Betting Talk

TommyL's 2016 Soccer Plays

24

Comments

  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2016
    Coming back again on it...

    Peru -.5 Haiti (-154) 1.54 units to win 1 unit
    Peru wins and Haiti no goals (+160) .5 units to win .8 units
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2016
    Alvaro Saborio no goals scored (-360) 3.6 units to win 1 unit

    See comments on Wondo above...
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2016
    Two more for tonight...

    Brazil HT/Brazil FT (+200) .5 units to win 1 unit
    1st half Peru 2 Haiti 0 (+800) .5 units to win 4 units
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2016
    Tonight...

    Uruguay E, +.5 Mexico (-118) 1.18 units to win 1 unit
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2016
    Tuesday, 6/7

    USA -.5 Costa Rica (-114) 2.28 units to win 2 units

    Wednesday, 6/8

    Brazil -1.5, -2 Haiti (-125) 1.25 units to win 1 unit
    Ecuador -.5 Peru (-108) 1.62 units to win 1.5 units
  • GoatsGoats Head Moderator
    edited June 2016
    TommyL wrote: »
    Copa America games

    Monday, 6/6

    Panama -.5 Bolivia (+128) 1.5 units to win 1.92 units

    Good chance they postpone this based on current forecast here IMO. Tropical storm coming through later expected to bring some nasty weather to Orlando.

    While I'm writing, not that it means much, agree with your US play for tomorrow. I think they'll rebound and Costa Rica was unimpressive to say the least (that CR/Paraguay game was awful).
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2016
    Goats wrote: »
    Good chance they postpone this based on current forecast here IMO. Tropical storm coming through later expected to bring some nasty weather to Orlando.

    While I'm writing, not that it means much, agree with your US play for tomorrow. I think they'll rebound and Costa Rica was unimpressive to say the least (that CR/Paraguay game was awful).

    Son of a bitch then. My +128 play is now sitting at -109, so of course it would get postponed and thus cancel my play. Where is the bad beats thread when you need it?

    One of my friends texted me around 7pm on Saturday to tell me that he just got home, had avoided the score of the CR/Paraguay game so that he could watch it, and wondered if it was worth watching, or if he should just go straight into the Peru game and watch the last two live. I said that it was a pretty easy decision, and that I wished I had that two hours of my life back.

    Good luck with the weather down there.
  • GoatsGoats Head Moderator
    edited June 2016
    TommyL wrote: »
    Son of a bitch then. My +128 play is now sitting at -109, so of course it would get postponed and thus cancel my play. Where is the bad beats thread when you need it?

    Good luck with the weather down there.

    I could be wrong. Storms down here are harder to cap than sports. :) If there's no lightning, it could be played, but there should be plenty of rain/wind. In your favor, obviously postponing a game in a tourney like this is a bit of a logistical nightmare, so I'm sure they'll want to play it if at all possible. That said, the weather should be much better if they moved it to tomorrow night, which they could do since the 3rd and final Orlando match is Brazil/Haiti on WED night.
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2016
    Goats wrote: »
    I could be wrong. Storms down here are harder to cap than sports. :) If there's no lightning, it could be played, but there should be plenty of rain/wind. In your favor, obviously postponing a game in a tourney like this is a bit of a logistical nightmare, so I'm sure they'll want to play it if at all possible. That said, the weather should be much better if they moved it to tomorrow night, which they could do since the 3rd and final Orlando match is Brazil/Haiti on WED night.

    The issue they have is how close together all of these games are. Both of these teams have to play again on Friday, and making them go Tuesday -> Friday when their opponents have an extra day or rest would be tough. Did you notice the total? The under 2 is -159 at 5D right now.
  • GoatsGoats Head Moderator
    edited June 2016
    TommyL wrote: »
    Did you notice the total? The under 2 is -159 at 5D right now.

    No, but that doesn't surprise me. When weather.com moves on from "Thunderstorms" to "Squalls", that's not good.
  • GoatsGoats Head Moderator
    edited June 2016
    FWIW, from looking at radar predictions and past experience, I don't think it will be as bad as they made it out to be for Orlando. There will be bands of storms (first one long before kick-off) that could temporarily stop the match if there's lightning, but in between I just think it will be steady rain and wind. It's also moving fast and should be leaving the area by 10:00.

    Messy but playable would be my guess right now.
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2016
    Exact score: Panama 0 / Bolivia 0 (+510) .5 units to win 2.55 units

    Think there is some value here.
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2016
    Two for Thursday...

    Uruguay -.5 Venezuela (-149) 2.235 units to win 1.5 units
    Mexico -1, -1.5 Jamaica (-125) 1.875 units to win 1.5 units
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2016
    Ecuador to win Group B (+280) 1 unit to win 2.8 units
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2016
    Two for the late game tonight...

    Argentina under 1 goal (+115) 1 unit to win 1.15 units
    Final Score: Argentina 0 / Chile 0 (+720) .5 units to win 3.6 units
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2016
    Another prop...

