At bookmaker?

    It's an U-23 tourney held in Toulon, France.
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited May 2016
    Here is the wiki on it...

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2016_Toulon_Tournament

    And I'm not sure if anywhere other than 5Dimes is offering it. Like Goats said, it's a youth tournament (some teams like France send their U-20, others like Mexico have a lot of their Olympic guys so some go up to 22-23). It's a somewhat prestigious yearly youth tourney that the US actually had some success in last year (finished 3rd if I recall), but no US team over there this year.
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited May 2016
    Updated Result: +5.6 units (ROI: +41.1%)

    Pending:
    France to win Group A (-275) 2.75 units to win 1 unit
    Ukraine to win Group C (+800) 1 unit to win 8 units
    Austria to win Group F (+220) 1 unit to win 2.2 units
    Belgium to win Group E (+115) 1 unit to win 1.15 units

    I'll be playing a bunch more stuff in the next 24-48 hours as I've finally gotten into seriously capping individual games and rosters in the two big tournaments.
  • duritodurito Senior Member
    edited May 2016
    how high would you still play france?
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited May 2016
    durito wrote: »
    how high would you still play france?

    I'm tweaking everything now and rerunning it all. Based on my stuff from the winter, I had it lined closer to the -350 to -400 range.
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited May 2016
    One Friendly tonight...

    Brazil -1, -1.5 Panama (-165) 1.65 units to win 1 unit
  • Obi OneObi One Senior Member
    edited May 2016
    TommyL wrote: »
    I'm tweaking everything now and rerunning it all. Based on my stuff from the winter, I had it lined closer to the -350 to -400 range.

    France has some world class players, but they got spliced up on that Aboubakar goal. Under normal circumstances they beat Romania and Switzerland 8 out of 10 times and Albania 10 out of 10. I'm just a bit weary of the hosts' record in opening games of big tourneys. Romania has the kind of defense that can keep the game 0-0 on June 10th. If that happens the group is wide open. Still don't know what to make of that 4-3 Romania/Ukraine match of yesterday though. Romania allowed more goals in the 2nd half than they had in their Euro 2016 qualifying matches.
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited May 2016
    Friendly on Wednesday (6/1)

    Spain -1 South Korea (-138) 1.38 units to win 1 unit
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited May 2016
    Copa America games

    Friday, 6/3

    Colombia E USA (-104) 1.04 units to win 1 unit
    Colombia -.5 USA (+191) .5 units to win .955 units

    Saturday, 6/4

    Paraguay E Costa Rica (-107) 2.14 units to win 2 units
    Peru -1.5 Haiti (+151) 1 unit to win 1.51 units
    Brazil -.5 Ecuador (-110) 1.1 units to win 1 unit

    Sunday, 6/5

    Venezuela/Jamaica over 2 (-108) 1.08 units to win 1 unit

    Monday, 6/6

    Panama -.5 Bolivia (+128) 1.5 units to win 1.92 units
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited May 2016
    Copa America Futures

    Brazil wins Copa America (+530) 1 unit to win 5.3 units
    Mexico wins Copa America (+1050) .5 units to win 5.25 units
    Team from Group D wins Copa America (+400) 1.5 units to win 6 units
    Mexico wins Group D (+125) 1 unit to win 1.25 units
    Top Goalscorer: Javier Hernandez (+2800) .2 units to win 5.6 units
    Top Goalscorer: Willian (+4000) .15 units to win 6 units
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited May 2016
    More Euro Futures

    Spain to win Euro 2016 (+570) 1 unit to win 5.7 units
    Spain to reach Euro semi-final (+140) 1 unit to win 1.4 units
    Spain is highest scoring team (+600) .75 units to win 4.5 units
    Albania is lowest scoring team (+500) 1.5 units to win 7.5 units
    Top Goalscorer: Alvaro Morata (+2450) .2 units to win 4.9 units
    Top Goalscorer: Jamie Vardy (+3450) .1 unit to win 3.45 units
    Wales finishes last in Group B (+200) 1.5 units to win 3 units
    Iceland finishes last in Group F (+190) 1 unit to win 1.9 units
    Group B: England 1st/Russia 2nd (+300) 1 unit to win 3 units


    France to advance at -5000 would have been a play for me if either A) one of my credit outs had it available or B) I wasn't already putting a huge chunk of my bankroll in play over the next month with both of these tournaments. It gets tough to quantify the odds when we get this far as a minor error could really swing things, however I've got them with a >99.5% chance of advancing.
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited May 2016
    Obi One wrote: »
    France has some world class players, but they got spliced up on that Aboubakar goal. Under normal circumstances they beat Romania and Switzerland 8 out of 10 times and Albania 10 out of 10. I'm just a bit weary of the hosts' record in opening games of big tourneys. Romania has the kind of defense that can keep the game 0-0 on June 10th. If that happens the group is wide open. Still don't know what to make of that 4-3 Romania/Ukraine match of yesterday though. Romania allowed more goals in the 2nd half than they had in their Euro 2016 qualifying matches.

    I really don't rate Romania as highly as some others. Their qualifying group was really soft, and while they've gotten a lot of buzz due to only allowing 2 goals and not losing at all, I'm still not a believer. I think that Switzerland is considerably better than them.
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited May 2016
    TommyL wrote: »
    Copa America Futures

    Team from Group D wins Copa America (+400) 1.5 units to win 6 units
    Mexico wins Group D (+125) 1 unit to win 1.25 units

    Both of these should have read "Group C", not "Group D".
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2016
    Two for Thursday, 6/2

    Portugal/England over 2 (-130) 1.3 units to win 1 unit
    Seychelles +2 Algeria (+122) 1 unit to win 1.22 units
  • Obi OneObi One Senior Member
    edited June 2016
    If you want to know why England has not posed any danger in the 1H, look no further than Hodgson's tactic of playing Vardy and Kane as wingers......
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2016
    Friendly for Sunday, 6/5

    Czech Republic -.5 South Korea (-130) 1.95 units to win 1.5 units
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2016
    Chris Wondolowski no goals scored (-335) 3.35 units to win 1 unit

    This one is badly mispriced based upon 5Dimes rules for the bet, though there is a good chance that we end up with "no action".
  • duritodurito Senior Member
    edited June 2016
    Is rule must play or start I never remember.
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2016
    durito wrote: »
    Is rule must play or start I never remember.

    Just that he must play. So if he comes in sometime around the 80th minute, I've got -335 that he doesn't score in 10 minutes.
  • duritodurito Senior Member
    edited June 2016
    Thanks, just saw that listed at 5d. I feel like pinnalce doesn't list a rule but they've cancelled in the past if they didn't start but did play (they don't even have any up for this game).
Sign In or Register to comment.