Betting Talk

TommyL's 2015 Soccer Plays

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Comments

  • cpech56cpech56 Senior Member
    edited April 2015
    Good work last night Tommy. Spot on! That field was awful, I hope Beckermans injury isnt serious.
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited April 2015
    Champions League Play for today...

    Bayern Munich beats Porto 2-0 (+520) - .25 units to win 1.3 units

    Don't get involved in the Champions League very often, but think this is +EV based upon the result that it gets Bayern (and the fact that if they do get up 2-0, they should be looking to sit a lot deeper and protect the score).
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited April 2015
    Bayern Munich looks awesome, this game reminds me a lot of the Germany/Brazil game.

    I'll update my record with this one included as a loss (If this were some 3rd world country, I'd hope for fan violence to give me "no action", but think they'll be ok in Germany).


    YTD Result: +11.26 units (ROI: +26.5%)
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited May 2015
    A future from 5dimes...

    Chile to win Copa America (+590) - 1 unit to win 5.9 units

    I've had my eye on this one for a while, and it's kept ticking up. Hopefully I'm hitting it at the right time.
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited May 2015
    Future from 5Dimes...

    USA to win Women's World Cup (+300) - 1.5 units to win 4.5 units
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited May 2015
    A couple of Copa America plays from 5Dimes...

    Friday, 6/12

    Bolivia +1 Mexico (+103) 2 units to win 2.06 units
    Bolivia -.5 Mexico (+604) .5 units to win 3.02 units
  • duritodurito Senior Member
    edited May 2015
    Curious what you like about Bolivia here? Or just fading Mexico's B team?
  • duritodurito Senior Member
    edited May 2015
    TommyL wrote: »
    A future from 5dimes...

    Chile to win Copa America (+590) - 1 unit to win 5.9 units

    I've had my eye on this one for a while, and it's kept ticking up. Hopefully I'm hitting it at the right time.

    On this one too. Also played No Colombia at pinny.
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited May 2015
    durito wrote: »
    Curious what you like about Bolivia here? Or just fading Mexico's B team?

    Fading Mexico. Feel like they keep getting overvalued in this tournament when sending the A team to the Gold Cup.
  • duritodurito Senior Member
    edited May 2015
    TommyL wrote: »
    Fading Mexico. Feel like they keep getting overvalued in this tournament when sending the A team to the Gold Cup.

    Cool, feel free to hit up my email if you want to discuss any of these games, gonna be pretty seriously into this one.
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited May 2015
    No pick here, just an observation...

    What the heck is the deal with the Toronto-Manchester City friendly tonight? I don't know which team it's worse for. If you're Toronto, you've got MLS games both last weekend and this weekend and are already a little bit on the thin side, so a meaningless friendly is the last thing you need or want. And if you're Man City, you just finished a grueling Premier League campaign a few days ago, and then you're forced to get on a plane and fly across the Atlantic to play a friendly that means nothing? And this game is actually on ESPN2 tonight? I think I'd rather stare at Pablo Mastroeni's mustache for two hours than watch what should be a horrible game tonight.
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited May 2015
    One for today, from the Toulon youth tournament...

    England -.5 Morocco (-174) 1.74 units to win 1 unit
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited May 2015
    One for tonight from the U-20 World Cup...

    Ukraine -1 New Zealand (+121) 1 unit to win 1.21 units
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited May 2015
    U20 World Cup tonight...

    Fiji +4.5 Germany (+192) 1 unit to win 1.92 units
    Honduras E Uzbekistan (+122) 1 unit to win 1.22 units
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2015
    Will be posting a bunch of plays this afternoon/evening (U20, Copa America, and Women's World Cup), so wanted to update the record before I do so...

    Updated Result: +8.74 units (ROI: +18.5%)
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2015
    U20 World Cup games tonight (actually 6/2 since they're after midnight)...

