Denver -7 @-115 opening line or reduced juice closing?
Daltonis
Junior Member
Question for the very sharp minds at betting talk. I bet Denver -7 @-115 on sunday night. I'm being told that I should just wait for the reduced juice line on sunday. I would not have a problem with that in many cases, just with where I had the Denver line going.
At this time Denver is sitting at -8.5 -110 on 5D. Lets just say the line stays on that number, 5D will have it reduced @-105 on sunday. So what this guy is telling me is that I have equal value based on opening & closing line shifts being fairly priced.
I would understand if I was at -130 against a closing -105. My push rate chart tells me my number is well worth the extra 10 cents for 1.5 points. Either I'm worse at math then I thought or he is just wrong. Thanks for any help in ending this debate.
At this time Denver is sitting at -8.5 -110 on 5D. Lets just say the line stays on that number, 5D will have it reduced @-105 on sunday. So what this guy is telling me is that I have equal value based on opening & closing line shifts being fairly priced.
I would understand if I was at -130 against a closing -105. My push rate chart tells me my number is well worth the extra 10 cents for 1.5 points. Either I'm worse at math then I thought or he is just wrong. Thanks for any help in ending this debate.
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