Betting Talk

TommyL's 2015 Soccer Plays

TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
edited December 2015 in Sports Betting
Last year's result can be found here... http://www.bettingtalk.com/forum/showthread.php/176072-TommyL-s-2014-Soccer-Plays-%28non-World-Cup%29?p=860630&viewfull=1#post860630

FIrst play of 2015, going this afternoon in the CONCACAF Under-20 tourney (from 5Dimes)...

USA U20 -4.5 Aruba U20 (-145) 1.45 units to win 1 unit
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Comments

  • BayOceanBayOcean Senior Member
    edited January 2015
    Too bad my local does not carry the above game.
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited January 2015
    Not too surprising. The high school basketball game that I was at the other night had about twice as many fans in attendance as some of the games in this tourney.

    <Edit> - To prove I'm not even joking, here you go...

    -- GAME Report --

    Match: U.S. U-20 Men’s National Team vs. Guatemala U-20 National Team
    Date: Jan. 9, 2015
    Competition: 2015 CONCACAF U-20 Championship (Group Play)
    Venue: Independence Park; Kingston, Jamaica
    Kickoff: 5:30 p.m. ET
    Attendance: 200
    Weather: 84 degrees, partly cloudy
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited January 2015
    Concacaf U20 from 5Dimes (goes off in a little under 2 hours)...

    USA/Jamaica under 3.5 (-129) 1.29 units to win 1 unit
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited January 2015
    Game starts in an hour, from the African Cup of Nations...

    Algeria -.5 South Africa (-113) 1.13 units to win 1 unit
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited January 2015
    Goes off in 20 minutes, CONCACAF U20...

    Mexico/El Salvador over 3, 3.5 (-116) 1.16 units to in 1 unit
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited January 2015
    YTD Result: +4.0 units (ROI: +79.5%)
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited January 2015
    Starts in 2 hours, from the African Cup of Nations...

    Ivory Coast/Guinea under 2.5, 3 (-125) 1.25 units to win 1 unit
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited January 2015
    YTD Result: +5.0 units (ROI: +79.6%)

    Some more African Cup of Nations, first for tomorrow...

    Congo +.5 Gabon (-102) 1.02 units to win 1 unit

    Then Thursday...

    Cape Verde E Congo DR (-105) 1.05 units to win 1 unit

    And another African Nation's Cup for Friday...

    Senegal -.5 South Africa (-106) 1.59 units to win 1.5 units
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited January 2015
    One more for today, a CONCACAF U-20...

    Trinidad and Tobago/USA under 3.5 (-128) 1.28 units to win 1 unit
  • cpech56cpech56 Senior Member
    edited January 2015
    TommyL wrote: »
    YTD Result: +5.0 units (ROI: +79.6%)

    Some more African Cup of Nations, first for tomorrow...

    Congo +.5 Gabon (-102) 1.02 units to win 1 unit

    Then Thursday...

    Cape Verde E Congo DR (-105) 1.05 units to win 1 unit

    And another African Nation's Cup for Friday...

    Senegal -.5 South Africa (-106) 1.59 units to win 1.5 units

    Tommy, if my local doesnt offer -.5 as part of the match but rather only ml's and totals do you suggest passing?

    Tor instance on Congo/Gabon he only has the following:
    Gabon -115
    Congo +350
    Draw +220

    Over 1.5/2 -145
    Under 1.5/2 +120
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited January 2015
    cpech56 wrote: »
    Tommy, if my local doesnt offer -.5 as part of the match but rather only ml's and totals do you suggest passing?

    Tor instance on Congo/Gabon he only has the following:
    Gabon -115
    Congo +350
    Draw +220

    Over 1.5/2 -145
    Under 1.5/2 +120

    When playing an underdog like this, you can always convert a 3-way line to a 2-way line by making plays on both the draw and the side you want. So in this instance, if you put 70 on the draw and 50 on the Congo, you'd be risking 120 and would get back 104-105 in the event that they don't lose. Based on that, you're looking at around -115 for Congo, which would have been pretty borderline for me (it's about the furthest I would have gone with it).
  • cpech56cpech56 Senior Member
    edited January 2015
    Last question....

    What exactly does +.5 mean? I'm not too familiar with soccer 3 way lines but am always looking to learn. Also on those totals in a 2 or 3 way how are they graded if they're O1.5/2 -140? Say I wager $280/$200 essentially am I betting half that it goes over 1.5 and the other half I'm hoping it goes over 2? Thanks Tommy
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited January 2015
    cpech56 wrote: »
    Last question....

