a prop I saw at an online site
acetoten
Senior Member
Kentucky Wildcats - Will they Finish the 2014-15 NCAA Basketball Season Undefeated (no losses in regular or post season)
Yes --+225
No ---350
I'm thinking yes at +225
sucker bet?
what do you guys think?
ace
Yes --+225
No ---350
I'm thinking yes at +225
sucker bet?
what do you guys think?
ace
Comments
I disagree cpech. Here's my reasoning. They have atleast 7 realist shots at being upset the remainder of the basketball season. Here's where I think they are.
Regular season(2) at Florida and at LSU.
SEC Tourney @Nashville(2) either the semi-final or final.
Big Tourney(3)Elite 8, Final 4, or Final
Plus maybe Coach Cal rests some regs along the way
I'd lay the NO for the limit.
Obi how do you come up with only 5/6 games? This prop is for the regular and post season.
What I mean is:
Instead of betting 1u on the prop, take that unit and bet it on Kentucky's ML for the next game. If it wins roll it over for the 2nd game on the ML. After about 5 or 6 games (might be more, might be less) you will have your +225 payout if Kentucky wins all of the games outright. In this case you won't need to sweat the tournaments. And you can stop at anytime.
$100 max
I disagree with this part pretty strongly. It's gonna take way more than 5-6 games to get +225 on your $. Just running some numbers, I think it'll take you at least into the middle of the NCAA tournament to get better than 2-1 on your money, unless of course we see some injuries/suspensions.
10 games at -800 yields +225
Yes that's more games, but my main point was that if you do it this way you can stop at any point AND if you do it this way till the championship game (provided they get there and win) your yield is going to be a lot more than +225
So answering cpech's original question: Yes this is a sucker bet.
$100 to win $2.35 at 5D -4250
I'm in a jam Obi with this Ky/Ala game. Trying to lay the -4000 to win a gallon of gas(2.55) @5Dimes. Problem is I don't have an account there.
$102.35 at -4000 to win $2.56
Simply putting my money where my mouth is Ron, let's see where this stands in about 5 weeks
btw, isn't there a minimun 'to win' bet at that joint?
Yes, but it's fifty cents.
Gotta believe Tommy, I don't know,
Betting at a 5D clone so I can settle with a local every monday instead of WU hassle and betting it a bit bigger. Using the $100 for the example.
Kentucky -3750
$104.91 to win $2.8
I remember when my grandfather asked me: 'How do you eat an Elephant?'
LOL he's got a point. However, my dad always told me, "time is money".
Starting with leg #4
Feb 7@FL -450
Feb10@ LSU -700
Feb14 SCAR -4500
FEB17@TENN -1200
FEB21AUB-5500
1stSEC T gm-1800
2ndSEC T gm-600
Where R U stopping? U can't the show must go on to reach the +225 target. You gotta buck some more gms.
Kentucky -360
$107.71 to win $29.92
3 straight non-covers helps the line, but is it a sign of weakness for this team? Is their first loss imminent? Florida 1-5 ATS over their last 6.