NFL Week 1- Projecting Line Moves
DeadMoney
Senior Member
I took:
Green Bay -5 -115 over Chicago
Minn. +3 -125 Over San Fran.
Indy -2.5 -110 Over Buff.
I'm hoping I can get some CLV by playing them so early.
I'd like to get a thread started on how people see the lines moving for these and all games by the time week one starts.
GL.
Green Bay -5 -115 over Chicago
Minn. +3 -125 Over San Fran.
Indy -2.5 -110 Over Buff.
I'm hoping I can get some CLV by playing them so early.
I'd like to get a thread started on how people see the lines moving for these and all games by the time week one starts.
GL.
Comments
Most of the current analysis and movement of the Vegas numbers is based on players drafted, players traded, players bought, new coaches, new staffs, regression theories, suspensions etc etc. However none of them are based on what the new players, coaches and staffs ACTUALLY will do. You don't know right now whether teams will run more, or throw more, blitz more, play-action more. Almost nobody has any clue about the new strategies of most teams. Anybody predicted last year that the Cowboys would run it almost 60% of the time? Or that Cutler would regress in his 2nd year under Trestman the offensive Guru? I can go on and on with examples. Fact is, you simply don't know, unless you're there at the coaches meetings day in and day out.
Heck a staff can even go into the preseason trying to run a certain scheme, notice that it's not working and totally change things for the final 2 weeks of the preseason and hope they made the right decision as to optimise the strengths of their personnel group.
Coming back to your topic,
Based on the current reporting, these are some other plays you can get CLV on, but again, I'd wait till a couple of preseason games to jump in:
Miami -2.5 @ Washington
Seattle -3 @ St Louis
Cincinatti -3 @ Oakland
Baltimore/ Denver Under 52
NY Jets -3 vs Cleveland
GB -5.5, -110 at Chi
NYJ -3, -107 vs CLE
KC +1.5, -110 at Hou
Indy -2.5, -110 at Buff
Mia -2.5, -115 at Wash
Car -4, -110 at Jax
Sea -3, -125 at STL
Cin -3, -125 at OAK
Dal -5.5, -115 vs NYG
Phi -1, -110 at ATL