Betting Talk

Bad NFL Plays

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Comments

  • bcl4bcl4 Senior Member
    edited January 2017
    Dolphins +13 (-115)
  • bcl4bcl4 Senior Member
    edited January 2017
    Divisional:

    Packers +5
  • bcl4bcl4 Senior Member
    edited January 2017
    Falcons -4
  • bcl4bcl4 Senior Member
    edited January 2017
    Conference:

    Packers/Falcons o59.5
  • bcl4bcl4 Senior Member
    edited January 2017
    65-48, +12.55
    CLV: +1.65%
  • bcl4bcl4 Senior Member
    edited February 2017
    2016 Total:
    66-48, +13.55
    CLV: +1.64%

    2014-2016 Total:
    166-132, +20.8
  • paddyboy111paddyboy111 Senior Member
    edited February 2017
    bcl4 wrote: »
    2016 Total:
    66-48, +13.55
    CLV: +1.64%

    2014-2016 Total:
    166-132, +20.8

    Well done.
  • bcl4bcl4 Senior Member
    edited September 2017
    2017
    Week 1:

    Eagles/Redskins o47.5 (-105)
  • LancerLancer Senior Member
    edited September 2017
    Thx dude!
  • bcl4bcl4 Senior Member
    edited September 2017
    Giants/Cowboys o46.5
  • bcl4bcl4 Senior Member
    edited September 2017
    Week 2:

    Titans/Jags u43.5
    Bills/Panthers o42.5
  • bcl4bcl4 Senior Member
    edited September 2017
    Titans -1.5
  • bcl4bcl4 Senior Member
    edited September 2017
    Packers/Falcons o53.5
  • bcl4bcl4 Senior Member
    edited September 2017
    2017:

    0-2, -2.15
    CLV: +2.60%
  • bcl4bcl4 Senior Member
    edited September 2017
    Patriots/Saints o55 (-105)
  • bcl4bcl4 Senior Member
    edited September 2017
    Redskins +3 (+100)
    Redskins/Rams u47
  • bcl4bcl4 Senior Member
    edited September 2017
    Packers +3 (+105)
  • bcl4bcl4 Senior Member
    edited September 2017
    Week 3:

    Rams/49ers u42 (-115)
  • bcl4bcl4 Senior Member
    edited September 2017
    Jaguars +4 (-115)
  • bcl4bcl4 Senior Member
    edited September 2017
    Bills +3
  • bcl4bcl4 Senior Member
    edited September 2017
    4-5-1, -1.35
    CLV: +1.98%
  • bcl4bcl4 Senior Member
    edited September 2017
    49ers +3
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited September 2017
    how do you figure your NFL CLV?
  • bcl4bcl4 Senior Member
    edited September 2017
    I use the SBR half point calculator. I know its not perfect. If anyone has better ideas I'm open to hearing them.
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited September 2017
    I just track points I use a kinda half arse system, my thought is if I can average 1 point I should be able to get about a 2% roi roughly. I think break even is about .6 points per game.
  • bcl4bcl4 Senior Member
    edited September 2017
    Yea the issue with that is that not all points are equal, especially in the NFL. Going from -3 to -3.5 is approximately 5%, while going from -5 to -5.5 is ~1%.
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited September 2017
    yeah but i was talking in general overall, I went back and looked at what point out of 100 games would i start to see a profit. that magic number was about .6 points
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited September 2017
    I go like everyone else 50-50 ATS and when I added a half point to 100 games I went about 52-48 ATS and when you go to .6 get to 53-47 and 1 point is like 55-45, something like that, I hope I am making sense
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited September 2017
    I am not very smart so I have to do all these things literally to see profits for me! sorry for the ignorance
  • bcl4bcl4 Senior Member
    edited September 2017
    Packers -6.5
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