Betting Talk

TommyL's 2015 Soccer Plays

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  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2015
    CONCACAF World Cup Qualifiers today...

    Belize -.5 Dominican Republic (+462) 1 unit to win 4.62 units
    Canada -2 Dominica (-111) 1.11 units to win 1 unit
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2015
    Euro qualifier for Saturday...

    Greece -.5 Faroe Islands (-232) 2.32 units to win 1 unit
    Greece -1.5 Faroe Islands (+136) 1 unit to win 1.36 units

    Seems like the right time for Greece to get their shit together
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2015
    CONCACAF World Cup Qualifier...

    Puerto Rico -.5 Grenada (-119) 1.19 units to win 1 unit
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2015
    UEFA Euro Qualifier for today...

    Belgium -.5 Wales (-112) 1.12 units to win 1 unit
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2015
    UEFA Euro Qualifier for tomorrow

    France -.5 Albania (-206) 2.06 units to win 1 unit
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2015
    Women's World Cup tonight...

    Japan -1, -1.5 Cameroon (-146) 1.46 units to win 1 unit
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2015
    U20 World Cup tomorrow night...

    Germany/Mali under 2.5 (+109) 1 unit to win 1.09 units
    Uzbekistan +.5 Senegal (-117) 1.17 units to win 1 unit
  • duritodurito Senior Member
    edited June 2015
    TommyL wrote: »
    Women's World Cup tonight...

    Japan -1, -1.5 Cameroon (-146) 1.46 units to win 1 unit

    ugh. I had Cameron u.5. Went to take a shower at 90min, just saw 2-1 final. Also had Japan o2.25 didn't expect to lose that when it was 2-0 after 20min.
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2015
    durito wrote: »
    ugh. I had Cameron u.5. Went to take a shower at 90min, just saw 2-1 final. Also had Japan o2.25 didn't expect to lose that when it was 2-0 after 20min.

    Just a crappy night of soccer watching in general. I was out so watched the US Women and the Copa America game on tape when I got home (and didn't know the result of either). Watched both games and saw zero goals. Wish I had that three and a half hours of my life back. And then I see how late the Cameroon goal was to add the cherry on top.
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2015
    Copa America for Monday...

    Chile -.5 Mexico (-223) 3.345 units to win 1.5 units
  • duritodurito Senior Member
    edited June 2015
    Already on that one too. :)
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2015
    Women's World Cup for Monday...

    New Zealand/China over 2 (-122) 1.22 units to win 1 unit
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2015
    Copa America

    Ecuador -.5 Bolivia (-147) 1.47 units to win 1 unit
    Jamaica/Paraguay over 2 (-139) 1.39 units to win 1 unit
    Brazil -.5 Columbia (-101) 1.515 units to win 1.5 units
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2015
    Women's World Cup

    Germany/Thailand under 7.5 (+115) 1 unit to win 1.15 units
    Japan/Ecuador under 6.5 (+115) 1 unit to win 1.15 units
    Switzerland -.5 Cameroon (-137) 2.74 units to win 2 units
    USA -1.5 Nigeria (-123) 1.23 units to win 1 unit
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2015
    Updated Result: +10.355 units (ROI: +8.7%)

    Pending Plays...

    Copa America
    Chile to win Copa America (+590) 1 unit to win 5.9 units
    Chile to win Group A (-210) 2.1 units to win 1 unit
    Chile -.5 Mexico (-223) 3.345 units to win 1.5 units
    Ecuador -.5 Bolivia (-147) 1.47 units to win 1 unit
    Jamaica/Paraguay over 2 (-139) 1.39 units to win 1 unit
    Brazil -.5 Columbia (-101) 1.515 units to win 1.5 units

    U20 World Cup
    Serbia to win U20 World Cup (+1800) .25 units to win 4.5 units

    Women's World Cup
    USA to win Women's World Cup (+300) 1.5 units to win 4.5 units
    Germany doesn't win the World Cup (-230) 2.3 units to win 1 unit
    New Zealand/China over 2 (-122) 1.22 units to win 1 unit
    Germany/Thailand under 7.5 (+115) 1 unit to win 1.15 units
    Japan/Ecuador under 6.5 (+115) 1 unit to win 1.15 units
    Switzerland -.5 Cameroon (-137) 2.74 units to win 2 units
    USA -1.5 Nigeria (-123) 1.23 units to win 1 unit
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2015
    Copa America tonight...

    Chile HT/Chile FT (+145) 1 unit to win 1.45 units

    Women's World Cup...

    New Zealand/China over 2 (+110) 1 unit to win 1.1 units (playing this a second time)
    England -.5 Columbia (-198) 1.98 units to win 1 unit
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2015
    Copa America tonight...