    Ukraine/Myanmar under 3.5 (-102) 1.02 units to win 1 unit
    Panama E, +.5 Austria (-106) 1.06 units to win 1 unit
    USA -.5 New Zealand (-133) 1.33 units to win 1 unit
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2015
    U20 World Cup for 6/3...

    Uruguay E, -.5 Mexico (+129) 1 unit to win 1.29 units (would have played 2 units, but limits are low)
    Senegal +.5, +1 Columbia (+119) 1 unit to win 1.19 units
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2015
    Women's World Cup

    Saturday, 6/6

    New Zealand +.5, +1 Netherlands (-125) 1.25 units to win 1 unit
    New Zealand -.5 Netherlands (+345) .5 units to win 1.725 units

    Sunday, 6/7

    Thailand +6.5 Norway (-150) 1.5 units to win 1 unit

    Monday, 6/8

    Ecuador/Cameroon under 2.5 (-137) 1.37 units to win 1 unit
    Sweden -1.5 Nigeria (-103) 1.03 units to win 1 unit
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2015
    Women's World Cup

    6/8

    Japan -5 Switzerland (-159) 1.59 units to win 1 unit
    Japan -1 Switzerland (+107) 1 unit to win 1.07 units
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2015
    U20 World Cup tonight...

    Nigeria -1.5, -2 North Korea (-110) 1.1 units to win 1 unit
    Uzbekistan -.5 Germany (+1171) .2 units to win 2.342 units
    Brazil/Hungary over 3, 3.5 (-129) 1.29 units to win 1 unit
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2015
    U20 World Cup for 6/5

    Panama +.5 Ghana (+117) 1 unit to win 1.17 units
    Argentina -.5 Austria (-118) 1.18 units to win 1 unit
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2015
    Toulon Tournament play that goes off in 20 minutes...

    France -.5 Netherlands (+135) 1 unit to win 1.35 units
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2015
    U20 World Cup Play for tomorrow night...

    Senegal -.5 Qatar (-190) 1.9 units to win 1 unit
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2015
    Women's World Cup

    China/Canada over 2.5 (+138) 1 unit to win 1.38 units
    Costa Rica -.5 Spain (+1470) .2 units to win 2.94 units
    Costa Rica +2 Spain (-113) 1.13 units to win 1 unit
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2015
    Heading into today's Toulon game...

    Updated Result: +8.005 units (ROI: +14.5%)
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2015
    Toulon tourney in 15 minutes...

    England -2 China (-159) 1.59 units to win 1 unit
  • duritodurito Senior Member
    edited June 2015
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2015
    U20 World Cup tonight...

    Uruguay E, -.5 Mali (-125) 1.25 units to win 1 unit

    U20 World Cup tomorrow night...

    Uzbekistan -2.5 Fiji (-110) 1.1 units to win 1 unit
    Nigeria/Hungary over 2.5 (-113) 1.13 units to win 1 unit
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2015
    durito wrote: »

    I watched it on tape (though I did fast forward through parts of it)...It was just a really weird game. Honduras looked like they were sleepwalking through the first half and allowed Fiji to hang around. Honduras even had a goal that was called off with a really close offsides call. Then Fiji finally got a chance, took advantage, and the Honduras keeper made a terrible play on the ball with what should have been a save and it was 1-0. Then another poor clearance from Honduras and 2-0. Then a freak own goal and 3-0. Then suddenly Honduras woke up and started playing and completely dominated the second half with chance after chance, but could never score (little of everything, a few nice saves, over passing, not passing and taking horrible shots when they should have passed, etc). Stats were crazy, I think Fiji had 3 shots on goal and scored on all 3. Your link gave the stats a little different than they gave them on the game, as I think they credited Honduras with 30 shots and 66% of possession or something like that. A "just" result probably would have been something like a 1 or 2 to nothing win for Honduras based on the game itself, but Fiji took advantage of their chances against the run of play.
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited June 2015
    Toulon in two hours...

    France -1.5 Morocco (+145) 1 unit to win 1.45 units
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