    What exactly does +.5 mean? I'm not too familiar with soccer 3 way lines but am always looking to learn. Thanks Tommy

    It means that if the game ends up tied, you win if you played the underdog. It's common in soccer, but you'll also see it in some spots in American sports, ie if you bet the 60 minute line in an NHL game (then, if you played the team that's +.5 and it heads into overtime, you win).
  • cpech56cpech56 Senior Member
    edited January 2015
    TommyL wrote: »
    It means that if the game ends up tied, you win if you played the underdog. It's common in soccer, but you'll also see it in some spots in American sports, ie if you bet the 60 minute line in an NHL game (then, if you played the team that's +.5 and it heads into overtime, you win).

    So you dont bet the draw bc of the pontential your team wins outright? It's starting to make more sense and I apologize for cluttering your thread. I edited last post and added a ?
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited January 2015
    cpech56 wrote: »
    So you dont bet the draw bc of the pontential your team wins outright? It's starting to make more sense and I apologize for cluttering your thread. I edited last post and added a ?

    No problem...I didn't bet the draw because I thought that there was a bigger edge in the +.5 for this game.
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited January 2015
    Africa Cup of Nations play for Saturday (1/24)...

    Ivory Coast -.5 Mali (-115) 1.15 units to win 1 unit
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited January 2015
    One for today, Concacaf U20...

    USA -.5 El Salvador (-223) 2.23 units to win 1 unit

    One for tomorrow (Sunday) from the African Cup of Nations...

    Equatorial Guinea/Gabon under 2 (-110) 1.1 units to win 1 unit
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited January 2015
    YTD Result: +4.26 units units (ROI: +34.4%)

    One more for today...

    Congo E, +.5 Burkina Faso (+103) 1 unit to win 1.03 units
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited January 2015
    Realized that my record earlier was wrong as I never graded the US game from yesterday. Here is the updated record through today's games...

    YTD Result: +6.29 units units (ROI: +37.7%)
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited January 2015
    One for today...

    Cape Verde E Zambia (-133) 1.33 units to win 1 unit

    Tomorrow...

    Ghana -.5 South Africa (+113) 1 unit to win 1.13 units

    Wednesday...

    Mali/Guinea over 2 (+100) 1 unit to win 1 unit
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited January 2015
    One for Friday morning, from the Asian Cup...

    UAE/Iraq over 2 (-114) 1.14 units to win 1 unit
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited January 2015
    YTD Result: +8.42 units (ROI: +39.8%)
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited January 2015
    Goes off in about 3 and a half hours...

    South Korea E, +.5 Australia (+106) 1 unit to win 1.06 units

    Tomorrow (Saturday) Afternoon...

    Equatorial Guinea/Tunisia under 2 (-121) 1.21 units to win 1 unit

    Sunday...

    Ghana -.5 Guinea (-102) 1.02 units to win 1 unit
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited February 2015
    That finish to regulation in the Equatorial Guinea-Tunisia game yesterday was brutal. Tunisia up 1-0, and Equatorial Guinea is given a penalty kick in 2nd half injury time to tie it up. I'm not even exaggerating when I say that it's the softest penalty that I've ever seen given at that spot in a game (and obviously the ref was influenced by the home crowd as Equatorial Guinea is hosting the tourney). From there, the 30 minutes of extra time were a complete disaster of arbitrary cards, players flopping all over the field trying to get more soft calls, pushing and shoving, etc. No fears, I'm sure we'll see that ref show up on a US World Cup game in 2018.
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited February 2015
    YTD Result: +9.95 units (ROI: +40.8%)
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited February 2015
    Wednesday (2/4)

    Ivory Coast/Congo DR under 2, 2.5 (-128) 1.28 units to win 1 unit

    Thursday (2/5)

    Ghana -.5 Equatorial Guinea (-123) 1.845 units to win 1.5 units
  • LancerLancer Senior Member
    edited February 2015
    Hey TL (or anyone),

    Ghana up 3-0, listed (on livescore.com) as Int. ??? What does this mean? Hope this dom W pays!
  • GoatsGoats Head Moderator
    edited February 2015
    Lancer wrote: »
    Hey TL (or anyone),

    Ghana up 3-0, listed (on livescore.com) as Int. ??? What does this mean? Hope this dom W pays!

    http://www.theguardian.com/football/live/2015/feb/05/ghana-v-equatorial-guinea-africa-cup-of-nations-semi-final-live
  • LancerLancer Senior Member
    edited February 2015
    not sure what that meant....interrupted due to fighting it seems...??...but livescore lists it as final now, so hopefully my book does the same soon.
  • LancerLancer Senior Member
    edited February 2015
    bookmaker graded this play as a loss?? I had Ghana -.5 (-130)......??
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