Betting Talk

Bad MMA Plays

bcl4bcl4 Senior Member
edited June 2017 in Sports Betting
Maldonado +246 over Rampage
Markos -265 over Daly
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Comments

  • bcl4bcl4 Senior Member
    edited April 2015
    1-1, 0.0

    Floyd -196
  • buckeyesbuckeyes Senior Member
    edited April 2015
    bcl4 wrote: »
    1-1, 0.0

    Floyd -196

    Which book is that? Would love to catch Floyd under -200.
  • cpech56cpech56 Senior Member
    edited April 2015
    buckeyes wrote: »
    Which book is that? Would love to catch Floyd under -200.

    The shop I use has him at -200

    15K credit account
  • buckeyesbuckeyes Senior Member
    edited April 2015
    cpech56 wrote: »
    The shop I use has him at -200

    15K credit account

    Pound it for however much you can afford to.
  • bcl4bcl4 Senior Member
    edited April 2015
    It was -196 at Pinny when I posted, just moved to -198. Clearly my immense following on here caused the move.

    To be honest, I don't have access to Pinny so I bet it -200 with a local, but since I often have to take worse lines for grading purposes I figured it was only fair to take a better one in this case.
  • cpech56cpech56 Senior Member
    edited April 2015
    buckeyes wrote: »
    Pound it for however much you can afford to.

    I don't really have any desire to watch the fight so likely won't do more than $400-$600 on it. You're welcome to get down on it if you get my email. I'm just not a huge boxing fan and have to work Saturday night.
  • bcl4bcl4 Senior Member
    edited May 2015
    2-1, +1.0

    Think Faber +365 is worth a small shot here. Obviously it has to be a full unit for grading purposes, but I'll be risking a half at most.
  • bcl4bcl4 Senior Member
    edited May 2015
    2-2, 0.0

    Alves/Condit u3.5 -105
    Noons +113
  • bcl4bcl4 Senior Member
    edited June 2015
    3-3, 0.0

    Poirier -182
    Rivera -106
  • bcl4bcl4 Senior Member
    edited June 2015
    5-3, +2.0

    I like Melendez this weekend, but not quite enough for a play. If it dips under 170 I'll probably take a shot.
  • barmoycmbarmoycm Senior Member
    edited June 2015
    Some early leans. Werdum, Alvarez, Gastelum, Torres, Cejudo, and Tumenov
  • bcl4bcl4 Senior Member
    edited July 2015
    Mendes +135
  • bcl4bcl4 Senior Member
    edited July 2015
    Wow, Mendes up to +165. Not gonna bother doing a weighted record, but I'm adding more at +165 FWIW. I really think Mendes should be a slight favorite here.
  • buckeyesbuckeyes Senior Member
    edited July 2015
    bcl4 wrote: »
    Wow, Mendes up to +165. Not gonna bother doing a weighted record, but I'm adding more at +165 FWIW. I really think Mendes should be a slight favorite here.

    I completely agree. Not to mention Conor having to switch from training for a striker like Aldo to a great wrestler like Mendes. And last I heard he was quite a bit over weight too.
  • bcl4bcl4 Senior Member
    edited July 2015
    5-4, +1.0

    Wow. Those last three fights were incredible. McGregor really proved me wrong. Cant wait to see him fight Aldo.
  • bcl4bcl4 Senior Member
    edited July 2015
    Barao +180
    Barboza -130
    Cruickshank -140
  • cpech56cpech56 Senior Member
    edited July 2015
    These for tonight?
  • jammerjammer Senior Member
    edited July 2015
    These are for tonight- first one goes at 5:35
  • jammerjammer Senior Member
    edited July 2015
    Not off to a good start- Cruickskank taps out a minute in.
  • buckeyesbuckeyes Senior Member
    edited July 2015
    Barao needs to either move up to 145 or retire. He looked gassed less than a round in.
  • bcl4bcl4 Senior Member
    edited July 2015
    6-6, -0.4

    Yup, really impressive win from TJ, Barao had nothing for him. I agree Barao should move up to 145. This is a situation that I always seem to struggle with, when a heavy favorite gets upset (or has a close fight) and then there's a rematch, I always think the large change in the odds is an overreaction (machida/shogun and silva/weidman are two other examples that come to mind). Barao went from a -1000 favorite to a +180 dog and if anything it was an underreaction. Think the fight game is very unique in that regard.
  • buckeyesbuckeyes Senior Member
    edited July 2015
    Hopefully Cruz can get healthy and come back, that would be a great fight between him and TJ.
  • bcl4bcl4 Senior Member
    edited August 2015
    Erick Silva +116
  • Jake T.Jake T. Senior Member
    edited August 2015
    bcl4 wrote: »
    Erick Silva +116

    GL on the play. I can never figure out Erick Silva. I just avoid betting his fights anymore. He'll either look like a future champ or do something dumb to lose.
  • bcl4bcl4 Senior Member
    edited August 2015
    Ha thanks, yea you never really know what you're going to get with him, I like the value as a dog here though.
  • bcl4bcl4 Senior Member
    edited August 2015
    No play on silva with the new opponent

    Mir +158 over Arlovski
  • bcl4bcl4 Senior Member
    edited September 2015
    Dodson +435 over Johnson

    DJ is the best P4P fighter in the world, but at this number I think Dodson is worth a small shot. I risked 0.3 units on it, but it will be a full unit for grading purposes.
  • Jake T.Jake T. Senior Member
    edited September 2015
    Excellent line on Mir. That fight seems like a tossup to me.

    Also like Dodson at that #.

    I really haven't been that impressed with Vanzant so +950 on her opponent is enticing but Chambers is so small that she'll probably get laid on the entire time.

    Considering a bet on Pearson at +350. Felder's a great striker but hasn't shown he's well-rounded yet.

    GL!
  • Jake T.Jake T. Senior Member
    edited September 2015
    Big fights coming up now. Pearson ended up winning for me. GL once again on Mir and Dodson!
  • bcl4bcl4 Senior Member
    edited September 2015
    6-8, -2.4

    Gustafsson +288 over Cormier
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