    Peru eliminated in Group Play (-130) 1.3 units to win 1 unit
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2016
    Two more for tonight...

    USA scores first goal (no goals is a loss) (-150) 1.5 units to win 1 unit
    Colombia HT / Colombia FT (+240) 1 unit to win 2.4 units
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2016
    Updated Result: +2.665 units (ROI: +6.28%)
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2016
    Colombia -.5 Paraguay (+101) 1 unit to win 1.01 units
    Spain -3 Georgia (+102) 1 unit to win 1.02 units

    Decided a day or two ago that I'd play Colombia if it ever made it back to +100. And Spain can name the score, just hope they decide that they want to take it at least remotely seriously.
  • duritodurito Senior Member
    edited June 2016
    Somehow it hit +120 at 3am
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2016
    One more...

    Copa America - Top Goalscorer - Blas Perez (+7500) .2 units to win 15 units
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2016
    durito wrote: »
    Somehow it hit +120 at 3am

    Wow, and I was thinking that I got the best of the line. LOL
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2016
    Friday, 6/10

    Chile -2 Bolivia (-111) 1.11 units to win 1 unit
    Panama/Argentina over 3 (+118) 1.5 units to win 1.77 units

    Saturday, 6/11

    Switzerland -.5 Albania (-118) 2.36 units to win 2 units
    Slovakia/Wales over 2 (+109) 1 unit to win 1.09 units
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2016
    Also adding to my Brazil position...

    Brazil to win Copa America (+750) .5 units to win 3.75 units
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2016
    France HT/France FT (+105) 1 unit to win 1.05 units
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2016
    USA/Paraguay under 2 (+170) 1 unit to win 1.7 units
    Poland -.5 Northern Ireland (-138) 2.07 units to win 1.5 units
    Ukraine +.5 Germany (+150) 1 unit to win 1.5 units
    Ecuador -2 Haiti (-130) 1.95 units to win 1.5 units
    Spain -.5 Czech Republic (-202) 2.02 units to win 1 unit
    Ireland E Sweden (+130) 1.5 units to win 1.95 units
    Mexico -.5, -1 Venezuela (-131) 1.31 units to win 1 unit
    Jamaica -.5 Uruguay (+550) 1 unit to win 5.5 units
    Austria -.5 Hungary (-136) 2.04 units to win 1.5 units
  • GoatsGoats Head Moderator
    edited June 2016
    TommyL wrote: »
    USA/Paraguay under 2 (+170) 1 unit to win 1.7

    Asking as a fan, not really for betting purposes (which you already knew), but what's your thinking here? US essentially only needs a draw of course and Paraguay's offense has been underwhelming to say the least but Paraguay will also need to open up at some point unless they go up early. Just curious how you see the game going and how you weight form vs. scenario.

    P.S. I can definitely see the Jamaica play.
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2016
    Goats wrote: »
    Asking as a fan, not really for betting purposes (which you already knew), but what's your thinking here? US essentially only needs a draw of course and Paraguay's offense has been underwhelming to say the least but Paraguay will also need to open up at some point unless they go up early. Just curious how you see the game going and how you weight form vs. scenario.

    P.S. I can definitely see the Jamaica play.

    Paraguay hasn't shown a whole lot in the attack in this tourney. I don't expect them to come out with guns blazing and open it up (though we will see that later into the second half if they still need a goal). And while the US looked good on the attack against Costa Rica, I'm still not sold on Wood/Zardes/Dempsey in the attack against a team that will see more of the ball and offer up more defensively. I also expect the US to really look to defend with Johnson/Yedlin staying at home and Bradley sitting deeper. If we get an early goal either way, then I might be in trouble. But I think there are enough scenarios where it stays scoreless for a while, both teams play it tight, and it doesn't open up until late.

    As for Jamaica, I'm just hoping that Uruguay has one foot on the plane. The level of motivation for these two in this one will be the key, as even though Jamaica is done, getting a chance to knock off a team like Uruguay could still make this a moderately successful tourney. As for Uruguay, don't know how they get up for this one (I guess pride is in play, but they didn't show much of it last night).
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2016
    Sweden under 1 (+110) 1 unit to win 1.1 units
    Belgium -1 Italy (+408) 1 unit to win 4.08 units
    Panama/Chile under 3 (-127) 1.27 units to win 1 unit
    Argentina -2, -2.5 Bolivia (-106) 1.06 units to win 1 unit
    Switzerland -.5 Romania (+141) 1.5 units to win 2.115 units
    Ukraine -.5, -1 Northern Ireland (-135) 2.025 units to win 1.5 units
    Poland/Germany under 2.5 (+117) 2 units to win 2.34 units
    USA E Ecuador (+101) 1.5 units to win 1.515 units
    Colombia/Peru under 2 (+124) 1 unit to win 1.24 units
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