    Argentina under 1.5 goals (-105) 1.05 units to win 1 unit

    U20 World Cup tonight...

    Senegal/Brazil over 2 (-118) 1.18 units to win 1 unit

    CONCACAF World Cup Qualifying tonight...

    Canada -2, -2.5 Dominica (-167) 1.67 units to win 1 unit
    El Salvador -1.5, -2 St Kitts and Nevis (+118) 1 unit to win 1.18 units
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2015
    Copa America tonight...

    Brazil HT/Brazil FT (+235) 1 unit to win 2.35 units

    Copa America for Friday...

    Ecuador E Mexico (+121) 2 units to win 2.42 units

    Women's World Cup today

    France -1.5 Mexico (-116) 1.16 units to win 1 unit
    England -.5 Columbia (-151) 1.51 units to win 1 unit (hitting it a second time here)
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2015
    Updated Result: +7.76 units (ROI: +5.6%)

    Pending Plays...

    Copa America
    Chile to win Copa America (+590) - 1 unit to win 5.9 units
    Chile to win Group A (-210) 2.1 units to win 1 unit
    Brazil -.5 Columbia (-101) 1.515 units to win 1.5 units
    Brazil HT/Brazil FT (+235) 1 unit to win 2.35 units
    Ecuador E Mexico (+121) 2 units to win 2.42 units

    U20 World Cup

    Serbia to win (+1800) .25 units to win 4.5 units

    Women's World Cup

    USA to win Women's World Cup (+300) - 1.5 units to win 4.5 units
    Germany doesn't win the World Cup (-230) 2.3 units to win 1 unit
    England -.5 Columbia (-198) 1.98 units to win 1 unit
    England -.5 Columbia (-151) 1.51 units to win 1 unit
    France -1.5 Mexico (-116) 1.16 units to win 1 unit
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2015
    I'm not playing it again because I've already got enough at stake on it, but the Germany to not win @ -230 at 5Dimes still seems extremely +EV to me. After running a bunch of numbers on today's results and looking forward to project matchups, it's a very likely scenario that Germany will face Sweden in the Round of 16, then France in the quarters (this one could be England or Spain too, but I think there is a good chance it's France), then the USA in the Semifinal. That's a pretty tough road to even get to the final.
  • adastraadastra Junior Member
    edited June 2015
    TommyL wrote: »
    I'm not playing it again because I've already got enough at stake on it, but the Germany to not win @ -230 at 5Dimes still seems extremely +EV to me. After running a bunch of numbers on today's results and looking forward to project matchups, it's a very likely scenario that Germany will face Sweden in the Round of 16, then France in the quarters (this one could be England or Spain too, but I think there is a good chance it's France), then the USA in the Semifinal. That's a pretty tough road to even get to the final.

    Thanks for the picks!

    Sorry if it's a dumb question, but where do I find this bet in 5dimes? I looked in the futures section for soccer and could only find bets to win the cup, but not to not win.
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2015
    adastra wrote: »
    Thanks for the picks!

    Sorry if it's a dumb question, but where do I find this bet in 5dimes? I looked in the futures section for soccer and could only find bets to win the cup, but not to not win.

    It's under "Women's International" (same place that you'd find the individual games). Rotation #7505.
  • adastraadastra Junior Member
    edited June 2015
    TommyL wrote: »
    It's under "Women's International" (same place that you'd find the individual games). Rotation #7505.

    Very cool, thanks.
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2015
    U20 World Cup for Friday night...

    Mali/Senegal over 2.5 (-107) 1.605 units to win 1.5 units
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2015
    Copa America...

    Bolivia/Chile under 2.5 (+112) 1 unit to win 1.12 units
    Brazil -.5 Venezuela (-189) 1.89 units to win 1 unit
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2015
    Women's World Cup

    Sweden/Germany under 2.5 (-107) 1.07 units to win 1 unit
    South Korea/France under 2 (+201) 1 unit to win 2.01 units
    Norway E England (+107) 1 unit to win 1.07 units
    Japan -.5 Netherlands (-122) 1.22 units to win 1 unit
  • LowkeyLowkey Senior Member
    edited June 2015
    I see Japan -1/2 -120. Did it really move that much in a short amount of time?
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2015
    Lowkey wrote: »
    I see Japan -1/2 -120. Did it really move that much in a short amount of time?

    No, I mistyped the line on my s/s, so it threw it all off. The actual play is 1.22 units to win 1 unit on Japan at -122. Thanks for pointing that out, I appreciate it.
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2015
    CONCACAF Gold Cup Future...

    Mexico to win CONCACAF Gold Cup (+160) 1.5 units to win 2.4 units

    :wacko:
  • duritodurito Senior Member
    edited June 2015
    :thumbdown2:
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